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Friday, 21 January 2022

7:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (22nd January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 Div I

Two divisions of a poor stakes race and in this division I have only four horses with a recorded speed figure (I have a lower limit) Miracle Garden is my fourth top rated using a course and distance time it recorded in 2021, First Verse 9/4 comes out in second top spot but that is using a speed figure it recorded at Chelmsford last year and is still a maiden after thirteen races plus the stable hasn't had a winner in the last two weeks so looks poor value and one I would look to lay, Brazen Arrow 4/1 comes out top rated but again using a Chelmsford speed figure but this one is also still a maiden after having thirteen runs and its one hundred and forty nine days since this stable last had a winner so maybe worth laying, my money will be riding on TOP BOY 4/1 who is my top rated on just 2021/22 speed figures and the apprentice booked to ride has a twenty eight percent win ratio for the stable which makes me think that connections are expecting it to win this race the only thing that worries me is the lack of known front running types in the race. 

Top Boy 9/1 8th -1pt 

Lay bet Brazen Arrow - 3.33pts, First Verse +1pt 

Total -3.33pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 Div II 

This second division is actually the worst one of the two with only two horses in this race with recorded speed figures, I will look to lay Indian Affair 6/1 who hasn't won a race since 2019 and at twelve years old it might be on a downward spiral as age catches up with it although the stable has been in good form recently with three winners from ten runners in the last two weeks and it was a slow run affair that it finished third in last time it ran, Dodgy Bob 25/1 is one of two known front running types in this race but might need this run for fitness which it usually does when returning after a break (the betting seems to agree with me) and wasn't in good form in its last few races before its break, Knockabout Queen comes out second best using a speed figure recorded at Lingfield last year or on a 2020 figure recorded over this course and distance, my money will be riding on the other known front running type SEEKING PERFECTION 10/3 who is top on just 2021/22 figures recorded over this course and distance but has a figure it recorded at Newcastle last year that would see it winning this race quite cosily, admittedly it hasn't been in great form in its latest runs but is capable of bouncing back to form without warning. This horse was forecast to be a sixteen to one shot on the early tissue prices so I am disappointed to see its early price but i cannot see anything worthwhile to oppose it with.

Seeking Perfection 10/3 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Indian Affair +1pt

Total 0pts

Total on the day -3.33pts

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