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Sunday, 8 November 2020

5:35 Southwell Racing Tips (9th November)

SOUTHWELL 5.35 

Only 7 runners with three 3yo’s amongst them and they could all be dangerous and I cannot dismiss any of them but as usual I will stick with the proven, firstly I think that I will lay Moveonup 10/3 who is favourite but I think it might struggle to stay the distance with a fast pace and in this race that will more than likely happen here, there is only one known front running type in the race so if CROSSE FIRE 11/2 sets the pace it could be hard to catch as it is my 2nd top rated and then it is only 1lb below PUCHITA who is sitting in top spot, so I will have to back both of them to cover the angles. 

Crosse Fire 11/2 2nd (-1pt)
Puchita 10/3 3rd (-1pt) 

Total: -1pt

SOUTHWELL 6.05 

This looks a very competitive dash for a class 4 race plus there's 2 natural front runners and 2 others that can lead if nothing else wants to, if Dark Shot 9/1 decides to lead or at least contest the lead then it might do best of those racing prominently and at the price might be worth backing with an each way wager, the bottom weight Samovar 8/1 is capable of a fast time but doesn't seem to win much lately and hasn't won a race so far this year so another that could be worth backing each way in this race, Young Tiger 11/2 is another that can produce a fast time but usually when chasing other horses but isn't a big enough price to back each way but it could make the frame, my money in this race will be riding on QUEEN OF KALAHARI 9/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey does have a decent strike rate for the stable in fact its a 29% win ratio with the stables older horses and it only drops to 25% when riding anything from this stable so it looks as though the connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race.

Queen Of Kalahari 9/2 1st (+4.5pts) 

Total: +4.5pts

Total on the day: +3.5pts

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