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Showing posts with label Minhaaj. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Minhaaj. Show all posts

Monday, 1 May 2023

4:55 Brighton Racing Tips (2nd May)

BRIGHTON 4.55 

A field of 11 for this class 6 sprint where I expect the early pace might be set by Liberty Bay 20/1 but this one hasn't produced much time wise since 2021 but might be worth a small each way punt as it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its best rating from 2021 would make it my 2nd top rated horse. Madrinho 6/1 hasn't won a race since 2021 and might be worth laying if its a single figure price, McQueen 4/1 might need a longer trip to show its best work as might Rainbow Sign 7/1 but I doubt they will be a single figure price (which goes to show how much I know about predicting the betting). No Speed Limit 5/1 and Autumn Flight 6/1 on the other hand might prefer a shorter distance to shine so I could look to lay these if they are of value to do so. Hagla Sophia 4/1 usually races in midfield before staying on at the finish and could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price and if fully fit on its first run for quite a while, I will take a punt in this race on MINHAAJ 10/1 (EW) who usually stays on strongly over this distance and might be worth a small each way punt. 

Minhaaj 10/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Autumn Flight -6pts, Madrinho +1pt, No Speed Limit +1pt

Total -6pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.40 

Another field of 11 for this class 6 dash this time I can see 2 horses that have been known to lead before, Next Second could possibly lead if nothing else wants to and if allowed an easy lead then could be a danger but I think the early pace will be set by Rockley Point 7/4 who comes in 4th on my ratings and could do enough to make the frame and to me looks poor value to back but I also couldn't lay it in case its allowed an easy lead and leads all the way. Pandemic Princess 11/1 and Bankrupt 5/1 both usually run on at the finish over this distance but both would need to improve time wise to win this race. Red Allure has a good time to its name from Newcastle but its not done anything worthwhile time wise at this course since 2021, Iconicdaay also has a good rating but has never won over this distance and hasn't been in good from recently. My money will be riding on WE’RE REUNITED 10/3 who will be staying on strongly at the finish, it indicated a return to form when finishing 3rd last time out and if getting some luck in running when making a challenge it could get back to winning ways here but I will admit I was expecting it to be about double the price on offer. 

We're Reunited 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.10 

One extra runner here to make it 12 runners for this class 6 sprint where the early pace looks most likely to be set by Another Angel 4/1 who happens to be my 4th top rated and with an easy lead could at least make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. If Jumira Bridge 15/2, Hard Solution 18/1 and Fair And Square 5/1 are single figure prices I would look to lay them all as they seem better prospects over shorter distance races. Catesby 15/2 comes out 3rd top on my figures and usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish, BUNGLE BAY 11/2 is my 2nd top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and the switch back to turf could see this one bounce back to form and the same can be said for YAAHOBBY 14/1 (EW) who also recorded its best time over this course and distance last year and i will be backing them both, with a win bet on the former and an each way wager on the latter, hoping at least one of them can reproduce its previous best.

Yaahobby 14/1 3rd +2.8pts
Bungle Bay 13/2 4th -1pt 

Total +1.8pts 

Total on the day -5.2pts

Wednesday, 16 June 2021

2:10 Chelmsford Racing Tips (17th June)

CHELMSFORD 2.10 

Only 6 runner with half of them being 3yo’s, I will look to lay half the field, Marly has only shown poor form recently and the jockey is 1-28 for the stable so I'm hoping that's a good pointer to its chances here, Red Fascinator looking at its form elsewhere this 3yo might not like this surface but it is one that likes to lead but I doubt it can stay there on this surface, Lovely Breeze is another 3yo and is forecast to be a hot favourite but I think this one will be better when raced over longer distances and could get outpaced in the early stages if Royal Dynasty and Red Fascinator battle to lead and then might not get to them quickly enough to win this race so i will be siding with MINHAAJ 10/1 who is usually held up for a late run and this race might be run to suit its style. 

Minhaaj 17/2 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

RIPON 3.25 

A field of 15 with 2 known front runners amongst them but only 6 runners have times fast enough to register on my figures, firstly I will look to lay Mo Henry 9/1 who hasn't won since 2017 but is forecast to be a single figure price and Lucky Beggar 7/1 who hasn't shown much time wise since 2019 despite having what looks like decent recent form with a win and a place in its last 3 runs and could feasibly be placed again here but I doubt it can win the race, Ustath could go well as it recorded its best time this year when it won at Thirsk, my 2nd top rated is Gullane One who along with Ustath could set the pace to this race and if allowed an easy lead it could prove troublesome to catch but I will be backing HARD SOLUTION 9/2 who has won its last 2 races and has been found an ideal opportunity to complete the hattrick here. 

Hard Solution 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt

LINGFIELD 7.10 

A 10 runner race where only half of then have registered on my speed figures, I will look to lay Trouser The Cash 2/1 who has a time from Chelmsford last year that would make it my 2nd top rated but it usually needs its first run after a break for fitness so lets hope that happens time as well, Katelli 10/3 who hasn't any c/d form but looks as though its better when raced over further and Hyba 9/4 who only recorded a slow time when finishing 3rd last time out at Wolverhampton so might have been flattered by that result, Hurricane Alert has a time that would make it my 3rd top rated but that was back in 2019, Mercers and Kyllukey are 2 others with recorded times but only 4th and 5th fastest, I will be backing AGUEROOO 9/2 who usually stays on strongly nearing the finish over this minimum distance and hopefully from stall 4 it can gain a good early position to work with and then a clear run when challenging. This race is a good example of how I try to bet/lay in the same race, if you lay the 3 horses at 2/1, 9/4 and 10/3 you lose very little if anything if one of them does go on to win.

Aguerooo 6/1 7th -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts