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Monday 7 June 2021

5:45 Ayr Racing Tips (8th June)

AYR 5.45 

JAARYLAH 4/1 hasn't any form at this distance on turf and i think it might be better when running over a longer distance and has poorish trainer 1-6 and jockey 1-15 stats so maybe worth laying. 

PEARL OF QATAR 11/8 has good trainer 33% and jockey 17% win stats and it usually stays on strongly at the business end of a race admittedly its a poor price. 

NEVER IN PARIS 9/2 has only slow times and maybe because it doesn't do its best on good to firm ground and the jockey has poor stats of 0-6 on the stables older horses so one to lay if the going is good to firm. 

AVEBURY 7/1 its one run over this distance on good ground resulted in a slow time and may be another that doesn't really like fast going, not enough data to be confident enough to lay it. 

AMAZING ALBA 14/1 has only slow times over this distance and seems much better when racing over shorter distances would be a lay if a single figure price. 

ORIENTAL LILLY 8/1 hasn't shown much since 2019 where it recorded its best time but it hasn't won on turf since 2018 which is off-putting. 

SUMMARY: I am not sure what will lead in this race which always means that my stakes will be kept on the low side of things, if I go back to 2018 times then Oriental Lilly would be my top rated but hasn't shown much time wise recently but I will be siding with PEARL OF QATAR 11/8 who is my 2nd top rated and that is using a time from this year an also has good trainer/jockey stats which makes me think the connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race. 

Pearl Of Qatar 11/8 1st +1.375pts (Betfair SP - )

Total +1.375pts

Another day, another winner. Admittedly, this was a favourite but a profit is a profit. You may have wanted to visit France and experience a little Parisian culture or just get stuck in at casino france and spend out with your Euros. 

I've got a couple of mates who emigrated to New Zealand. It's meant to be a beautiful place. The closest I've got to the place yet is visiting newzealandcasinos casino and I filled my pockets with loot.   

AYR 6.45 

MODULAR MAGIC 9/4 usually likes to track the leaders but its run on good to form ground back in 2019 resulted in it not even registering on my figures but I am sure its capable of better but for its 1st run of the year I will leave it alone. 

SOUND OF IONA 6/1 usually held up for a late run but time wise it would need to improve to win this race so may not catch the leader/s in this race. 

PAVERS PRIDE 5/1 a natural front running type and is my 3rd top rated and could go well if allowed an easy lead and has decent trainer/jockey stats. 

TANASOQ 5/2 is a versatile type when it comes to racing tactics and has good jockey stats and is strong at the business end of its races and is my joint top rated. 

MAJOR PUSEY 4/1 another versatile type and is my other joint top rated but the apprentice riding this one is 0-5 for the stable which is a little off-putting. 

SUMMARY: Any of the bottom 3 in the handicap could lead here but Paver's Pride is the more natural front runner in the field, I think the top weight Modular Magic may need this run for fitness, the jockey booking on TANASOQ 5/2 who is joint top rated on my figures makes it the one I will be betting.

Tanasoq 11/4 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +0.375pts 

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