3:50 Nottingham Racing Tips (9th August)

NOTTINGHAM 3.50 

A five runner class three race where they are either three or four year olds, I can see one known front running type which always help my analysis, I'm not sure what conditions Audience 15/8 wants to get back to winning ways as it has faded over six furlongs but also ran as though further would suit it better, Burning Cash 4/1 and Korker 2/1 are closely rated but a few spots behind Whethedealisdone 5/1 in 2nd top spot but my top rated horse NIGHT ON EARTH 14/1 is also the likely pacesetter and could win this race from the front and certainly looks worth the risk at the price its a shame an each way bet isn't really worthwhile with only 2 places up for grabs. 

Night On Earth 14/1 1st +14pts

Total +14pts

CARLISLE 6.50 

A nine runner class four handicap and I cannot find a front running type amongst them so caution is the key to this race especially stake wise, this race might not be run to suit Secretinthepark 9/1 and this one is outside my top four ratings while Indian Sounds 9/2 has been in poor form recently so could be worth laying if of value to do so, Ginger Jam 16/1 is my third top rated horse and is usually held up for a late run so may not be suited to today's race, the top weight Ventura Flame 3/1 is my joint top rated but another that is usually held up for a late run may not get to the front quickly enough so I will be relying on SACRED JEWEL 12/1 (EW) to do the business it has decent trainer and jockey stats which is always a bonus and likes to track the early pacesetters, it won two races ago over today's distance at Leicester, its last run can be ignored as it was hampered leaving the stalls and didn't get involved in the race but I will be having an each way bet at the price on offer.

Sacred Jewel 14/1 6th -2pts

Lay bets Indian Sounds +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +13pts

3:12 Southwell Racing Tips (24th February)

SOUTHWELL 3.12 

Only 7 runners so maybe no each way bets, I will look to lay Broken Spear 8/1 who may need further and this surface might not suit it, Patsy Fagan comes out 2nd top rated but that was recorded in lower class races so might not be able to repeat those ratings in this class of race but I'm not sure I could lay it, Global Warning 5/1 may set the pace to the race and being my 3rd top rated it could take some catching but I do have SHALLOW HAL 5/1 rated higher and this one usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Shallow Hal 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

SOUTHWELL 3.47 

There's 9 runners this time, I could look to lay Hey Mr 6/1 if its a single figure price as this isn't its favoured surface and Corinthia Knight who hasn't been in form lately and its last AW win was back in 2018, Mulzim 28/1 might be overpriced if the tissue prices are to be believed and could possibly make the frame, AIRSHOW 7/1 might have been my sole bet in this race as its my top rated using recent c/d ratings here but the trainers 1-27 win ratio at this course is a little bit off putting plus its been 9 runners and over a month since they last had a winner, NIGHT ON EARTH 4/1 comes out top rated using Tapeta times either at Newcastle or Wolverhampton and this one usually runs on well in the closing stages of the race. 

Airshow 7/1 2nd -1pt 

Night On Earth 7/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

SOUTHWELL 4.22 

A class 6 stakes race where Papa's Girl 3/1 should win being the top rated on the official handicappers ratings but is only 4th top rated on recent c/d speed figures so maybe not of value to back, I was going to look to lay Arzaak 5/1 who seems better on the Polytrack but with no known front runners in this race that might not matter too much but Gleaming Maize 8/1 may prefer further and this race might not be run to suit it so maybe worth laying if a single figure price, my money will be riding on BLUELLA 16/1 who usually stays on at the business end of a race and does look to be running into form and the stable is in good form at the present. 

Bluella 16/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Arzaak +1pt

Total 0pts 

NEWCASTLE 6.30 

A poor turnout of just 5 runners for this race where Alablaq might set the early pace and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as a longer trip might suit it better and is dropped in class to run at this level, I will look to lay Gowanlad 9/4 who might prefer a longer distance and this race might not be run to suit it plus its got poorish trainer stats with an 8% win ratio while the jockey is 2-31 and 0-18 on the stables older horses, my money will be riding on TATHMEEN 3/1 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish. 

Tathmeen 3/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Gowanlad -2pts

Total -3pts

NEWCASTLE 8.00 

The pacesetter in this race is likely to e Joshua R and it could be dangerous if allowed to dominate and set its own slower early pace, Elzaal 15/2 comes out top rated but may need this run for fitness after a 136 days break, Amazing Amaya 9/2 could go well and make the frame but would need to improve a little time wise to win this race if others reproduce their previous best, I will be looking to back the top weight TANASOQ 7/1 who is a previous course and distance winner and the jockey has a 27% win ratio when riding for this stable, it should be staying on strongly in the closing stages of the race

Tanasoq 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -7pts

2:20 Lingfield Racing Tips (12th February)

LINGFIELD 2.20 

SWISS PRIDE comes out 2nd top rated on my figures but the apprentices claim moves it to top spot and its dropped in class to run here plus its one of 2 known front running types in the race. 

ALABLAQ is a holdup type but will need to improve time wise to pick up the leaders in this race but could run on into a place.

ABDUCTION hasn't been in the best of form in its recent runs and I expect it will be an outsider in this race.

PATSY FAGAN 13/2 usually races in midfield and then stays on strongly nearing the finish but will need to improve to actually win this race and might be worth laying. 

CHERISH 9/1 can be held up or track the leaders but time wise its got a good few spots to make up to be winning this race so maybe a possible lay.

IGOTATEXT is the other known front running type and has the stall 1 draw so could gain control of the rails but I'm not sure it could lead all the way if it did lead.

COME ON GIRL is reliable to repeat its best ratings but its just outside my top four on my speed figures but could make the frame if others falter. 

SOYOUNIQUE 7/1 hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and hasn't any recorded rating maybe because it needs further to show its best so maybe worth laying. 

DEPUTISE 3/1 can be held up or track the leaders but isn't in my top four ratings and would need some good fortune to make the frame and looks poor value at the price. 

PABLE DEL PUEBLO is capable of a good speed figure and comes out 3rd best on my figures but its done its best stuff at a one level lower class than today's race.

HEY HO LETS GO does repeat its best figures fairly consistently but that level isn't enough to win this race if others repeat their best. 

CLASHANISKA comes out second best on my speed figures but again its best ratings were recorded at one level lower class. 

SUMMARY: Pablo Del Pueblo and Clashaniska can record good speed figures in lower class races but could go well but maybe a place at best, there's a few I have said could be possible lays and the betting will decide which ones so look above and see the ones I have put prices against, as for the winner I will be relying on the top weight SWISS PRIDE 12/1 (EW) who has been running in class 4 races and drops to class 5 here plus it comes out top on my own unique speed figure ratings and I am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and as a bit of insurance I can go with an each way bet at the price. 

Swiss Pride 14/1 6th -2pt 

Lay Patsy Fagan +1pt

Total- 1pt  

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

Lay 

LORD RIDDIFORD a front running type who may need this run for fitness but does come out 3rd top rated using a 2020 course and distance speed figure. 

ONE NIGHT STAND races as though further would suit it better but this race might be run to suit it but I'm doubtful it can pick up all of the front runners. 

CAROLINE DALE is my 2nd top rated on recent course and distance times and could do best of the front runners as long as they go off too quickly in the early stages. 

EXISTENT this might not be its favourite surface and may be better when racing over a longer distance so one to perhaps lay.

CORINTHIA KNIGHT front running type number 3 in this race but hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't shown much time wise since 2019.

NIGHT ON EARTH usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly nearing the finish and comes out top rated on my figures. 

NO SPEED LIMIT a possible front runner who has only run once in England but its run at Southwell was on the poor side time wise so its another one I will look to lay. 

SUMMARY: With 4 front running types it should be a true run race, there's 7 runners but I have negatives against Existent 2/1 who looks poor value, One Night Stand 6/1 who might need further and No Speed Limit 7/1 and will look to lay them if of value to do so, as for the winner I will be backing CAROLINE DALE 10/3 in the hope that this is the one that might be able to lead all the way as its my 2nd top rated but I do have NIGHT ON EARTH 11/1 rated higher and will be trying to stay on at the finish and I will back them both to cover the angles but I might split my stake 60-40 in favour of my top rated.

Night On Earth 2nd  -0.4pts 2nd

Caroline Dale 4th  -0.6pts 7th 

Lya bets Exsitence -0.8333pts

Total -1.8333 

Total on the day -2.8333pts

4:30 Southwell Racing Tips (7th December)

Today is the first day at Southwell with the newly laid Tapeta surface so I haven’t any form or speed figures to work with but have done my best using times from Newcastle and Wolverhampton but a lot of it it guesswork so I will be very careful in my thoughts and I am thinking that as Wolverhampton has a bend over 6 furlongs it might be the more relevant course for its speed figures while over 5 furlongs at Southwell its a straight course the same as Newcastle so those times might be the more relevant ratings. (well I hope so). 

SOUTHWELL 4.30 5F 

OK this is a straight 5 furlongs where I can see 4 horses that have been known to lead before and 3 of them are in my top 4 ratings so its likely this race will be won from the front, I will look to lay Zarzyni 7/1 who looks better over further any other possible lays are double figure prices, Be Proud 14/1 is my 3rd top rated and could do best of those coming from off the pace and its best times were from Newcastle so might be worth an each way interest, going back to 2020 times then Ornate 22/1 would be in the mix but its not been in good form lately and seems to be regressing at the age of 8 and its price seems to agree, I am hoping that NIGHT ON EARTH can lead or at least contest the lead from the off and if getting to the front ought to prove hard to catch and it has good trainer/jockeys stats. 

Night On Earth 9/2 Unp -1pt

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 7.30 6F 

With no known front runners this race is much harder to analyse, firstly I will look to lay Capla Spirit who prefers a shorter distance and hope there is a decent early pace also Grey Galleon if they are single figure prices, The Thin Blue Line 9/1 is my 4th top rated and this one is usually held up for a laterun so this race might not be run to suit it and i will lay the win part if its of value but it could possibly make the frame but I'm not sure it can win this race, Steelriver comes out in 3rd top spot using its top rating from 2020 and has been well below that level so far this year, not much time left to alter that now, Tomshalfbrother is another that recorded its best rating in 2020 which makes it my 2nd top rated but my money will be riding on REDZONE 5/1, who becomes my top rated thanks to the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim, it won last time out and has been found the ideal opportunity to follow up here.

Redzone 5/1 1st +5pts 

Lay bet Grey Gallion +1pt 

Total +6pts 

Total on the day  +5pts

3:35 Kempton Racing Tips (29th November)

KEMPTON 3.35 

This is a poor race where there isn't a lot to say about a lot of the runners and only five of the twelve runners have a recorded speed figure on my ratings and I think the other seven entrants will all be double figure price (I've got this piece wrong as I'm Mable has been made the 10/3 favourite who won last time out on grass but that win was over 5 furlongs and I am doubtful if it really wants the sixth furlong but in this race with no known front runners this race could possibly be run to suit it but if there is a fast early pace it may get found out but I couldn't say to back or lay it but it could possibly ruin my bets) and the winner might come from those with a speed figure, Kodi Gold is my 3rd top rated but that is using a time recorded on Tapeta at Newcastle and its sole run on this surface at Chelmsford didn't show it in a good light so maybe this surface doesn't suit it, Starter For Ten is 5th top rated on a time recorded over this c/d this year but its not won a race on an artificial surface from 14 attempts which is off putting but it has made the frame 4 of those races, Daring Guest is 4th top using a time from Lingfield recorded this year but its sole attempt over this c/d didn't register on my graphs, TOMSHALFBROTHER 10/1 (EW) sits in 2nd top spot using a time recorded at Chelmsford in 2020 and hasn't any surface distance form to its name for this year and the jockey is 1-3 on the stables older horses so it might be a positive booking, my top rated is IESHA 14/1 (EW) this time using a speed figure it recorded at Chelmsford this year and would probably have been my sole selection if it wasn't for the stables 0-5 for the last 2 weeks and it doesn't do particularly well at this course and is 0-11 with its 3yo’s at this course, my stakes won't be at full strength because there isn't any known front running types in the race but I am hoping they will both be each way prices then I will go with two small each way punts. 

Tomshalfbrother 10/1 2nd +1pt

Iesha 14/1 6th -2pts 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.00 

A poor turnout of just four runners for this class 3 race over the minimum distance, there's no known front runners amongst them but i have a feeling that the early pace might be set by Zapper Cass who is the stablemate of the 3yo NIGHT ON EARTH 8/11 who looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to follow up from its win last time out and a reproduction of that speed figure would see it winning this race a little cosily but I expect it will be the hot hot favourite to win this race.

Night On Earth 1st +0.72pts 

Total +0.72pts

Total on the day -0.28pts