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Sunday, 23 May 2021

2:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (24th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.30 

SUPER JULIUS 9/1 a possible pacesetter has to have some chance of winning this race, its 1 win and 2 places from its 3 previous c/d runs, trainers stat is 11% win ratio and the jockeys is 10%, has one time that would make it my 2nd top rated and top rated on justc/d times but that time might have been a fluke but even its next best time would put it in the mix.

HYBA 11/1 is making its handicap debut and it would have to improve dramatically on what its shown so far and those runs have been over this distance I would look to lay it but I expect it will be a double figure price. 

MO HENRY 5/1 the trainers stat is 0-6 at this course with their older horses and I had to go back to 2014 to find a time over this c/d and even then it was relatively slow, its times on good or better on turf have also been slow so i would look to lay this one if a single figure price. 

BLACKCURRENT 6/1 the jockey stats on this trainers horses is 4-10 which is very good, it has won twice from 20 AW runs but at this c/d it would need to improve time wise to win this race, but has no wins and 3 placed effort from 5 races, it could run okay so i would look to lay this one for the win part only. 

KING ROBERT 12/1 has had 5 runs over this c/d without producing a recorded speed figure but its best time from Kempton( a different surface) it would be my top rated but it doesn't appear to like this surface and could need further to shine so i would look to lay it if its of value to do so. 

BLUE VENTURE 8/1 another possible pacesetter but its not won any of its 12 AW races but has been placed twice, it may need this run for fitness so I will add it to my list of potential lays in this race if a single figure price. 

BACK FROM DUBAI 14/1 hasn't shown much and hasn't made the frame in any of its previous 8 races on AW tracks and i don't think this trip will suit it as I think it needs further to show its true worth. 

HARD SOLUTION 7/1 a versatile type when its comes to racing tactics and has got the stall 1 draw so could go from the front in this race, it has won over this c/d before and using its best time from 2020 it comes out my top rated on recent (2020/21) figures.

CAPTAIN RYAN 11/2 is another front running type and from stall 5 it should be able to gain a good prominent position from the off and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but I did have to go back to 2019 to find its best time, it has won 4 times over this c/d and I quite like the look of the jockey booking as its their 1st ride for the stable in the last 5 years. 

STONE PRINCESS 25/1 six runs on turf over this distance on good or good to firm going and it hasn't even made the frame, i expect it will be the rank outsider in the race. 

RAABEH 5/1 is still a maiden after 12 races with 10 of them being on the AW tracks, its 2 c/d runs haven't produced a recorded speed figure but it does have a good time from Newcastle which would put it in the mix but i think it might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run race. 

SUMMARY: This isn't an easy race to analyse to a conclusion but I have found negatives against 8 of the 11 runners leaving me with just 3 possibles and I cannot split them so I will go with dutching 3 horses in this race and all 3 of them have been known to lead before and I think this race will be won by something to the fore in this race from the off, CAPTAIN RYAN 11/2 in stall 5, HARD SOLUTION 7/1 in stall 1 and SUPER JULIUS 9/1 in stall 10, which will lead I am not sure but as long as they don't cut each others throats by battling for the lead and then fading I cannot see the winner coming from off the pace.

Captain Ryan 16/1 1st +16pts (Betfair SP -) 
Hard Solution 14/1 4th -1pt
Super Julius 9/1 9th -1pt 

Total on the day: +14pts 

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