5:35 Southwell Racing Tips (9th November)

SOUTHWELL 5.35 

Only 7 runners with three 3yo’s amongst them and they could all be dangerous and I cannot dismiss any of them but as usual I will stick with the proven, firstly I think that I will lay Moveonup 10/3 who is favourite but I think it might struggle to stay the distance with a fast pace and in this race that will more than likely happen here, there is only one known front running type in the race so if CROSSE FIRE 11/2 sets the pace it could be hard to catch as it is my 2nd top rated and then it is only 1lb below PUCHITA who is sitting in top spot, so I will have to back both of them to cover the angles. 

Crosse Fire 11/2 2nd (-1pt)

Puchita 10/3 3rd (-1pt) 

Total: -1pt

SOUTHWELL 6.05 

This looks a very competitive dash for a class 4 race plus there's 2 natural front runners and 2 others that can lead if nothing else wants to, if Dark Shot 9/1 decides to lead or at least contest the lead then it might do best of those racing prominently and at the price might be worth backing with an each way wager, the bottom weight Samovar 8/1 is capable of a fast time but doesn't seem to win much lately and hasn't won a race so far this year so another that could be worth backing each way in this race, Young Tiger 11/2 is another that can produce a fast time but usually when chasing other horses but isn't a big enough price to back each way but it could make the frame, my money in this race will be riding on QUEEN OF KALAHARI 9/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and the booked jockey does have a decent strike rate for the stable in fact its a 29% win ratio with the stables older horses and it only drops to 25% when riding anything from this stable so it looks as though the connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race.

Queen Of Kalahari 9/2 1st (+4.5pts) 

Total: +4.5pts

Total on the day: +3.5pts

4:40 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (15th October)

SOUTHWELL 4.40 DIVI

Not a lot to say about this race, I will look to lay (Archimedes + *Bernies Boy) 3rd top rated is Puchits who could do best of those coming from off the pace, Archimedes is my 2nd top rated but can struggle to stay the trip if there's a fast early pace and if KRAKA 13/8 gets to the front it ought to prove hard to catch but I suspect it will be the favourite for the race. 

*NR

Kraka 13/8 3rd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Archimedes +1pt

Total: 0pts

LINGFIELD 4.50

A 10 runner dash with 3 known front runners in the field, it isn't really a race to be betting too heavily in and i might have even left this race alone but the tissue prices have thrown up a possible each way punt, the top weight Zulu Zander is my 3rd top rated and likes to run on at the finish but my top 2 ratings are both front running types, Summit Fever is 2nd top and in stall 2 so could gain control of the rails while top rated CHITRA 12/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 10 it should either be able to contest the lead if not actually lead and if getting to the front should be hard to catch and at least be able to hold on for a place so worth an each way punt. 

Chitra 12/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: -2pts

SOUTHWELL 5.15 Div II 

I will look to lay (Foad + Quaint) the 3yo Northern Charm who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics is my 3rd top rated so could go well, the top weight Global Melody comes out 2nd top rated and can be held up or track the leaders before staying on while my top rated horse DECISION MAKER 13/2 likes to run on well nearing the finish after either being held up or race in midfield and will be the one carrying my money.

Decision Maker 13/2 7th (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Foad +1pt, Quaint +1pt

Total: +1pt

SOUTHWELL 6.45 

They have saved the best sprint of the day for last, I will look to lay (North Wind) who might prefer a longer distance, there's plenty of known early pace in the race so it should be a mad dash for the line as there's no bend over this trip and the draw makes very little difference if any, Astro Jakk a possible pacesetter could go well here and could possibly do enough to make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price, my 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times and equal top on overall figures is Samovar and it could do best of those coming from off the pace but my other joint top rated is CROSSE FIRE 6/1 but this one is the one I hope can lead all the way and this time go one better when finishing 2nd last time out when I tipped it up at a big price.

Crosse Fire 8/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bet: North Wind +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -1pt

4:10 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (8th October)

SOUTHWELL 4.10 

There's a maximum field of 14 runners 6 of them having been known to lead before and most of my top rated horses are front running sorts, the 2 that might do best of those coming from off the pace are Undercover Brother and Queen Of Kalahari, Sommer Katze and Red Stripes are 2 front runners that have times that would put them in the mix but I will be taking a bit of a punt on CROSSE FIRE 28/1 (EW) who admittedly hasn't shown much so far this year but has a time from 2019 that makes it my top rated, its draw in stall 2 is nearly perfect and I hope it gets away smartly and gains control of the rails and then prove hard to catch, I'm also hoping the tissue prices are right as its forecast to be a twenty to one shot so worth an each way gamble. 

Crosse Fire 28/1 2nd (+6pts) 

Total: +6pts

SOUTHWELL 5.40

This is the 2nd division of this race and the 1st division hasn't much data to work with so looks best left alone, I will look to lay (Onebaba + Northern Charm) as I'm not sure they will like this surface, I will be concentrating on the pair at the top of the handicap, Global Melody is 2nd top rated using just 2020 c/d times but has a time from 2019 that would make it top rated overall, Puchita is top rated on just this years times which is always a bonus and I will go with an each way bet on GLOBAL MELODY 10/1 (EW) and a win bet on PUCHITA 10/3 to cover both angles. 

Global Melody 10/1 1st (+12pts) Betfair SP (9.7) 

Puchita 10/3 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Onebab +1pt, Northern Charm +1pt

Total: +13pts

CHELMSFORD 7.00

This is a cracking looking class 3 dash and half the field of 12 have been known to lead before so it will be fast and furious, I cannot find anything of value to lay but that's maybe to be expected when dealing with better class animals, of the front runners maybe Mercenary Rose and Benny And The Jets will do best and are my 3rd and 4th top rated horses on overall figures, Daschas comes out 2nd top but I did have to go back to 2018 to find that time so I leave this one alone until it shows signs of a revival, I'm hoping the front runners really do go mad at the off and then tire nearing the finish which could play into the hands of JACK THE TRUTH 9/2 who is a hold up type and has been found a good chance of completing its hattrick.

Jack The Truth 5/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day:  +18pts