5:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (17th February)

CHELMSFORD 5.00 

A class 6 apprentice jockeys race with 4 runners that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run race, I will look to lay Porfin 8/1 and *Portelet Bay 17/2 who usually stay on at the business end of their races but time wise I am not sure they can pick up the leaders, there is a few others that could be on my lay list but I think they will all be double figure prices so hence not of value to lay, its hard with these apprentice jockey races as usually there's nothing or very little stats to use to try and see whether it looks as though there connections will be trying or not, my stakes in these races are always kept lower than usual but I will be backing two horses in this race, firstly there's AMASOVA 5/1 who is my top rated using 2021/22 course and distance speed figures and is second top rated on my overall figures just behind AUTUMN TRAIL 16/1 (EW) and at the price this has to be an each way wager, they are both horses that like to race to the fore in their races and as long as they don't go heel for leather from the off and fade badly they have the ratings to hold the rest at bay to get back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Amasova 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Autumn Trail 16/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Porfin +1pt 

Total -2pts

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

The top three in the handicap are the natural front running types in this race and I Am A Dreamer 14/1 is rated slightly higher plus it has the stall one draw so it could go best of the trio and could even hold on to make the frame and might be worth an each way interest at the price and as I think it might even be better when racing over further its stamina shouldn't run out even if they do go off a shade too fast in the early stages of the race, Thaki 9/1 is forecast to be the second favourite in this race but I would be more interested in laying it as I think it needs further to show its best form but is double what the early tissue prices forecast .As for the winner I am looking at the John Butler stable as he has two horses entered in this race, INAAM 6/1 who finished second on its last run and MARTINEO 4/1 won last time out and either of them could win this race, they are both being ridden by apprentices but Martineo’s jockey is 0-4 for the stable while the jockey on Inaam has a poorish 6% win ratio for the stable which worries me a bit so my stakes wont be at full strength but whichever one is trying, it could be both, will need a bit of luck in running but this race being a class 5 affair wont take that much winning and I will be backing both of them because if I go with my gut and in some ways my stats and relied on just one of them I am sure to get it wrong so better something than nothing.

Martineo 12/1 9th -1pt 

Inaam 20/1 Unp -1pt  

Lay bet Thaki +1pt

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:00 Newcastle - Free Horse Racing Tips (20th October)

NEWCASTLE 3.00 

With 6 races today each race will be a short summary hopefully with all the essentials, there isn't much data to work with with a lot of these runners so any stakes will be kept low, Gunmetal could be one of the pacesetters here and my 4th top rated on c/d times, Wild Edric my 3rd top rated and Deputise in 2nd top spot both recorded their best times at Wolverhampton but I have BRIAN THE SNAIL 14/1  (EW) as my top rated and I am hoping this one will be an each way price, it has a decent jockey booking making me think they are expecting a good run. 

Brian The Snail 14/1 1st (2pts) +17.5pts

Total: +17.5pts (Betfair SP 15.05)

KEMPTON 4.35 

Not a bad looking class 5 affair with a couple of known front running types, Secretfact 4th top and Katherine Place 3rd top are both in their positions using c/d times from 2019 so could battle to make the frame if reproducing their best, I've actually got joint top rated horses in King Robert who recorded its best time this year but stall 9 might not be ideal for it with the make-up of this race so I will be banking on AUTUMN TRAIL 9/1 who is one of the known pace-setting types and has the ideal draw in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here and does have good trainer 17% and jockey 22% stats. 

Autumn Trail 9/1 1st (1pt) +9pts (Betfair SP 4.6)

Total: +9pts

NEWCASTLE 4.40 Div I

This is a race where I'm glad there isn't any bends to go round so the draw wont be a vital ingredient in the race, all of my 4 top ratings are using Wolverhampton times, Three Card Trick is 4th top and a possible pacesetter, Phoenix Star is 3rd best should be trying to stay on at the finish as will One One Seven my 2nd top rated but I will be shouldering USTATH 16/1 (EW) with my money and is another possible front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Ustath 18/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

 

NEWCASTLE 5.10 Div II 

A race with little data to work with and it was one i was going to leave alone until I saw a glimmer in the gloom, Oriental Relation is 3rd top rated and could possibly front run, Roaring Rory is 2nd top rated and will be held up to get the trip if there's a fast early pace but I will have a small each way bet on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who is the other one that could lead and if getting to the front it could do enough to hold on to at least a place so at the price an each way bet. 

Rockley Point 28/1 6th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 5.40

 For a class 6 affair this looks very competitive and there should be a fast early pace in this dash and most of the early paced sorts are drawn high and for my bet I hope they don't cut each others throats trying to lead, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Arcavallo and Slowmo and both are possible pacesetters along with LORD OF THE GLEN 5/2 who is rated 2lbs better and has been in tip top form lately and will be carrying my money. 

Lord Of The Glen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt  

KEMPTON 6.40 

This is a very competitive class 4 race but the lack of known front runners does muddy the waters, Street Parade has a time from Wolvhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but that is a different surface so I'm not sure what it will here the same applies to Wiley Past and Phuket Power, Juan Les Pins is 3rd top on just 2020 times with Saaheq sitting in 2nd top spot, I will be backing STRONG POWER 9/2 this 3yo is my top rated on 2020 times and over all times and usually stays on strongly at the business end of the race.

Strong Power 13/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +20.5pts 

4:10 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th October)

LINGFIELD 4.10 

A ten runner dash but strangely only 1 known front runner amongst them although Lordsbridge Boy has led before over 6 furlongs but maybe it won't be able to lead now dropped back to the minimum trip, Miaella is my 3rd top rated using its best time from 2019 and hasn't had any recent c/d form to work with, sitting in 2nd top spot is Roundabout Magic who can be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then stay on resolutely but I will be backing my top rated horse and the only horse that I would call a natural front running type and in the make-up of this race even stall 10 might not prevent *AUTUMN TRAIL 7/1 from getting to the front and once there it could prove hard to catch, the trainer has a 19% win rate at this course with their older horses and the jockey is in very good form lately. 

*NR

SOUTHWELL 5.20 

I will highlight the lays firstly (Sfumato who might not really like this surface and may need further to shine + Archimedes who hasn't been in form lately and may struggle to stay the trip if there's a fast early pace) Three Card Trick is the only known front runner but would need to improve time wise to win here, the top weight Brenner Pass has a fast time from Lingfield which would see it being competitive but its best time on this surface is a bit below par, Hellofagame has one cracking time from 2019 but that's looking like a fluke where it got carried along in a fast run affair and is still a maiden after 19 previous runs, LOULIN 6/1 is another with a time that would put it in the mix and could win the race on its best c/d time and it will be carrying some of my money but not the full amount mainly due to the jockeys 0-17 record for this stable, i will also be backing PUCHITA 5/2 who is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which could swing things its way and he does have a 2-4 win ratio for this stable so I'm assuming that connections are expecting a big run here but the price is on the short side.

Puchita 13/2 1st (+6.5pts) Betfair SP (11.42) 

Loulin 6/1 Unp (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Sfumato +1pt, Archimedes +1pt

Total: +7.5pts

Total on the day: +7.5pts

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd September)

BEVERLEY 2.40 

Only 6 runners for this class 2 conditions race worth over 12k to the winner, you would expect more entries, I would lay (Aljaady 7/4 who might need further on g/f ground) the pace will be set by Caspian Prince and/or Ornate and they are my 3rd and 3nd top rated horses but I'm hoping ORVAR 12/1 can track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish 

Orvar 12/1 2nd (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Aljaady 11/10 - (1.1pts) Betfair SP 2.28)

Total: - 2.1pts  

BEVERLEY 3.15 

A big field of 17 and a couple i will look to lay are (Gamesome 9/1 + Royal Brave 5/1) the former may want further and the latter hasn't shown much timewise since 2018, there's a few with pieces of form/times that could put them in the mix, Burtonwood, Atyaaf and Hello Girl but my money will be riding on DAPPER MAN 8/1 who I'm hoping can get to the front early doors and then prove hard to catch and can hopefully lead all the way. 

Dapper Man 8/1 Unp (-2pts) 

Lay bets: Gamesome +1pt, Royal Brave +1pt

Total: -4pts

LINGFIELD 4.15 

As usual I will start with those I will hope to lay (Thrilla In Manila + Zulu Zander + Champagne Supanova) there's a few that could run well in this race, Cappananty Con, Green Door, Brenner Pass, Equipped and Shining all have the odd piece of good/form times and could battle to make the frame but once again i will be backing the horse that has a good chance to lead all the way and that's the 3yo AUTUMN TRAIL 5/1 who in the make-up of this race could gain control of the rails from stall 6 and if leading should prove hard to catch.

Autumn Trail 5/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Thrilla In Manila +1pt, Zulu Zander +1pt, Champagne Supanova +1pt

Tota: +2pts 

Total on the day: -4.1pts