A 7 runner race with just one known front runner, firstly I will look to lay Wentworth Falls who seems to be slowly getting slower with age and the jockey is 0-8 for the stable and the trainer hasn't had a winner in the last 2 weeks, Lady Nectar is my 3rd top rated and is a hold up type, I've got Manigordo as my 2nd top rated who likes to track the leaders and then run on at the finish and might be better when raced over further but I will be backing is the 3yo OUT THE HAT 11/4 who is my top rated and is the one I expect to lead and then hopefully be too hard to catch.
Out The Hat 3/1 4th -1pt
Lay bet Wentworth Falls +1pt
Total 0pts
REDCAR 3.25
A field of 16 so hopefully they will all run and that makes it 4 places up for grabs so hopefully I can find an each way punt, I can only see She’s A Deva 9/1 as a lay that is of value but only if it remains a single figure price, I do have more if prepared to take bigger risks, 5 horses have been known to lead before so there should be a honest/true early pace and I think the race may be won from the front, Hello Girl 20/1, Sambucca Spirit 10/1, Rangefield Express 16/1, Kyllachy Warrior 20/1, Newgate Angel 33/1 and Fossos 11/1 all have pieces of form that could possibly see them make the frame if others falter but none of them are in my top 3 rated horses, Cuppacoco 9/2 is my 3rd top rated it doesn't want the ground to be too fast and can track the leaders or be held up but has poor trainer stats at this course, Orchid Rose 11/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times and is usually held up for a late run so this race could be run to suit it but I'm hoping it doesn't get there fast enough to catch *TOMAHAWK RIDGE 18/1 (EW) who admittedly hasn't been in great form lately but the jockey booking looks a positive move and I'm hoping it can at least hold on for a place but a repeat of its best time from Windsor in 2019 would see it hold on for the win.
*NR
Lay Bet She's A Deva +1pt
Total on the day +1pt
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