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Friday, 19 February 2021

3:46 Lingfield Racing Tips (20th February)


LINGFIELD 3.46 

A field of 8 in a nice looking class 4 race, with a couple of front runners it should be a true run affair, one them Capla Spirit is drawn widest of all in stall 8 and this one needs to improve time wise to lead all the way, the top weight Raasel is the 7/4 favourite it has only ran 3 times, twice in 2019 winning once on g/s ground on grass and then 3rd in a class 3 race again on g/s ground, it could be head and shoulders above today's opposition but its not run on this course before and its time from Chelmsford wouldn't see it winning but it has potential so my stakes will be kept low for this race, Saaheq is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leader, in 2nd spot but only rated 1lb higher is Shamshon who likes to track the leaders and then keep on stoutly at the finish I’m hoping that ZULU ZANDER 6/1 can lead from stall 1 and being my top rated hold on for the win and looks the value call in the race. 

Zulu Zander 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Note: Eric's top three horses filled the frame T/C £257.30 

NEWCASTLE 7.00 

If there's a fast early pace to this poor class 6 stakes race, which looks likely, then there's a few who may struggle to stay the distance but I think they will be too big to be of value to lay but i will put it up if any are worthwhile laying, I hope all 8 take part in case I find an each way wager when I see the betting, there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my top two ratings, STAR CRACKER 4/1 is top rated on recent c/d times and has won 3 times over this c/d, the other front runner is DODGY BOB 10/1 who hasn't won from 4 attempts over this c/d but has a time from Wolverhampton, the same surface, that would put it 2lbs clear of my other selection, and this one also has what looks a positive jockey booking and I will go with backing them both. 

Dodgy Bob 10/1 -1pt 
Star Cracker 17/2 5th -1pt 

Total on the day: -2pts

NEWCASTLE 7.30

I am not very confident with the analysis of this race, there is 4 known front running types in the race, drawn in stalls 3.6.7 and 8, and 2 of them are my top 2 ratings, which you would think would make my analysis easy but there is a few if’s, if they go off too fast then the one that could prosper is my 3rd top rated horse Primos Comet who usually stays on at the business end of a race, Longroom is my 2nd top rated and has won twice from its 8 previous c/d runs but the trainer has a fairly poor, 8%, win ratio at this course and the 3lb claiming apprentice jockey has an even poorer 0-6 record for the stable, my top rated is ROCKLEY POINT 10/1 (EW) who is a front runner and in stall 3 so it need not get into a head to head battle for the lead, it has been beaten but only just in this class of race and I'm hoping it is up to winning at this level and at the price is has to be an each way wager.

Rockley Point 10/1 2nd +1pt

Total +1pt

Total on the day -2pts 

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