7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 

Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 

Coley's Koko 

Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30

A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 

*NR

Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts

The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts

3:10 Newcastle Racing Tips (23rd February)

NEWCASTLE 3.10 

NIGEL NOTT has a good rating from Chelmsford which would make it my 3rd top rated but doesn't seem to like this surface as much and I will look to lay it. 

*STRONG POWER has quite poor trainer/jockey stats and may be better over a longer distance so another I will look to lay.

LOOK OUT LOUIS has good trainer stats and the jockey stats are good but the jockey has only had 2 rides for the stable and another I think might need further and could be a lay.

SPOOF again has good jockey stats but there's only 4 races to work with it should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late but maybe not one to risk with a lay bet.

SECRETINTHEPARK who has good jockey stats is the only known front running type in the race and a repeat of a c/d win last year would see it hold on for the win. 

BE PROUD comes out 2nd best on my figures and has good jockey stats and could be the one for the forecast. 

SUMMARY: Four of the runners have good trainer and/or jockey stats but they cant all be

right, I'm not sure which ones I will lay if any so I will be hoping that SECRETINTHEPARK 5/1 who is the only “known” front runner in the race can lead from start to finish and hold on for the win. 

*NR

Secretinthepark 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Look Out Louis +1pt

Total 0pts

KEMPTON  7.00 

JUAN LES PINS hasn't shown much time wise since 2020 on this surface but has a rating from Newcastle which would make it my 3rd top rated on overall figures so could make the frame. 

BOWLING RUSSIAN has been out of form lately has had one run since taking a 3 month break and if back to form it could lead all the way.

KONDRATIEV WAVE comes out 5th best on my figures so could make the frame if others falter, has stall 1 which is a bonus for this front running type. 

DURDLE DOOR the 3rd of the 4 known front running style horses in this race although it doesn't have to lead but stall 9 isn't ideal. 

EQUITATION will be trying to stay on nearing the finish but maybe too late and may be better over further.

ENDURING the last of those known to lead but time wise this one has a good few spots to make up and might not catch the leaders in time for the win. 

TYGER BAY this ones best rating from both 2021 and 2020 would leave it a bit short of whats required to win this race and may not pick up the leaders in time. 

ET TU BRUTE hasn't shown much worthwhile and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race. 

SEAS OF ELZAAM hasn't been in the best of form lately and its best rating from 2020 would still leave it outside my top 5 ratings. 

SIR GREGORY won the time before last over this course and distance but that was a relatively slow run race and might get outpaced early doors in this race.

CLASHANISKA has poor trainer, 1-77 stats but has a time from 2021 which puts it in 2nd top spot on my figures and I'm not sure this course suits it 

SUMMARY: There should be a decent early pace to this race, I might look to lay Enduring who likes to set its own slower early pace which I doubt it will be allowed to do in this race, while Equitation may need further to show its best and I could well add Sir Gregory to that list, Clashanishka, Durdle Door, Juan Les Pins and Kondratiev Wave all have pieces of form and ratings that could see them make the frame here but I will be taking a punt on hopefully an outsider by having an each way punt on BOWLING RUSSIAN 16/1 (EW) who is my top rated using a Lingfield rating it produced in 2020 and its best from 2021 wasn't too far adrift of that rating and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and the each way bet for insurance in case it fades nearing the finish.

Bowling Russian 28/1 8th -2pts 

Lay bet Enduring +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

12:35 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th February)

LINGFIELD 12.35 

Only 7 runners but luckily there is a couple of front running types in the race, I will look to lay (One Hart 5/2) if its a single figure price as it might prefer further to show its best and I am surprised how short it is in the betting, my 3rd top rated is Kondratiev Wave and is one of those that could lead and from stall 3 could gain control of the rails but the jockeys 0-13 record on this trainers horses is a little off-putting, the top weight Count Otto will probably be the favourite (13/8) after winning last time out and comes out 2nd best on my figure so could go well here but it is too short for me to be interested so i will be putting my faith and money on BOWLING RUSSIAN 11/2 who normally needs one run to gain fitness after a break so could be primed here, the jockey booking looks a positive with a win ratio of over 40% plus the horse is 2 from 2 over this c/d. 

Bowling Russian 13/2 6th (-1pt)

Lay bet: One Hart +1pt

Total: 0pts

LINGFIELD 1.11 

WOW WOW!! 

What a race. 

A 6-furlong Listed with nine runners with two known front runners and every one of them has a positive trainer and/or jockey stats. 

For a prize of 17k they should all be trying.

Fizzy Feet a front runner who is well housed in stall 2 won last time out but I'm not 100% sure it's up to this class but I am not sure either way.

Burmese Waltz 16/1 has a very good jockey stat but it hasn't been up to it with its last 3 runs at this class after winning a class 3 handicap but it is an each way price and could feasibly make the frame. 

Tinto has decent jockey stats but hasn't won in this class before but did finish 2nd over this c/d in a Listed race in 2019. 

Royal Birth has the odd fast time at this distance but most of its good speed figures are over 5 furlongs.

Summerghand 7/2 hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 and one I would look to lay if it stays a single figure price. 

Mum's Tipple 15/2 is the other possible pacesetter but hasn't ran on the AW before but does have a fast time over this trip on g/f ground at York so could go well but isn't quite what I would call an each way price.

Misty Grey has never ran over this distance on this surface but has a fast time from Wolverhampton but that is a slower surface which might have helped its cause and it might need further to show its best on this faster surface.

Exalted Angel 16/1 hasn't any course form or distance form on any AW track but has 2 wins, 5 places from 8 AW runs elsewhere so could be dangerous but all its at shorter trips and its not fancied in the betting. 

ABERAMA GOLD 15/2 hasn't got as good trainer/jockey stats as some of its rivals but it does have the fastest time recorded in 2020 and has posted a time this year which was only 5lbs below that and if back to its best it has got the stall 1 draw so it ought to be able to get a position on the rails about a length behind the leaders ready to pounce in the home straight and could get back to winning ways here.

Aberama Gold 9/2 4th (-1pt)

Summerghand +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day: 0pts

12:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (6th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 12.45 

This isn't the greatest of races and there's not a lot to say about most of the runners, there is 3 horses known to lead and the race could well be won from the front, firstly I will look to lay (Arzaak 4/1 + Jumira Bridge 9/2) as I don't think this is either of their favourite surface, the latter could attempt to lead but maybe not be able to here, my money will be riding on SUPER JULIUS 7/2 who in the make-up of this race might be able to get to the front and if getting there it could prove hard to catch. 

Super Julius 7/2 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Jumira Bridge -3pts, Arzaak +1pt

Total: -3pts

KEMPTON 6.45 

Only 6 runners in this class 2 Conditions race but none of them are known as front runners so I just hope its a true run affair, Brian The Snail comes out top rated on just 2020 c/d times but that's only good enough for 3rd top spot overall, my top 2 both recorded their best times at Lingfield which is the same surface as here, Gulliver is my 2nd top rated but did record a good time here before but that was way back in 2017 so not sure how significant that is nowadays and its best Lingfield time came in 2019 so my money will be riding on ABERAMA GOLD 5/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish. 

Aberama Gold 3/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

KEMPTON 7.15 

Quite a nice looking class 4 race, firstly I will look to lay (Equitation 6/1) as its not been in great form and may prefer a longer distance, Owney Madden comes out 4th top on my figures but that is using a time from Chelmsford, Ghaith is my 3rd top rated and this ones best time was recorded over this c/d but in 2019 and it 2 previous c/d runs have seen it make the frame but no wins, in 2nd top spot sits Global Warning 2/1 but it doesn't look any value at the price so I will be siding with the front running BOWLING RUSSIAN who is my top rated using a Lingfield time in 2020 and it is well drawn in stall 2 for one that likes to lead.

Bowling Russian 18/1 7th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Equitation +1pt

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -4pts