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Monday, 19 October 2020

3:00 Newcastle - Free Horse Racing Tips (20th October)

NEWCASTLE 3.00 

With 6 races today each race will be a short summary hopefully with all the essentials, there isn't much data to work with with a lot of these runners so any stakes will be kept low, Gunmetal could be one of the pacesetters here and my 4th top rated on c/d times, Wild Edric my 3rd top rated and Deputise in 2nd top spot both recorded their best times at Wolverhampton but I have BRIAN THE SNAIL 14/1  (EW) as my top rated and I am hoping this one will be an each way price, it has a decent jockey booking making me think they are expecting a good run. 

Brian The Snail 14/1 1st (2pts) +17.5pts

Total: +17.5pts (Betfair SP 15.05)

KEMPTON 4.35 

Not a bad looking class 5 affair with a couple of known front running types, Secretfact 4th top and Katherine Place 3rd top are both in their positions using c/d times from 2019 so could battle to make the frame if reproducing their best, I've actually got joint top rated horses in King Robert who recorded its best time this year but stall 9 might not be ideal for it with the make-up of this race so I will be banking on AUTUMN TRAIL 9/1 who is one of the known pace-setting types and has the ideal draw in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here and does have good trainer 17% and jockey 22% stats. 

Autumn Trail 9/1 1st (1pt) +9pts (Betfair SP 4.6)

Total: +9pts

NEWCASTLE 4.40 Div I

This is a race where I'm glad there isn't any bends to go round so the draw wont be a vital ingredient in the race, all of my 4 top ratings are using Wolverhampton times, Three Card Trick is 4th top and a possible pacesetter, Phoenix Star is 3rd best should be trying to stay on at the finish as will One One Seven my 2nd top rated but I will be shouldering USTATH 16/1 (EW) with my money and is another possible front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Ustath 18/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts
 

NEWCASTLE 5.10 Div II 

A race with little data to work with and it was one i was going to leave alone until I saw a glimmer in the gloom, Oriental Relation is 3rd top rated and could possibly front run, Roaring Rory is 2nd top rated and will be held up to get the trip if there's a fast early pace but I will have a small each way bet on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who is the other one that could lead and if getting to the front it could do enough to hold on to at least a place so at the price an each way bet. 

Rockley Point 28/1 6th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 5.40

 For a class 6 affair this looks very competitive and there should be a fast early pace in this dash and most of the early paced sorts are drawn high and for my bet I hope they don't cut each others throats trying to lead, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Arcavallo and Slowmo and both are possible pacesetters along with LORD OF THE GLEN 5/2 who is rated 2lbs better and has been in tip top form lately and will be carrying my money. 

Lord Of The Glen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt  

KEMPTON 6.40 

This is a very competitive class 4 race but the lack of known front runners does muddy the waters, Street Parade has a time from Wolvhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but that is a different surface so I'm not sure what it will here the same applies to Wiley Past and Phuket Power, Juan Les Pins is 3rd top on just 2020 times with Saaheq sitting in 2nd top spot, I will be backing STRONG POWER 9/2 this 3yo is my top rated on 2020 times and over all times and usually stays on strongly at the business end of the race.

Strong Power 13/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +20.5pts 

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