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Thursday, 30 September 2021

8:30 Newcastle Racing Tips (1st October)

NEWCASTLE 8.30 

*THE BELL CONDUCTOR 5/1 hasn't any form on this surface and looking at its turf form I think it might need further to show its best, it did a good time at Thirsk on good to firm ground but that's looks a bit of a fluke time where it might have got towed along in a fast run race so - will look to lay this runner.

BUNIANN 9/2 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly nearing the finish and it is my top rated on just 2021 times and that time is good enough for 3rd top spot overall so could be worth an each way interest.

MUTABAAHY 14/1 this is its 1st run of the year over this course and distance, it will need to improve on the time when it won here in 2020 but it has recorded a slightly better time on this surface at Wolverhampton but still not good enough to make my top 4 ratings.

GOWANLAD 14/1 is usually held up for a late run but this distance seems to be a bit too short for it to show its true form and I think it will be one of the outsiders in this race. 

DUKE OF FIRENZE 14/1 can run in midfield or track the leaders and time wise it sits in 5th place and would need others to falter for it to make the frame and maybe worth laying if its of value to do so. 

GOLD ZABEEL 12/1 the trainers record at this course is 2 wins from 61 runners although none of those runs were over this distance and it looks likely to be better over further, its still a maiden after 10 runs, although it did get placed in 6 of those 10 races, and it is one I will be laying in this race. 

QUEEN OF KALAHARI 13/2 the jockeys record of 0-11 is uninspiring and time wise it needs to improve a good few spots, I think it either wants further or a slower surface, maybe even both, and the trainer is 0-11 in the last 2 weeks and its been 57 days since the stable last had a winner so another I will be laying. 

MEHMO 10/1 3yo still still hasn't won after 11 races on the All-Weather tracks and its run here this year resulted in a slow time but it could be one to set the pace to the race but only if allowed to set a slightly slower pace than usual for this class of race. 

BIG THANKS 16/1 3yo who has had 1 run over this course and distance which resulted in a slow time and is still a maiden after 15 runs in total on both turf and AW tracks but has been placed in 3 of its 4 races on the AW so could make the frame but I'm not sure its good enough to win this race. 

ANOTHER ANGEL 4/1 hasn't shown much so far this year but its best time from last year it comes out top rated on my figures and on this straight course the draw doesn't matter and this is the one I think will set the pace to the race and could lead from start to finish. 

THE GLOAMING 11/1 3yo has a time it recorded this year that would make it 2nd top on just this years times and 4th top overall but the trainers win percentage at this course is quite low but usually stays on at the finish over this distance. 

SUMMARY: A couple of known front runners so it should be a true run race and I think one of them ANOTHER ANGEL 4/1 could lead all the way and is top rated on its best time from 2020 and will be carrying some of my money the other one I will be backing is BUNIANN 9/2 who is my top rated on just 2021 times and there's 3 in this race I will be laying to hopefully make a profit from this race.

Buniann 9/2 1st +4.5pts EX £7.83 
Another Angel 4/1 -1pt 

Lay bets: Queen Of Kalahari +1pt 

Total on the day +4.5pts

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