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Monday, 25 January 2021

1:25 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (26th January)


SOUTHWELL 1.25 

There's only 7 runners with one known front running type and one i would like to lay if a single figure price, (Giogiobbo 7/2) who looks better over 6 furlongs and may get outpaced here, so King Of Stars looks the likely leader but time wise I doubt it can hang on for the win but may go ok if allowed an uncontested lead and can set its own slightly slower pace, Thegreatestshowman comes out 3rd top but the apprentices 5lb claim moves it to top spot but he has only 1 previous ride for this stable where he didn't win and trainers 9% win ratio at this course doesn't inspire confidence, MULZIM 5/1 is my 2nd top rated and likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but as the trainer has an 18% win ratio here and the jockey has a 35% win ratio on the stables older horses makes me think that connections are expecting to win here but I do have DRAKEFELL 8/1 rated 2lbs higher and this one also use the same racing tactics while the trainer has a 16% win ratio at the course so i will be backing them both. 

*Sorry, the time for this race was given 1:55. 

Mulzim 5/1 1st (+5pts)
Drakefell 8/1 5th (-1pt)

Lay bet: Giogiobbo (+1pt) 

Total: +5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.40

I'm not sure what to make of all these stake races and most of them are full of lightly raced types who are trying to take advantage of their low ratings, I think Kits Allanah may need further and looks as though further suits it better, I think Captain Ryan might set the pace and its best time from 2019 makes it my 3rd top rated but the jockey is 1-20 for the stable enough to put me off, my joint top rated Amazing Amaya jockeys is only 1-42 and again its best time came from 2019, the other joint top rated Dubai Paradise has a poor jockey record of 0-13 and its time comes from Chelmsford, so my money will be riding on the top rated on recent c/d times in the shape of JEANS MAITE 4/1 who recorded that on its only previous c/d run when it won last time out here.

Jeans Maite 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: +4pts

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