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Thursday, 15 October 2020

7:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (16th October)


NEWCASTLE 7.00 

This race is quite poor and I cannot find much to say about most of the runners, the only known front runner is Jungle Speed but I'm not sure the surface will suit this one so I will look to lay it (Jungle Speed + War Whisper + Fair Alibi + Ghathanfar), I've only got 5 with recorded speed figures and there's a few lightly raced sorts in the race and the less data I've got to work with the less confident I am on my selections, Fair Alibi and Nubough will need to improve on their best times to win this race which leaves me with 3 to study in more depth, Etikhal is my 3rd top rated and will be running on at the finish but needs to improve a few spots to win the race but it could easily make the frame, my top rated on just 2020 times which is always a bonus is MUTANAASEQ 14/1 (EW) who is a hold up type and at the price has to be worth an each way punt but EPEIUS 7/1 has a faster time from 2019 and if repeating that time would win a little cosily but with so many runners with little form to work with my stakes wont be at full strength.

Mutanaaseq 14/1 Unp (-2pts)
Epeius 10/1 Unp (-1pt)

Lay bets: Ghathanfar -5pts, War Spirit +1pt, Fair Alibi +1pt

Total on the day: -6pts

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