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Sunday, 25 October 2020

5:30 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (26th October )

NEWCASTLE 5.30 

BATCHELOR BOY 15/2 hasn't any c/d form to its name and its best time on this surface leaves it a few spots off the top spot but is versatile with its racing tactics.

OUTRAGE 11//1 a possible pacesetter and its best time over this c/d in 2019 make it my top-rated and the trainer is 2-2 with their runners here. 

DOC SPORTELLO 9/1 a versatile horse with its racing tactics and its best c/d time which came from 2018 still wouldn't see it winning this race.

SECRETINTHEPARK 16/1 one that could try to lead, its hasn't any recent AW form and its best from last year would still leave it a little bit short. 

LINE OF REASON 14/1 has a good time from 2017 but seems to be a little bit slower each year for this old-timer. 

GOWANBUSTER 14/1 another where I have to go back to 2018 to find its best and even then its best wouldn't be good enough to win this race.

MANSHOOD 12/1 I doubt it will be able to lead in this race and always looks to me as though further suits it better.

LUA DEL MEL 8/1 a 3yo who has only had 1 run over this c/d and its best overall figure would see it fall short of making the frame.

DAZZLING DES 6/1 this one will be trying to stay on at the finish and may do best of those coming from off the pace.

MERCENARY ROSE 14/1 hasn't any recent form on this surface and it would need to improve on its best time from last year to win this race.

ANOTHER ANGEL 8/1 is a frontrunning sort and is one side of the draw in stall 1 and this one is my top-rated on a time recorded here earlier this year. 

DUKE OF FIRENZE 6/1 has only 4 runs on the AW and has achieved 2 placed runs but timewise its been short of winning.

FRIENDLY ADVICE 18/1 has only a slow time from its 1 run over this c/d so would need to improve to win.

KIND REVIEW 11/2 hasn't any distance form to its name and might need a longer distance to show its true worth.

SUMMARY: A 5-furlong dash with 6 of the 14 runners having been known to lead before so it will be fast and furious, I will look to lay (Kind Review 11/2 who may need further to show its best and looks poor value, Manshood who also may need further) a few years ago, 2017 in fact, Line Of Reason would win this race win a little cosily but time catches up with everyone, my money in this race will be riding on ANOTHER ANGEL 8/1 (EW) who is a frontrunner and has stall 1 draw so it should get a clear run and if getting to the front it should prove hard to catch and the switch back to this 5lb claiming apprentice makes me think the horse's connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways but I also cannot ignore OUTRAGE 11/1 (EW) who hasn't been in great form so far this year but has a time from 2019 that makes it top-rated overall and the trainer's record here means I cannot ignore the horse I will be backing both horses with each way wagers.

Outrage 11/1 2nd (+2.5pts)
Another Angel 14/1 Unp (-2pts)

Lay bets: Kind Review +1pt, Manshood +1pt 

Total: +2.5pts


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