2:35 Southwell Racing Tips (21st January)

SOUTHWELL 2.35 

Typical a nice class 3 race with decent prize money and only 7 runners are entered, *Spirit Of Nguru might need further to show its best and with no known front runner in the race it might not be run to suit it so maybe worth laying, I have got JUSTCALLMEPETE 5/4 as my top rated on course and distance ratings, it has won its last 3 races and has been stepped up one level in class but it seems to be an improving horse and has to have every chance of completing the four-timer in this race. 

*NR

Justcallmepete 5/4 1st +1.25pts

Total +1.25pts

LINGFIELD 3.22 

Lord Riddiford, La Roca del Fuego and The Bell Conductor have been known to lead before but i think the top weighted The Bell Conductor who has won 4 from 5 races its had on an artificial surface but is now racing off an official rating of 95 which might be above where its capable of winning so I couldn't back it. Silky Wilkie seems a better horse over a longer distance but will be staying on nearing the finish but whether it will get there in time I'm not sure but it would be enough to at least put me off backing it. STRONG POWER 9/2 is usually held up for a late run where it stays on powerfully nearing the finish and has been racing in higher class affairs compared to this class 3 race and has good trainer/jockey stats which is usually a positive and will be carrying my money. 

Strong Power 9/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 3.45 

This is one of those poor class 6 stakes races where they all carry the same weight, there's 12 runners with just one known front running type amongst them and that one could lead all the way here. I think Paddy K and Danah Star might need further to show there best so I will lay them if of value to do so along with Gorgeous General who is better over a shorter trip, I will be backing USTATH 2/1 who has led before and has the stall 1 draw in this race so if getting to the front and gaining control of the rails could lead all the way but the race sure wont take much winning so any stakes will be kept low, it finished 2nd yesterday, Friday, so if turning out here so quickly then connections must be expecting it to go one better here. 

Ustath 2/1 1st +2pts

Lay bets Paddy K +1pt, Danah Star +1pt 

Total +4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.30 

A field of 12 for this class 5 sprint where i can see 3 horses, Araifjan, Rebel Redemption and Muscika that have led before and they are fairly closely rated so any of the trio could lead but if Rebel Redemption is allowed an easy lead it could do enough to at least make the frame but stall 12 isn't ideal, but I think they will be setting the race up for a hold up type, Beauzon is my 4th top rated with El Hombre sitting in 3rd top spot and 2nd spot is taken by Porfin so any of them could make the frame if reproducing their previous best ratings but I have SARAH'S VERSE 16/1 (EW) rated top using a course and distance rating from last year, its been awhile since the stable last had a winner but the apprentice jockeys only previous ride for the stable resulted in a win so I'm hoping for the same here but at the price it has to be an each way wager. 

Sarah's Verse 20/1 3rd +4pts 

Total +4pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.00 Div I

This 1st division of a 0-50 stakes race is very poor even for the class and in all honesty the race is probably best left alone, none of them have been in great form recently but something has to win the race. Oxygen Thief recorded a rating from this year at Chelmsford which would put it in 4th top spot but it only just registered at the very bottom end of my ratings and may be better over further. Lesha is my 3rd top but this surface isn't its favourite but could still make the frame, Tommytwohoots is my 2nd top rated on a course and distance time it recorded last year so could go well here but CREEK HARBOUR 6/1 has a rating from 2021 which is way better than anything else recorded by anything else in this race, it has been running over longer distances and has only had one course and distance run since then but the apprentice jockey is 0-6 when riding for this stable but this horse has been known to lead before and if deploying those tactics here it could possibly lead all the way but the betting will decide whether i think its value enough to take the risk of backing it. 

Abandoned due to fog 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div II 

The top weight At Your Service would have a decent chance if able to reproduce its best 2021 rating but its not ran for 529 days and its form had tailed off prior to its layoff so might need this run for fitness. I expect that Inaam will be to the fore in the betting after it finished 3rd last time out over 7 furlongs and weakened close home, it is the only horse in the race rated 50 so that might also restrict its price but I think its a much better prospect when racing on the Polytrack surface and will look to lay this one. The early pace could be set by VIEWFROMTHESTARS 6/1 who is ideally drawn in stall 2 to lead and if getting to the front and reproducing its best course and distance rating from 2022 it could get back to winning ways.

Abandoned due to fog 

Total on the day +4.25pts

2:39 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (18th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.39 

Only 7 runners for this class 2 race and 2 front running types in Bedford Flyer 5/1 and Lord Riddiford 7/1 who happen to be my 2 bottom rated horses so I doubt they can lead all the way, Venturous might need further to reproduce its best rating and even that wouldn't quite be good enough to win this race, Alligator Alley and Kaboo could run well being my 4th and 3rd top rated horses, I've only got 2lb’s between my top 2 ratings, TONE THE BARONE 7/2 likes to track the leaders and could get first run which could be enough to win the race, the trainer has a 17% win ratio at this course and the horse has won 8 of its 14 races on artificial surface but STRONG POWER 12/1 is rated higher this ones trainer also has a 17% win ratio at this course and the jockey has the same strike rate for the stable and this one is usually held up for a late run, so I will be backing them both as i think it could be close between these 2 on the run for the winning line. 

Strong Power 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Tone The Barone 7/2 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.09 

A field of 11 for this class 5 sprint and the biggest problem is that I cannot see what will set the early pace, something will take it on but how fast the early pace will be I've no idea which means my stakes will have to be kept low. I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay so another problem and my stakes get even smaller, I've got Astro Jakk 8/1 and Inevitable Outcome 25/1 as my joint 3rd top rated horses, the former likes to track the leaders while the other is usually held for a late run and this race might not run to suit this one and both of them have been in poor form lately. The Thin Blue Line 10/3 sits in 2nd top spot but its another that's usually held up for a late run so once again this race might not be run to suit it. The 3 at the bottom of the handicap are horses that have been in decent form lately which cannot be said for the rest of the field so from those 3 my money will be riding on EL HOMBRE 8/1 who can either be held up for a late run or track the leaders which makes it look the safest choice in my opinion.

El Hombre 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (2nd April)

LINGFIELD 3.40 

EXISTANT will be trying to stay on at the finish but may need further and needs to improve time wise to win this race and looks very poor value but being a 4yo it could improve further so never say never. 

BEDFORD FLYER this front running type could win this race using a time recorded in 2020 but its 45 since the stable last had a winner and it may need the run after being off for 225 days. 

ONE NIGHT STAND the other known front running type and the one I think will do best of the front runners and has the plum stall 1 draw to help its cause and is my joint top rated. 

STRONG POWER is a strong finishing sort and is weighted just to reverse form with one of today's rivals and is my joint top rated and has good trainer/jockey stats.

NIGHT ON EARTH will be trying to stay on at the finish but I think maybe too late to catch the leaders in time and might be worth laying. 

MOKAATIL needs to improve time wise to win this race but I expect it will be one of the outsiders but one to lay if a single figure price. 

AUTUMN FLIGHT is my 3rd top rated but might be found wanting in the closing stages and may need this run for fitness but i expect another outsider. 

SUMMARY: A very competitive class 2 race where I expect the pace to be set by Bedford Flyer and/or One Night Stand and the latter could be dangerous if getting an easy lead as the former may need this run for fitness, Existent 5/4 may be better when racing over further and time wise it needs to improve and looks poor value, I will be backing 2 horses firstly ONE NIGHT STAND 12/1 who could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but it is joint top rated with STRONG POWER 5/1 and the latter will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and is weighted just to reverse form when they finished 1st and 2nd in a Listed race earlier this year but with only 0.02 seconds between them on the clock it will need a perfect run to pick the leader up and with such small margins I have to back them both. 

Strong Power 6/1 3rd -1pt 

One Night Stand 10/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Night On Earth -8.5pts

Total -10.5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

This is a class 5 race but to be honest I can find a negative for every horse, Amazing Maya can record a good rating but in lower class races so may be outclassed in this field, I expect the early pace will be set by Lua De Mel or more likely by BRAZEN BELLE who is my top rated using class 5 ratings but the trainer hasn't had a winner from 176 runners over 2037 days which is a big negative but this race could fall into its lap but just in case it doesn't reproduce its best then the top weight SARAH'S VERSE could be the one to win the race but this one hasn't won from 7 previous AW races and the trainers not had a winner from 25 runners over 66 days so my stakes will be kept to a minimum.

Sarah's Verse 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Brazen Belle 33/1 7th -1pt 

Total +3.5pts

Total on the day -7pts

1:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 1.25 

Plenty of early paced types in this race and Savalas could go well from the front if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 but it was well below that level in 2021, VICTORY ROSE 14/1 hasn't run over this c/d since 2020 but its best figure from that year would give it every chance here being my 2nd top rated horse so worth a small each way bet, my top rated is *STRONG POWER 9/4 who won on Monday where it won very cosily in a fast run race, that was a class 6 race and it is up to class 5 here but the way it won suggests it should take this upgrade in its stride but just as a precaution, as sometimes they don't run well next time out if raced too quickly after their victory, I will be backing both of them but my stakes will be kept low. 

*NR

Victory Rose 14/1 7th -1pt

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.35 Div I

In this race I will be looking to lay both Blazing Hot 5/2 and Tomshalfbrother 11/2 who finished 2nd and 3rd last time out behind Sir Hector who I tipped up that day at 25/1 as they are both weighted to finish behind that same horse again here and I will be backing SIR HECTOR 9/2 again in this race as it is weighted to beat them again here but i do have a horse.

COUNTRY CHARM 14/1 rated 4lbs higher but that is using a Newcastle time but it has had one previous run over this c/d which resulted in it not recording a rating but it might be worth an each way punt at the price and I will be backing both of them to small stakes.

Sir Hector 11/2 5th -1pt 

Country Charm 14/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt, Tomshalfbrother +1pt 

Total 0pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.05 Div II 

This 2nd division is definitely the poor relation of this race, I expect Cometh The Man to set the pace to the race from the stall 1 draw and in such a poor race it could do enough to at least make the frame but is better over a shorter trip and if tackled for the lead might falter inside the final furlong, others that have bits of form but also with a negative are, Martineo who has been in poor form lately and may need this run for fitness plus a 0-26 jockey stat, Pable Del Pueblo who isn't proven on this surface and Iesha who has poor form over this c/d, one I will look to lay is Royal Heart 13/2 who didn't register on my figures when finishing 3rd over this c/d and its best speed figure from Lingfield isn't good enough to win this race, I will be having a small wager, and I mean a small wager, on ADMIRABLE LAD 11/1 (EW) who likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so might be worth an each way wager. 

Admirable Lady 25/1 9th -2pts

Lay bet Royal Heart +1pt

Total -1pt

KEMPTON 3.55

I am not a fan of these amateur riders races and i really should leave the race alone BUT I can see from my ratings that NIGEL NOTT 4/1 and SWISS PRIDE 6/1 are rated a good few spots higher than the rest of the runners and I will go with backing both of them, if Lord P 10/3 is the favourite as predicted by the early tissue prices then I would look to lay it as its c/d win was in a relatively slow run race and it also may need this run for fitness after a 118 day break from racing.

Swiss Pride 8/1 5th -1pt 

Nigel Nott 4/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Lord P +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (3rd August)

CHELMSFORD 3.10 

My first thoughts is why is Alehandro 4/1 as I think it's better when racing over five furlongs but it is a 3yo so could improve but I'm hoping it's not in this race as I will be looking to lay it, the early pace might be set by Rockesbury and it could do enough to make the frame, I will be backing two in this race, firstly DELEGATE THE LADY 8/1 (EW) who is my top rated using just 2021 times over this course and distance, I admit MAID MILLIE 12/1(EW) hasn't shown much so far this year but has a time from 2020 that would make it my top rated so I'm covering the angles for both this year and overall figures and two each way bets could pay dividends 

Delegate The Lady 8/1 2nd +0.6pts

Maid Millie 12/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bet Alehandro +1pt

Total -0.4pts

FFOS LAS 3.35 

Only 5 runners and no known front running types amongst them, Seneca Chief 8/1 may struggle to stay the distance if there's a good fast early pace, Sweet Pursuit 5/2 hasn't been in form lately and looks poor value, Sarah's Verse 5/2 is my 3rd top rated while I have Gilt Edge 3/1 sitting in 2nd top spot while my money will be riding on STRONG POWER 15/2 who has a time from 2020 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 4.18 

A field of 9 taking part with a couple of known front runners which means it should be a true run race, that's if all the runners are triers, I will look to lay Raaeb 3/1 who firstly looks poor value and I think it will be better when racing over further, of the two front runners I think Lomu may do best being my 2nd top rated on just 2021 course and distance times but that figure is only good enough for 5th top on overall figures but then again it does have a fast time from Lingfield so could do enough to at least make the frame, my money will be riding on JACK THE TRUTH 11/1 who has good trainer/jockey stats and likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Jack The Truth 12/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Raab -3pts 

Total -4pts 

Total on the day -5.4pts

12:10 Thirsk Racing Tips (17th April)

THIRSK 12.10 

A competitive class 6 race with 14 runners and only one known front runner in the shape of Carlovian but its best isn't quite good enough to hold on for the win and it doesn't really like really good to firm going, Highland Acclaim 6/1 is a 10yo who is capable of winning from out of the blue with no prior warning so is always a danger to be wary of but at the price it isn't worth doing each way, there is quite a few i could lay but that's depending on the betting, Hijacked could go well if fully wound up after a 172 day break but usually needs a run for fitness so maybe one to lay if a shortish price, Thrilla In Manilla doesn't really like good to firm going, I will be having a small wager on EPIEUS who comes out 3rd top on recent distance times(2020/21) while it best from 2019 would take it to top spot and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Epieus 12/1 1/2 Point Each Way 7th -2pts

Highjacked 3/1 2 Points Lay +1pt

Mo Henry 9/1 2 Points Lay +2pt

Billy Dylan 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Total +2pts

THIRSK 12.40 Div I

This is a dire race and this division is poor, its got a lot of either lightly raced sorts or others that are well out of form and its impossible to back most of the field, Lucky Beggar and Kolossus have shown some snippets of form, the former comes out 2nd best overall if i use a time from 2019, the latter comes out 3rd best overall and it is one of only two known front running types in the race and could go well from the front but it usually needs at least one run after a break for fitness, I will pin my hopes on the top weighted WAR OF CLANS 14/1 who has won before after a break plus this is a drop in class as it was contesting class four races last year so has to be worth an each way wager. 

War Of Clans 14/1 ½ Point Each Way 7th -2pts 

Foad 6/1 1 Point Lay +1pt

Sheepscar Lad 5/1 2 Points Lay  +2pts 

Chickenfortea 9/1 2 Points Lay +2pts

Kodimoor 9/1 3 Points Lay +3pts

Total +6pts

THIRSK 1.10 Div II 

Class 5 and no better, there's no known pacesetters in this race which always muddies the waters, Ghathanfar won last time out on g/f ground in a slow time so that might have flattered it plus i think it would be better over further, Lady Nectar and Jill Rose may need this run for fitness, it may be too far for Shoot To Kill unless its filled out during the winter, Freedom Flyer could go well if able to reproduce its best time from Wolverhampton to grass, Dick Datchery hasn't shown much in its latest runs but has a time from Ayr last year that makes it my 2nd top rated, I will have a small wager on FLAVIUS TITUS 9/1 who is top rated on a time recorded at Newmarket last year and usually runs on at the finish and has won before after a break from racing. 

Flavius Titus 9/1 1 Point Win -1pt

Ghathanfar 2/1 2 Points Lay +2pts

Lady Nectar 8/1 2 Points Lay -16pts

Shoot To Kill 9/1 3 Points Lay +3pts

Total -12pts

BRIGHTON 4.20 

Only 7 runners but still a competitive little race, I can only see one natural front running sort in the race and being my top rated it should be a true run affair. I will look to lay Wiley Post if of value, the 2 I expect will be the outsiders, Ascot Jungle and Mykindofsunshine, would need to improve to win this race, Shamshon my 4th top rated is forecast to be favourite but hasn't won on turf since 2019, Zulu Zander in 3rd top spot ha an off-putting jockey record of 0-6 while the 2nd top rated Katherine Place has an even worse jockey record with it being 0-19, the top weight and my top rated is HAVEONEYERSELF 3/1 who I think/hope can lead all the way in this race and get back to winning ways. 

Haveoneyerself 3/1 2 Points Win -2pts

Wiley Post 7/2 2 Points Lay +2pts

Total 0pts

BRIGHTON 5.30 

Another seven runner race with 4 of the runners being 4yo’s, Vape and/or Spreadsheet could set the pace but both would need to improve time wise to hold on for the win, Recall has had one run on good ground over this distance but the time was too slow to register on my graphs, the two older horses have bits of form that makes Street Parade my 4th top rated and Real Estate my 2nd top rated, the 4yo Little Brown Trout has a time from Lingfield that makes it my 3rd top rated horse in this race but top rated is the top weight STRONG POWER 2/1 and if able to reproduce its best time from Leicester last year it would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Strong Power 2/1 2 Points Win 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts

Total on the day -6pts

3:00 Newcastle - Free Horse Racing Tips (20th October)

NEWCASTLE 3.00 

With 6 races today each race will be a short summary hopefully with all the essentials, there isn't much data to work with with a lot of these runners so any stakes will be kept low, Gunmetal could be one of the pacesetters here and my 4th top rated on c/d times, Wild Edric my 3rd top rated and Deputise in 2nd top spot both recorded their best times at Wolverhampton but I have BRIAN THE SNAIL 14/1  (EW) as my top rated and I am hoping this one will be an each way price, it has a decent jockey booking making me think they are expecting a good run. 

Brian The Snail 14/1 1st (2pts) +17.5pts

Total: +17.5pts (Betfair SP 15.05)

KEMPTON 4.35 

Not a bad looking class 5 affair with a couple of known front running types, Secretfact 4th top and Katherine Place 3rd top are both in their positions using c/d times from 2019 so could battle to make the frame if reproducing their best, I've actually got joint top rated horses in King Robert who recorded its best time this year but stall 9 might not be ideal for it with the make-up of this race so I will be banking on AUTUMN TRAIL 9/1 who is one of the known pace-setting types and has the ideal draw in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can lead all the way here and does have good trainer 17% and jockey 22% stats. 

Autumn Trail 9/1 1st (1pt) +9pts (Betfair SP 4.6)

Total: +9pts

NEWCASTLE 4.40 Div I

This is a race where I'm glad there isn't any bends to go round so the draw wont be a vital ingredient in the race, all of my 4 top ratings are using Wolverhampton times, Three Card Trick is 4th top and a possible pacesetter, Phoenix Star is 3rd best should be trying to stay on at the finish as will One One Seven my 2nd top rated but I will be shouldering USTATH 16/1 (EW) with my money and is another possible front runner and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.

Ustath 18/1 7th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

 

NEWCASTLE 5.10 Div II 

A race with little data to work with and it was one i was going to leave alone until I saw a glimmer in the gloom, Oriental Relation is 3rd top rated and could possibly front run, Roaring Rory is 2nd top rated and will be held up to get the trip if there's a fast early pace but I will have a small each way bet on ROCKLEY POINT 14/1 (EW) who is the other one that could lead and if getting to the front it could do enough to hold on to at least a place so at the price an each way bet. 

Rockley Point 28/1 6th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 5.40

 For a class 6 affair this looks very competitive and there should be a fast early pace in this dash and most of the early paced sorts are drawn high and for my bet I hope they don't cut each others throats trying to lead, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Arcavallo and Slowmo and both are possible pacesetters along with LORD OF THE GLEN 5/2 who is rated 2lbs better and has been in tip top form lately and will be carrying my money. 

Lord Of The Glen 9/2 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt  

KEMPTON 6.40 

This is a very competitive class 4 race but the lack of known front runners does muddy the waters, Street Parade has a time from Wolvhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated but that is a different surface so I'm not sure what it will here the same applies to Wiley Past and Phuket Power, Juan Les Pins is 3rd top on just 2020 times with Saaheq sitting in 2nd top spot, I will be backing STRONG POWER 9/2 this 3yo is my top rated on 2020 times and over all times and usually stays on strongly at the business end of the race.

Strong Power 13/2 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +20.5pts