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Monday 18 April 2022

1:50 Epsom Racing Tips (19th April)

EPSOM 1.50 

Here we are on the fastest course in the country where the track record is 53.6 seconds to cover the five furlongs which means the horse covers 20.5 yards every second. I can see 4 horses that are confirmed front running types and this race could be won from the front. The betting will be the deciding factor whether I lay anything in this race but I have go something in mind if they are value to lay, it is quite a competitive race and several with chances of winning here so my stakes will be kept low but I will be having a bet on JUST THAT LORD 9/1 who only ran twice last year and the first one of those two races was a win so it can win when returning after a break and it has good trainer/jockey stats even if that's from a limited amount of data. 

Just That Lord 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 


I have no idea which horse or horses will set the pace to this race so I will be wary when betting and keep my stakes low, if Bomb Squad or Rain Cap decide to set the pace they could be very dangerous as both look as though further would suit them better and if bringing stamina into play they could have the advantage while others, Astrophysics, Tom Tulliver and Gustav Graves who can struggle to stay this distance would have every chance if there was a slow early pace and becomes a 2 furlong dash in the home straight, I will be splitting my stakes between *JACK RYAN 11/2 who usually runs on strongly at this distance and might prefer further so if this one sets the pace it could lead all the way but I do have AMAZING AMAYA 13/2 as my top rated over this c/d for this year and this one is usually held up for a late run so hopefully backing them both will cover the angles. 

Amazing Amaya 13/2 Unp -1pt

Total -1pt 


The going is given as good and good to firm in places but I will watch an earlier race before I make my mind up but I think the going will be ok for me to bet on, its not a bad looking class 5 dash with half of the 10 runners having led before it ought to be a true run affair but they could be setting it up for something coming from off the pace as Outrage 15/2 will battle hard in the early stages to lead and could make the early pace too fast and then they fade nearing the finish, the top weight Nehmo 15/2 won last time it ran 174 days ago and will need this run for fitness so I will look to lay it, Silver Dollar 3/1 has been in cracking form on the AW but hasn't run on grass before so I'm not really sure what to expect of it here but I couldn't back or lay it, it could win easily or maybe not like the surface, who knows but I will stick with the proven, my top rated using a time recorded at Ripon last year is COLEY'S KOKO 8/1 (EW) and this one is either held up at the rear or races in midfield and then runs on strongly at the finish, it didn't show much on its only run this year which was the same last year when coming back from a break from racing and last year it won on its second run of the year and I'm hoping it can repeat that feat here and if a double figure price I will be going with an each way investment.

Coley's Koko 8/1 4th -2pt 

Total -2pt 

Total on the day -4pts

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