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Sunday 21 February 2021

5:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (22nd February)


VENTURA LIGHTNING 7/1 has 10% trainer/jockey stats, has a c/d time from 2020 that would make it 2nd top rated on recent times and has an even better time from Newcastle which would make it 2nd top rated overall, it usually tracks the leaders and they stay on dourly at the finish, and could make the frame but isn't in my opinion an each way price. 

ALMINOOR 7/1 hasn't any form on this surface and the best from him came at Southwell, it has good jockey stats, 18%, so could go well but I have a feeling this surface doesn't really suit it and trainer has only a 9% win ratio at this course and maybe worth laying at the price.

DILIGENT LADY 5/1 trainer has 13% win ratio and the jockey has won 15% of the time, it has a time from Lingfield, a different surface, that would put it in the mix, it hasn't any form on this surface, the jockey stats make me think connections are expecting a big run. 

SUN POWER 7/1 has poor trainer, 1-21 and jockey 0-7, stats but will be trying to stay on at the finish and is 2-2 over this c/d and I'm wondering if its quite up to winning this race but this 4yo might still have some improvement to come.

FUTURISTIC 3/1 has average trainer,12% and jockey 10% stats, time wise it would have to improve, its best time came from Newcastle so should like the surface but I'm not sure that its up to winning at this level and looks poor value so maybe worth taking a risk and lay it. 

EL HOMBRE 7/1 has an 8% win ratio for the trainer and 13% is the jockeys win ratio, it has a time from both 2019 and 2020 that could see it being competitive here and has won twice, plus made the frame 4 times from 9 c/d runs and could make the frame again in this race. 

SPARTAN FIGHTER 12/1 (EW) has average, 11%, trainer stats but jockey stats of 18%, its best time over this c/d, has a recent c/d time that would make it my 3rd top rated and using a time from Newcastle it would be top rated overall. 

HEER WE GO AGAIN 12/1 has average trainer/jockey stats, 11% + 13%, it seems to do better over a shorter distance and may also be outclassed in this race. 

SUMMARY: This isn't an easy race to come to a conclusion, there are several horses that have pieces of form that could see them go well in this race, there is a couple of runners (Alminoor 7/1) and Heer We Go Again, that i will look to lay if they are of value to do so but I will be putting my trust and money on. SPARTAN FIGHTER 12/1 (EW) with only 8 runners the draw may not play a vital part in the outcome of this race but I feel that the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim could swing things in the favour of my selection and as long as all 8 runners take part I will suggest going with an each way wager.

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