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Monday 21 December 2020

11:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (22nd December)


It is only a class 6 race and to be honest it doesn't thrill me although there isn't much difference between my top 5 ratings, Aguerooo has a good time from 2019 but has been way below that level this year and I cant see it changing here, Captain Ryan has a time from this year that would make it my 2nd top rated on c/d 2020 only times but drops to joint 3rd best overall, The Lacemaker is another that hasn't shown much lately but it does have the stall 1 draw which is always a bonus and I would expect the horse will ridden to the fore in this race but has slow times over this c/d and its best came from Chelmsford, Dreamboat Annie 11/1 could be the one to set the pace despite being drawn in stall 11 and if allowed an uncontested lead it could go well and may even make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, i will be putting my faith in SPREADSHEET 3/1 as this 3yo finished 4th in its last 2 races and beaten less than 2 lengths and the race before last was run at a fast pace and that makes it my top rated on 2020 c/d times and from stall 4 it ought to be able to get a good position from which to attack in the home straight. 

Spreadsheet 3/1 1st (+3pts) (Betfair SP 3.43)

Total: +3pts


Only 7 runners but 6 of them appear to like to lead so will they go off too fast I don't know but even if they do i doubt the other horse, Nigel Nott 10/3, can prosper and at the price I will lay it, Ornate 8/1 has the best draw but I am not convinced it is fast enough to lead in this race and then stall 1 can become a negative also the jockeys 1-19 doesn't inspire confidence so another i will look to lay if it remains a single figure price, of the other 5 any of them could win this race, Leodis Dream who is my 5th top rated has a poor looking jockey booking as he is 0-5 for the stable which is a little off-putting but the trainer has a 20% win ratio with their older horses, I've got joint 3rd top rated in Royal Birth and Watchable and both have good jockey bookings, Verne Castle is 2nd top rated and this one has good trainer stats but the jockey is 1-6 which isn't really enough to be certain if its a good booking or not, the in form 3lb claiming apprentice riding LIHOU 9/2 moves this one to top spot and if getting to the font could be hard to catch, it is a competitive race and stakes have to be reflect that fact.

Lijou 9/2 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +2pts

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