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Tuesday, 31 August 2021

5:20 Hamilton Racing Tips (1st September)

HAMILTON 5.20 

ROSE BANDIT 6/1 has been known to lead but hasn't any form at this distance on good or firmer going, has decent jockey booking but I'm not quite sure what to expect from this horse. 

MEWS HOUSE 7/4 won last time out but all its best form has come over shorter distances so I will hope to lay it but it does have the best trainer/jockey stats so hope that will keep the price down. 

AMAZING ALBA 10/1 is just like the one above in that I don't think it will stay the distance with a fast early and with 2 front runners it should be a decently fast early paced affair so if its a single figure price i would lay it. 

OAKENSHIELD 8/1 is the one that i think will try to lead from the start and if allowed an easy lead it could be hard to catch but has poor 0-10 trainer and 0-12 jockeys stats but could make the frame. 

STRONSAY 5/1 can either track the leaders or run in midfield and then stay on at the finish, time wise it comes out 2nd best on my figures so could make the frame. 

KILCONQUHAR 12/1 comes out top on my figures and its best time was recorded this year over this course and distance but its had 11 runs on grass and not won once but it could break its duck here and at the double figure price has to be backed each way. 

MUTAWAFFER 20/1 has poor recent times while its best from earlier this year it comes out 4th top on my figures but would need to bounce back to form but not for me in this race and I think it will be an outsider. 

MUATADEL 4/1 a stablemate of the horse above and it finished 2nd last time out and sits in 3rd top spot on my figures but the trainer is 0-6 in the last 2 weeks and it may struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop which looks likely in this race so I will look to lay it. 

SUMMARY: None of the runners, apart from Mews House, have good recent trainer and or jockey stats, I will look to lay Mews House and Mutawaaffer as they may not stay the distance if Mutawaffer and or Oakenshiled, set their best time from the front, I will be putting my trust and money on KILCONQUHAR 12/1 (EW) who is my top rated and when on its game likes a fast pace to aim at so this race could be run to suit its racing style.

Kilconquhar 12/1 1st  + 14.4pts

Total on the day 14.4pts

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