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Wednesday, 16 June 2021

2:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (17th June)

CHELMSFORD 2.10 

Only 6 runner with half of them being 3yo’s, I will look to lay half the field, Marly has only shown poor form recently and the jockey is 1-28 for the stable so I'm hoping that's a good pointer to its chances here, Red Fascinator looking at its form elsewhere this 3yo might not like this surface but it is one that likes to lead but I doubt it can stay there on this surface, Lovely Breeze is another 3yo and is forecast to be a hot favourite but I think this one will be better when raced over longer distances and could get outpaced in the early stages if Royal Dynasty and Red Fascinator battle to lead and then might not get to them quickly enough to win this race so i will be siding with MINHAAJ 10/1 who is usually held up for a late run and this race might be run to suit its style. 

Minhaaj 17/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

RIPON 3.25 

A field of 15 with 2 known front runners amongst them but only 6 runners have times fast enough to register on my figures, firstly I will look to lay Mo Henry 9/1 who hasn't won since 2017 but is forecast to be a single figure price and Lucky Beggar 7/1 who hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 despite having what looks like decent recent form with a win and a place in its last 3 runs and could feasibly be placed again here but I doubt it can win the race, Ustath could go well as it recorded its best time this year when it won at Thirsk, my 2nd top rated is Gullane One who along with Ustath could set the pace to this race and if allowed an easy lead it could prove troublesome to catch but I will be backing HARD SOLUTION 9/2 who has won its last 2 races and has been found an ideal opportunity to complete the hattrick here. 

Hard Solution 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 7.10 

A 10 runner race where only half of then have registered on my speed figures, I will look to lay Trouser The Cash 2/1 who has a time from Chelmsford last year that would make it my 2nd top rated but it usually needs its first run after a break for fitness so lets hope that happens time as well, Katelli 10/3 who hasn't any c/d form but looks as though its better when raced over further and Hyba 9/4 who only recorded a slow time when finishing 3rd last time out at Wolverhampton so might have been flattered by that result, Hurricane Alert has a time that would make it my 3rd top rated but that was back in 2019, Mercers and Kyllukey are 2 others with recorded times but only 4th and 5th fastest, I will be backing AGUEROOO 9/2 who usually stays on strongly nearing the finish over this minimum distance and hopefully from stall 4 it can gain a good early position to work with and then a clear run when challenging. This race is a good example of how I try to bet/lay in the same race, if you lay the 3 horses at 2/1, 9/4 and 10/3 you lose very little if anything if one of them does go on to win.

Aguerooo 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

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