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Saturday, 18 September 2021

3:50 Hamilton Racing Tips (19th September)

HAMILTON 3.50 

MEWS HOUSE 7/2 usually races in midfield before trying to stay on at the finish but it needs to improve time wise to win this race. 

TOMILY 15/2 comes out 4th best on my speed figures but as it doesn't seem to like good to firm ground its times will not be as good as others that do like the faster going. 

ECONOMICAL CRISIS 11/1 is another that doesn't seem to like good to firm ground but is 3rd best on my speed figures so could make the frame.

ALBEGONE 11/8 won nicely last time out and it comes out 2nd best on my speed figures, being a 3yo it could improve and has a chance of following up in this race but it would need to improve 4lbs or hope the top rated doesn't run to its best so doesn't look much value.

SHESADABBER 10/1 is the only natural front running type I can see in this race and its best time recorded from the front did come over this course and distance.

THE GLOAMING 15/2 isn't in my top 4 ratings but being a 3yo it could still improve, I'm just hoping it doesn't happen in this race.

ANGLES EYES 33/1 is versatile when it comes to its racing tactics including leading if nothing else wants to but it wont need to in this race. 

HEER ME 80/1 has very poor form and i expect it will be the outsider in this race.

LANCASHIRE LIFE 40/1 has only a slow time over this distance when finishing 3rd and is a maiden after 7 runs and hasn't made the frame in those races. 

SUMMARY: I expect the 3yo ALBEGONE 11/8 will be the hot favourite after its win last time out and does come out 2nd top rated on my figures and could improve again to win this race but I do have SHESADABBER 10/1 rated 3lbs higher and its the most likely pacesetter to this race, so if allowed an easy lead and can repeat its best time recorded over this course and distance earlier this year it could hold on for the win so I will be going with 2 bets in this race.

Albegone 6/4 1st +1.5pts
Shesadabber 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day +0.5pts

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