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Sunday 28 November 2021

3:35 Kempton Racing Tips (29th November)


This is a poor race where there isn't a lot to say about a lot of the runners and only five of the twelve runners have a recorded speed figure on my ratings and I think the other seven entrants will all be double figure price (I've got this piece wrong as I'm Mable has been made the 10/3 favourite who won last time out on grass but that win was over 5 furlongs and I am doubtful if it really wants the sixth furlong but in this race with no known front runners this race could possibly be run to suit it but if there is a fast early pace it may get found out but I couldn't say to back or lay it but it could possibly ruin my bets) and the winner might come from those with a speed figure, Kodi Gold is my 3rd top rated but that is using a time recorded on Tapeta at Newcastle and its sole run on this surface at Chelmsford didn't show it in a good light so maybe this surface doesn't suit it, Starter For Ten is 5th top rated on a time recorded over this c/d this year but its not won a race on an artificial surface from 14 attempts which is off putting but it has made the frame 4 of those races, Daring Guest is 4th top using a time from Lingfield recorded this year but its sole attempt over this c/d didn't register on my graphs, TOMSHALFBROTHER 10/1 (EW) sits in 2nd top spot using a time recorded at Chelmsford in 2020 and hasn't any surface distance form to its name for this year and the jockey is 1-3 on the stables older horses so it might be a positive booking, my top rated is IESHA 14/1 (EW) this time using a speed figure it recorded at Chelmsford this year and would probably have been my sole selection if it wasn't for the stables 0-5 for the last 2 weeks and it doesn't do particularly well at this course and is 0-11 with its 3yo’s at this course, my stakes won't be at full strength because there isn't any known front running types in the race but I am hoping they will both be each way prices then I will go with two small each way punts. 

Tomshalfbrother 10/1 2nd +1pt
Iesha 14/1 6th -2pts 

Total -1pt


A poor turnout of just four runners for this class 3 race over the minimum distance, there's no known front runners amongst them but i have a feeling that the early pace might be set by Zapper Cass who is the stablemate of the 3yo NIGHT ON EARTH 8/11 who looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to follow up from its win last time out and a reproduction of that speed figure would see it winning this race a little cosily but I expect it will be the hot hot favourite to win this race.

Night On Earth 1st +0.72pts 

Total +0.72pts

Total on the day -0.28pts

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