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Monday 16 November 2020

12:20 Southwell Racing Tips (17th November)

SOUTHWELL 12.20 5f Div I

There's 3 known front runners in this race, the top 3 in the handicap but its a low grade 6 affair, A Go Go from stall 9 might do best of them, Ustath has been in good form and comes out 2nd best on my figures but isn't big enough to back each way the same applies to Dark Side Dream who is a 3yo and my 3rd top rated, my money will be riding on AWAKE IN ASIA 14/1 (EW) who will be staying on strongly at the finish and with plenty of early pace in the race it might be run to suit it and looks worth an each way punt at the price. 

Awake In Asia 33/1 5th -2pts

Total: -2pts

SOUTHWELL 12.50 5f Div II

There's no known front runners in this 2nd division which always makes a race hard to analyse, I've got joint 3rd top rated horses in Raabeh and Loulin but both of themes best time was recorded in 2019, in 2nd top spot is Time To Reason 12/1 and might be worth an each way punt but my money will be on BLUELLA 5/1 who will hope there's a decent early pace as it likes to stay on strongly at the finish. 

Bluella 5/1 3rd - 1pt 

Total: -1pt

SOUTHWELL 3.50 6f 

The top weight Pearl Of Qatar is my 4th top rated and versatile when it comes to racing tactics, 3rd best on my figures is Global Humor who likes to track the leaders, Requited has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated but its best from this year has been well below that level and its an outsider in the betting, i am hoping that KRAKA 7/1 from stall 9 can either lead or at least contest the lead and then prove hard to catch if getting to the front, it is my top rated on 2020 c/d times and 2nd top overall. 

Kraka 7/1 8th -1pt

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.45 6f Div I

This 1st division is full of 3yo’s, seven in number and other lightly raced sorts and I was going to leave the race alone until I saw the betting, Kommander Kirkup 25/1 could be an each way bet if bouncing back to form, Kilconquaar is another that could go well but isn't really an each way price but I will be having a small each way punt on STAR CRACKER 14/1 (EW) who is a known front runner and could go better than the price suggests. 

Star Cracker 22/1 Unp  (-2pts)

Total: -2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.15 6f Div II 

This 2nd division isn't much better with a limited amount of data to work with, Burtonwood has some form from last year and even better form from 2017 that would put it in the mix, Etikaal could also go well but I will be having a small bet on PHANTASMAL 9/1 (EW) and at the price it might be worth backing each way.

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