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Sunday, 12 December 2021

2:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (13th December)

CHELMSFORD 2.45 

REPARTEE is a possible front runner but needs to improve time wise and has shown very little lately and will be an outsider.

SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD is in cracking form and has won over this course and distance but its times are usually slower percentage wise over the 6 furlongs and may be worth taking on if a short price (is forecast to be the favourite).

COOPERATIVE is a versatile 3yo who can deploy any racing tactics and recorded the best speed figure in this race two runs ago but that was a class 5 race and hasn't shown anything like that form in previous attempts in higher class races but never say never.

RESTLESS ENDEAVOUR comes out 2nd best on my figures and has improved in each of its last 3 runs and could go one better than last time and get back to winning ways. 

HURAIZ isn't in my top 4 rated horses and usually tracks the leaders and may struggle to pick up the leaders in this race. 

FAUVETTE is my 3rd top rated which it recorded when winning over this course and distance but those times were recorded it lower class races and may struggle here so maybe worth laying is single figure odds.

MOUNT MOGAN has been known to lead before but time wise it needs to improve a good few spots and may struggle to win in this class but could go well. 

SUMMARY: Only 7 runners for this class 3 handicap I think Sir Rodneyredblood 7/2 maybe shorter than its actual chance over this longer distance so I will be laying as it is the forecast  favourite and Fauvette 7/2 is another one I will take on if its of value to do so, my money will be riding on RESTLESS ENDEAVOUR 7/2 who should be able to sit just behind the front runners ready to attack and stay on the stronger at the finish. 

Restless Endeavour 7/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Fauvette -1pt, Sir Rodneyredblood +1pt

Total -1pt  

CHELMSFORD 3.15 

This class 6 race has only the one known front running type in Champagne Supernova and it could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and sets a slower pace and keep plenty in reserve to hold off any late attacks but I doubt that will happen with several that like to chase the leaders, I will look to lay Delegate The Lady 7/1, who both race as though a longer trip would suit them better, if they are a single figure price. LETHAL ANGEL 7/1 comes out top rated on just 2021 c/d speed figures and joint 2nd top rated overall so has to be carrying some of my money, the other joint 2nd top rated is COME ON GIRL 11/1 but that is using a 2020 speed figure and its 2021 c/d rating is 2nd best for just this year, the top weight NUBOUGH 7/2 is dropped in class to run in this race and it has a rating form 2020 that puts it in top spot and I will be backing all three of them. 

Come On Girl 11/1 -1pt 
Nubough 7/2 -1pt 
Lethal Angel 8/1 4th -1pt 

Total -3pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.00 

I will start this race off with something I will be laying and that is Grandfather Tom 5/1 who surprised me when it won last time out but in that race it was allowed an easy lead so set a slowish early pace and had plenty in reserve at the finish and the final time was slow even for its lowly class, I doubt that will happen in this race as for the winner that's a lot more complex, Qaaraat is always capable, when the mood takes him, but has been running in class 6 without running and its raised to class 5 here but today's jockey does well for the stable so they could be hoping for a big run in this race and this ones stablemate Mutabaahy is another that could win if in the mood it likes to track the pacesetter and then stay on strongly at the finish and is dropped in class here, Glamorous Force is usually held up for a late run and could possibly get there here and it does have a positive looking jockey booking, Trusty Rusty also cannot be ignored and likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish, I will probably dutch the four of them, MUTABAAHY 8/1, GLAMOROUS FORCE 7/1, TRUSTY RUSTY 5/1 and QAARAAT 9/1 to small stakes but perhaps the best way to make money from this competitive race is to concentrate on the best lay in the race.

Trusty Rusty 5/1 -1pt 
Mutabaahy 12/1 5th -1pt 
Qaaraat 12/1 6th -1pt 
Glamorous Force 8/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Grandfather Tom +1pt 

Total -3pts 

Total on the day -6pts

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