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Sunday 15 November 2020

6:00 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (16th November)

KEMPTON 6.00 6F Class 3 

A nice looking race but hard to confidently analyse to a conclusion, Recon Mission could set the pace here and in the make-up of this race stall 12 might not be too bad as there isn't any other natural front running types whilst Lancelot Du Lac has been known to set the pace if nothing else wants to and they are my 4th and 5th top rated horses, Total Committment from stall 1 is my 3rd top rated while Benny And The Jets can struggle to stay the distance if there is a fast early pace but is my 2nd top rated and this race may be ok for it but I will be trusting TYPHOON TEN 9/1 with my money, its coming out of stall 2 so should be able to get a good early position and then track the leaders which is its preferred racing style and jockey has a nice 20% win ratio for the Hannon stable on their older horses. 

Typhoon Ten 9/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

KEMPTON 8.00 6F Class 6 Div II

I can see a couple I will look to lay (The Establishment + No Diggity) who both might need further to shine, of the 2 known front runners the top weight Buy Me Back may do best, Perfect Symphony has a good time from 2019 and hasn't any recent c/d form but could go well here as could Ruspers Lad,Magicinthemaking and Secret Potion as they all have snippets of form that could see them in the mix, I will be backing PHOENIX STAR 8/1 who will be running on strongly at the finish and from stall 10 it could get a good tow into the race. 

Phoenix Star 8/1 1st (+8pts Betfair SP 10.77 ) 

Lay Bets: The Establishment +1pt, No Diggity +1pt 

Total: +10pts

KEMPTON 8.30 6F Class 6 Div II

This 2nd division is impossible to analyse mainly due to there being no known front runners in the race and eight 3yo’s but I do have one of the 3yo’s in my top 4 ratings, in fact there's only 4 horses with a recorded time and I will be dutching all four of them to low stakes as anything could improve and scuttle my plans, I am hoping SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 5/1 does best of the 3yo’s but it may need a degree of luck from stall 12 it is my 2nd top rated on just 2020 times and 4th top overall, the other 3 are older horses, AGUEROOO 20/1 is 2nd top overall if I use a time from 2018 and it hasn't run over this c/d since that year so cannot be ignored, GHEPARDO 6/1 is top rated on just 2020 c/d times which is always a positive while the 4th horse I will dutch is NAPPING 20/1 who has only a slow time over this c/d but has a good time from Lingfield but it is top rated using a Chelmsford time.

Napping 20/1 1st (+20pts (Betfair 13.5)
Aguerooo 20/1 6th -1pt
Ghepardo 9/1 9th -1pt 
Sir Rodneyredblood 9/2 Unp -1pt 

Total: +17pts 

Total on the day: +26pts

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