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Sunday 20 December 2020

2:05 Lingfield - Horse Racing Tips (21st December)


A nice looking class 4 race, depending on prices I will look to lay Pop Dancer, Doc Sportello and Bombastic, there's few that could run well, El Hombre, Count Otto and Wheres Mick and could be an each way bet but hopefully they will only be battling for 3rd place as I will be backing ARAIFJAN 5/1 who can be versatile with its racing tactics and as its drawn in stall 1 I think it might race from the front as will my other selection MERHOOB 10/3 as long as it gets out quickly enough from stall 12, they both have good trainer/jockey stats making both stables are expecting to win this race. 

Araifan 5/1 6th (-1pt)
Merhoob 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts 


For a class 5 race this looks very competitive, there's plenty of early paced types so it should be a true run race, Boom The Groom won last time out over this c/d but its penalty for winning that race wont make it easy for it to follow up here but it could go well, in fact I've only got 2 horses that are not with a few pounds of my 2nd to 7th rated horses but i think at the weights my top rated beast is COMEATCHOO 6/1 and from stall 1 it can hopefully get a good early position from which to attack in the home straight. 

Comeatchoo 6/1 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt


The draw usually makes no difference at this straight course and there is 3 known front running types in this field of 12, Gunmetal in stall 2 is one of them and my 5th top rated, in 4th top spot is Lucky Lodge who will be trying to stay on at the finish after tracking the leaders, Tathmeen is 3rd top and will be running on well at the finish but i will be backing FANTASY KEEPER 8/1 who is top rated on 2020 c/d times and a front runner so if getting there he should be hard to catch but the top weight WASNTEXPECTINGTHAT 20/1 (EW) has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated and this is a drop down in class for it so has to be worth an each way wager at the price 

Fantasy Keeper 16/1 5th (-1pt)
Wasntexpectingthat 20/1 Unp (-2pts)

Total: -3pts


Boy oh boy is the ratings for this race so close at the top of the leader board, there's several who could make the frame and there might be an each way wager when I've seen the betting, Kommander Kirkup is my 3rd top rated on 2020 c/d times but this 9 yo does seem to be on a slow downward spiral and could go well here, the top weight Phoenix Star is going for the hattrick and is my 2nd top rated and that is only by 1lb but the reason I am going for PROPHECY 10/1 (EW) is that it could be the one to set the pace and if allowed an easy lead could lead from start to finish although the trainer/jockey stats are a little off-putting but hopefully it will be an each way price and worth a small punt.

Prophecy 10/1 Unp (-2pts)

Total on the Day: -8pts

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