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Sunday, 3 January 2021

1:10 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th January)

LINGFIELD 1.10 

An eight runner dash where 5 of them have been known to lead so it should be fast and furious, the 2 I think will be outsiders, Stake Acclaim and Spirit Of May, may struggle to get involved in this race, Recon Mission 6/1 might be worth a lay if of value as I am not convinced it is up to winning in this class, Watchable 13/2 might do best of those coming from off the pace but maybe too late to win the race but could make the frame but isn't what I call an each way price, Royal Birth 11/4 has a win record of 4-12 over this c/d so cannot be dismissed out of hand and comes out 4th best on my figures but pricewise I think it is way too short, Ornate 9/2 sits in 3rd top spot so could also go well but once again it isn't an each way price, Lihou 4/1 comes out 2nd best but isn't ideally drawn in stall 8 and there's no value in backing it each way, I will be having a punt, hopefully an each way punt, on VERNE CASTLE 10/1 who looks the value call in the race and is a possible pacesetter and has the plum stall one draw and if getting control of the rails it could be hard to catch and as long as there is eight runners it would have to be given as an each way wager.

Verne Castle 10/1 2nd +1.5pts

Total: +1.5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.50 

Apart from Sarah's Verse at the bottom of the handicap and Fantastic Flyer who will both be biggish prices I cannot find anything else worthwhile laying, with an apprentice taking weight off the top weight Inevitable Outcome 9/4 it could run well here and is my top rated on just 2020 c/d times and is maybe a worthy favourite and I might have a covering bet on it just incase my selection doesn't do the business, Kraka 3/1 looks the one most likely to set the pace and the apprentice does well for this stable but the horses 0-3 record at this c/d is a bit off-putting but it could still do enough to make the frame but isn't an each way price, Bahuta Acha 16/1 is 2-8 over this c/d and could also go well so might be worth an each way bet, I am going to take a bit of a risk and put my money on ALBUM 9/1 who hasn't run on this surface before but its best time from Chelmsford in 2020 makes it my top rated overall and hopefully it will take to this surface it has good trainer, 17% and jockey 26%, stats so I think connections are expecting to win this race.

Album 9/1 1st (+9pts)

Total +9pts 

Total on the day +10.5pts

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