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Wednesday, 14 October 2020

4:40 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (15th October)

SOUTHWELL 4.40 DIVI

Not a lot to say about this race, I will look to lay (Archimedes + *Bernies Boy) 3rd top rated is Puchits who could do best of those coming from off the pace, Archimedes is my 2nd top rated but can struggle to stay the trip if there's a fast early pace and if KRAKA 13/8 gets to the front it ought to prove hard to catch but I suspect it will be the favourite for the race. 

*NR
Kraka 13/8 3rd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Archimedes +1pt

Total: 0pts

LINGFIELD 4.50

A 10 runner dash with 3 known front runners in the field, it isn't really a race to be betting too heavily in and i might have even left this race alone but the tissue prices have thrown up a possible each way punt, the top weight Zulu Zander is my 3rd top rated and likes to run on at the finish but my top 2 ratings are both front running types, Summit Fever is 2nd top and in stall 2 so could gain control of the rails while top rated CHITRA 12/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 10 it should either be able to contest the lead if not actually lead and if getting to the front should be hard to catch and at least be able to hold on for a place so worth an each way punt. 

Chitra 12/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

SOUTHWELL 5.15 Div II 

I will look to lay (Foad + Quaint) the 3yo Northern Charm who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics is my 3rd top rated so could go well, the top weight Global Melody comes out 2nd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders before staying on while my top rated horse DECISION MAKER 13/2 likes to run on well nearing the finish after either being held up or race in midfield and will be the one carrying my money.

Decision Maker 13/2 7th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Foad +1pt, Quaint +1pt

Total: +1pt

SOUTHWELL 6.45 

They have saved the best sprint of the day for last, I will look to lay (North Wind) who might prefer a longer distance, there's plenty of known early pace in the race so it should be a mad dash for the line as there's no bend over this trip and the draw makes very little difference if any, Astro Jakk a possible pacesetter could go well here and could possibly do enough to make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price, my 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times and equal top on overall figures is Samovar and it could do best of those coming from off the pace but my other joint top rated is CROSSE FIRE 6/1 but this one is the one I hope can lead all the way and this time go one better when finishing 2nd last time out when I tipped it up at a big price.

Crosse Fire 8/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bet: North Wind +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -1pt

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