This isn't the greatest of races and there's not a lot to say about most of the runners, there is 3 horses known to lead and the race could well be won from the front, firstly I will look to lay (Arzaak 4/1 + Jumira Bridge 9/2) as I don't think this is either of their favourite surface, the latter could attempt to lead but maybe not be able to here, my money will be riding on SUPER JULIUS 7/2 who in the make-up of this race might be able to get to the front and if getting there it could prove hard to catch.
Super Julius 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Lay bets: Jumira Bridge -3pts, Arzaak +1pt
Total: -3pts
KEMPTON 6.45
Only 6 runners in this class 2 Conditions race but none of them are known as front runners so I just hope its a true run affair, Brian The Snail comes out top rated on just 2020 c/d times but that's only good enough for 3rd top spot overall, my top 2 both recorded their best times at Lingfield which is the same surface as here, Gulliver is my 2nd top rated but did record a good time here before but that was way back in 2017 so not sure how significant that is nowadays and its best Lingfield time came in 2019 so my money will be riding on ABERAMA GOLD 5/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish.
Aberama Gold 3/1 5th (-1pt)
Total: -1pt
KEMPTON 7.15
Quite a nice looking class 4 race, firstly I will look to lay (Equitation 6/1) as its not been in great form and may prefer a longer distance, Owney Madden comes out 4th top on my figures but that is using a time from Chelmsford, Ghaith is my 3rd top rated and this ones best time was recorded over this c/d but in 2019 and it 2 previous c/d runs have seen it make the frame but no wins, in 2nd top spot sits Global Warning 2/1 but it doesn't look any value at the price so I will be siding with the front running BOWLING RUSSIAN who is my top rated using a Lingfield time in 2020 and it is well drawn in stall 2 for one that likes to lead.
Bowling Russian 18/1 7th (-1pt)
Lay bets: Equitation +1pt
Total: 0pts
Total on the day: -4pts
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