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Showing posts with label Coley's Koko. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Coley's Koko. Show all posts

Wednesday, 28 September 2022

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 
Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 
Coley's Koko 
Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30

A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 

*NR

Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts
The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 
Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts

Thursday, 22 September 2022

4:40 Newcastle Racing Tips (23rd September)

NEWCASTLE 4.40 

A class 6 race with a full house of 14 runners with a couple of known front running types which should make things easier but to be honest I cannot narrow it down to anything less than 3 possible winners and even then I say keep your stakes low, so maybe the best way to make a profit from this race is to lay one of the entrants and I will look to lay Anconagua Mountain 9/2 who is usually held up for a late run but is held on recent form by Coleys Koko and needs to improve time wise to win this race and its only got relatively slow times on good to firm ground on turf plus the trainer only has a win ratio of 3% at this course, COLEY'S KOKO 12/1 is one of the trio that could win this race and if it can reproduce its best turf rating it would win this race a shade cosily so at the price has to be worth an each way punt at the price, JOSHUA R 4/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish my third horse is ELZAAL 11/2 from stall 10 who can be held up or track the leaders and a high draw is usually a help over this straight course, I will be backing all 3 of them but not to high stakes. 

Elzaal 11/2 1st +5.5pts 
Coley's Koko 20/1 5th -1pt
Joshua R 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Aconagua Mountai +1pt 

Total +4.5pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

Up one level to class 5 with 3 known front running types but another race very hard to narrow down to anything less than 3 horses so maybe another race where the best way to make money will be laying Robasta 6/1 who may need further to show its true worth and its one run on this Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton it didn't show much at all which puts me off its chance here and its win on Polytrack at Kempton was a relatively slow time which didn't register on my figures, GLORIOUS RIO 12/1 (EW) could be the one to do best coming from off the pace and the horse has won 3 from 13 races on an artificial surface so has to be worth an each way wager, MAJESTIC MAN 11/2 is one of the possible pacesetters coming out of stall 4 so if low numbers are best then that's covered that angle while my other front running POLITICS 14/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 13 covering that angle if the high numbers are best on the day and looks worth another each way punt.

Majestic Man 17/2 2nd -1pt 
Glorious Rio 12/1 4th -2pts 
Politics 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Robasta +1pt 

Total -4pts

Total on the day +0.5pts

Thursday, 11 August 2022

1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (12th August)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Class 6 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners, I might look to lay Porfin 4/1 who won last time out over a furlong further so might find today's trip too short also No Guts No Glory 11/2 who’s form looks quite good on paper but they were all relatively slow times and another where further might suit it better, Harrogate looks the one likely to set the pace to the race and if allowed to dictate it could possibly lead all the way but it hasn't been in the best of form lately, GRANDFATHER TOM 3/1 is my 2nd top rated and top on just 2022 ratings while COLEY'S KOKO 6/1 is 2nd top on 2022 figures and top rated by just 1lb on overall figures, neither have great trainer/jockey stats so I will have to back both of them. 

Grandfather Tom 5/1 6th -1pt 
Coley's Koko 6/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: Porfin +1pt, No Guts No Glory +1pt 

Total 0pts

NOTTINGHAM 2.20 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 7 runners, there is 3 that have led before and Abate may do best of that trio being my 2nd top rated horse, *Ballet Steps will be a lay if of value to do so as I don't think good to firm ground suits it, Good Luck Fox is my 3rd top rated but top spot belongs to the 3yo DUSKY PRINCE 9/2 who has been in good form completing its hattrick of wins before finishing 4th last time out and a repeat of its best time from Goodwood would be good enough to see it back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Dusky Prince 13/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 


WOLVERHAMPTON 4.18 

Class 6 race over 6 furlongs with 9 runners, I can see a couple of known pacesetters in Ustath my joint 4th top rated and Stay Smart who is my 3rd top rated and this one is dropped in class to run in this race but hasn't been in good form recently so its the old old battle between form and class but I couldn't back it on its recent form but with an easy lead and rejuvenated by meeting lessor horses it just could possibly win this race but it too big a risk for me to get involved unless its an each way price or its seriously backed, Q Twenty Boy 7/2 is a course and distance winner but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early gallop so this race might not be run to suit it, Mutabaahy comes out 2nd best on my figures but this 7yo hasn't shown any noteworthy form of late but could make the frame if on a going day but my money will be riding on CATESBY 5/1 who recorded its best rating earlier this year and showed its liking for this Tapeta surface when finishing 2nd last time out at Southwell after being slowly away and where it was beaten by Ustath but meets that rival on 8lbs better terms and if away on level terms here should reverse the form. 

Catesby 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

NEWMARKET 5.45 

Class 4 race over 6 furlongs with 7 runners, I'm not sure what to expect from Counsel who won last time out over a furlong further and hasn't any form over this distance that was a decent enough race and it was always up with in the firing line so could easily be good enough to win this race, on ratings over today's distance Wajd comes out in joint top spot along with Equiano Springs so I think this race is best left alone. 

-

THIRSK 6.07 

Class 4 race over 5 furlongs with 8 runners and 5 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash, Alligator Alley 5/2 hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2019 and although this is a drop in class I'm not sure whether I should lay it or not, on just 2022 ratings there is only 1lb between my top 3 horses Birkenhead, Khabib and MODULAR MAGIC 8/1 but the latter has a rating from 2021 that would see it winning this race a shade cosily and looking at the early tissue prices it might be the value call in this race and if getting to the front it might prove hard to peg back.

Modular Magic 8/1 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day - 3pts

Thursday, 21 July 2022

1:10 Thirsk Racing Tips (22nd July)

THIRSK 1.10 

Typical a nice looking sprint until I noticed there's not any known front running types in this race but that means this race might not be run to suit Dandy Spirit, Foreseeable Future and Gullane One who might be better over further or when there's a fast pace over this distance although the latter has never run over today's distance before, Country Charm who usually races in midfield is my third top rated in this race so could make the frame as could Orchid rose my second top rated in this race but i will be putting my faith and a small amount of money on COLEY'S KOKO 25/1 (EW) and if it can reproduce its best from this year it should win this race but if reproducing its best speed figure from Ripon in 2021 it would win this race with a bit too spare but at such a big price it has to be worth an each way punt. 

Coley's Koko 25/1 6th -2pts

Total -2pts

YORK 6.25 

With known front runners drawn in stalls 1,2,12 and 14 the pace should be spread across the course so nothing should be at a disadvantage, of those front running types Bossipop in stall 1 and Rhythm in stall 14 could do best of those running to the fore especially as the latter is my 3rd top rated, as for any lays Good Earth 9/2 needs to improve time wise and might struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace, Lezardieux is my 4th top rated but this race might not be run to suit it, Captain Vallo comes out in 2nd top spot position so might be worth an each way punt but my money will be riding on DREAM TOGETHER 14/1 (EW) who likes to fast good to firm ground and likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish and hopefully it will be an each way price. 

Dream Together 14/1 6th -2pts 

Lay Good Earth +1pt 

Total -1pt

CHEPSTOW 8.05 

There looks to be 3 front running types in this race and they are my 3 top rated horses as well so most of the runners wont be able to get involved in the finish, I might look to lay Rhubarb in this race as it might be better when racing over further, the top weight Amor De Mi Vida could be the one to prosper if they go off too fast and fade nearing the finish but I doubt that will happen, I have only 1lb between my 3rd top rated Coronation Cottage and my 2nd top rated Pop Dancer but if the 3yo FAIR AND SQUARE 6/1 can reproduce the rating it recorded at Windsor earlier this year it would win this race a shade cosily. 

Fair And Square 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Rhubarb -2.75pts

Total -3.75pts

Total on the day -6.75pts

Friday, 6 May 2022

2:10 Nottingham Racing Tips (7th May)

NOTTINGHAM 2.10 

I can see a three front running types in this class 4 dash but one of them Aish 10/1 may be outclassed at this level, Tees Spirit 11/4 is another possible pacesetter but its speed figure when it won last time out was relatively slow in a class 5 race so may not be able to lead here in this higher level event and if its the shortish priced favourite then I would probably look to lay it, Cooperation 20/1 may do better when racing over further but will be staying on at the finish and could make the frame so could be worth an each way interest at the price, I will be hoping that JUST THAT LORD 6/1 who has been racing in higher class races can set the pace to this race and hold on for the win. 

Just That Lord 9/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Tees Spirit -2pt

Total -3pts 

THIRSK 5.30 

A field of 11 runners where 7 of them are 3yo’s and its been a favourite saying of mine that 3yo’s don't win against their elders until at least June (that didn't work out right yesterday with Flaming Rib) so I will at a risk discount all 7 of them from my idea of the winner, looking at the early tissue prices Lullaby Baby 2/1 and Eruption 7/2 are forecast to be the first two in the betting they both won last time out but time wise both races were run in relatively slow times so maybe taken on with a lay bet but it will be kept to small stakes if I do lay them, I will look to lay Lady Nectar 10/1 who might be better when racing over a longer distance, Boudica Bay 18/1 has been known to lead before but hasn't been in good form lately so I'm not sure what to expect from it but could make the frame if leading but I will be having a small bet on COLEY'S KOKO 7/1 who hinted at a return to form when finishing 4th last time out, the stable hasn't had a winner for a long time now, 1244 days to be exact, but in their defence during that time they haven't sent out any runners so i hope this gets the stable a well needed winner. 

Coley's Koko 14/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Lullaby Baby -1.1pt, Eruption +1pt, Lady Nectar +1pt

Total 0pts 

THIRSK 7.35 

I've found three possible front runners in this race and I'm hopeful that one of them could lead all the way, Harrogate 8/1 could try to lead but time wise would need to improve a few spots while Koropick 7/1 has poor trainer 0-4 and jockey 0-19 stats and its been over 2000 days since the stable last had a winner plus the horse has only won once from its 21 AW races so has to be a lay bet, Val De Travers 10/3 may not want it to be good to firm ground to show its best form, Lost My Sock might need further to show its best, i will be putting my money on MORTY 10/3 who has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and has been found a good opportunity to go one better in this race.

Morty 10/3 Unp -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

Monday, 18 April 2022

1:50 Epsom Racing Tips (19th April)

EPSOM 1.50 

Here we are on the fastest course in the country where the track record is 53.6 seconds to cover the five furlongs which means the horse covers 20.5 yards every second. I can see 4 horses that are confirmed front running types and this race could be won from the front. The betting will be the deciding factor whether I lay anything in this race but I have go something in mind if they are value to lay, it is quite a competitive race and several with chances of winning here so my stakes will be kept low but I will be having a bet on JUST THAT LORD 9/1 who only ran twice last year and the first one of those two races was a win so it can win when returning after a break and it has good trainer/jockey stats even if that's from a limited amount of data. 

Just That Lord 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 

I have no idea which horse or horses will set the pace to this race so I will be wary when betting and keep my stakes low, if Bomb Squad or Rain Cap decide to set the pace they could be very dangerous as both look as though further would suit them better and if bringing stamina into play they could have the advantage while others, Astrophysics, Tom Tulliver and Gustav Graves who can struggle to stay this distance would have every chance if there was a slow early pace and becomes a 2 furlong dash in the home straight, I will be splitting my stakes between *JACK RYAN 11/2 who usually runs on strongly at this distance and might prefer further so if this one sets the pace it could lead all the way but I do have AMAZING AMAYA 13/2 as my top rated over this c/d for this year and this one is usually held up for a late run so hopefully backing them both will cover the angles. 

*NR
Amazing Amaya 13/2 Unp -1pt

Total -1pt 



YARMOUTH 5.40 

The going is given as good and good to firm in places but I will watch an earlier race before I make my mind up but I think the going will be ok for me to bet on, its not a bad looking class 5 dash with half of the 10 runners having led before it ought to be a true run affair but they could be setting it up for something coming from off the pace as Outrage 15/2 will battle hard in the early stages to lead and could make the early pace too fast and then they fade nearing the finish, the top weight Nehmo 15/2 won last time it ran 174 days ago and will need this run for fitness so I will look to lay it, Silver Dollar 3/1 has been in cracking form on the AW but hasn't run on grass before so I'm not really sure what to expect of it here but I couldn't back or lay it, it could win easily or maybe not like the surface, who knows but I will stick with the proven, my top rated using a time recorded at Ripon last year is COLEY'S KOKO 8/1 (EW) and this one is either held up at the rear or races in midfield and then runs on strongly at the finish, it didn't show much on its only run this year which was the same last year when coming back from a break from racing and last year it won on its second run of the year and I'm hoping it can repeat that feat here and if a double figure price I will be going with an each way investment.

Coley's Koko 8/1 4th -2pt 

Total -2pt 

Total on the day -4pts

Friday, 24 September 2021

2:40 Haydock Racing Tips (25th September)

HAYDOCK 2.40 

WOW what a competitive looking class 2 dash, I can only see Premier Power as a possible lay bet in this race, Mountain Peak is one of two known front running types in this race and comes out 4th best on my figures so could run well and maybe even make the frame,Jawwaal is my 3rd top rated and only 2lbs below the pair who are my top rated, Mondammej is one of the joint top rated horses but drops to 2nd best when I take off the 5lb the apprentice claims riding COPPER KNIGHT 9/2 who is also the other known front runner and if getting to the front here it could be hard to catch. 

Copper Knight 9/2 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet: Premier Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

HAYDOCK 3.15 

Another nice looking race and class 3 this time, I think the early pace will be set by Al Simmo but it would need to improve to hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger who has won its last 3 races comes out 3rd top on my figures and maybe the handicapper has caught up with it, there is only 2lbs between my top rated pair and I will be backing both of them, NEVER DARK 8/1 and SECOND COLLECTION 12/1 as to be honest I cannot split them and both look good value at their prices with there being just seven runners. 

Second Collection 16/1 4th -1pt 
Never Dark 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 3.30 

A field of 12 for this race with a couple of front runners of whom Machree may go best but I doubt it can hold on for the win and I might well lay the other possible leader, Raydmoor who might have been flattered when winning a slow run race last time out, James Watt, Nibras Again and Deputise could all go well but I will be splitting my stake between COLEY'S KOKO 9/2 who is my 2nd top rated but only 1lb below ATLYAH 7/1 in top spot, the former is usually held up for a late run while the latter likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely nearing the finish. 

Coley's Koko 7/1 Unp -1pt 
Atlyah 12/1 Unp -1pt 

Total -2pts

RIPON 4.05 

As usual with an eight runner race I hope they all take part so there is 3 places available for an each way bet, it is a good looking class 2 race where I cannot see anything that I could dismiss its chances and lay it, Bossipop may do best of the two known front runners in the race as it comes out 4th best on my figures and could even stay on well enough to sneak a palace especially if others falter, Thegreatestshowman is sitting in 3rd top spot but the trainer is 0-10 in the last 2 weeks, Manigordo is my 2nd best rated horse and is usually seen staying on at the finish over this distance and could make the frame but it hasn't been in good form lately, my money will be riding on BOWMAN 10/1 (EW) who recorded a fast time at Carlisle and a repeat would see it winning a touch cosily.

Bowman 10/1 8th -2pts

Total -2pts

RIPON 5.50 

Only 6 runners where the top pair, Nearly A Gonna and Ustath, look the likely pacesetters and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead and the former might have been flattered when it won 2 runs ago at Nottingham, Hurstwood comes out 2nd best using a time from way back in 2019, my money will be riding on SINGE ANGLAIS 13/8 who is from a stable in decent form in the last two weeks and it will be held up for a late run. 

Singe Anglais 9/4 1st +2.25pts

Total +2.25pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

A class 4 race, 10 runners and 2 known front running types equals a true run affair, I would look to lay Seas Of Elzaam who should be staying on at the finish but maybe too late to catch the leaders, Garth Rockett has a good time from 2020 which would give it a good chance of winning but the jockey booking, 0-18, makes me think it will be aimed at a future race, I did have TOUSSARAK 7/1 and NIGEL NOTT 5/1 level on my ratings but the former has a 3lb claiming apprentice on board and the latter has a 5lb claiming apprentice, so just 2lbs between them but as the latter is the one I think might set the early pace and could prove hard to catch but just in case I will back them both to cover the angles. 

Nigel Nott 5/1 4th -1pt 
Toussarak 7/1 UR -1pt 

Lay bet: Seas Of Elzaam +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Only 7 runners but 3 of them are known as front runners and five of them are 3yo’s so my stakes are already going to be low, I think *Iesha may need further and may be worth laying despite the fact this race might be run to suit its racing style, I think JORVIK PRINCE 9/1 should lead and then prove hard to catch and if reproducing its best time from 2020 would hold on for the win but its time from 2021 would give TOPLIGHT 9/2 a chance to pick it up in the closing stages and I will be backing them both.

*NR

Jorvik Prince 9/1 2nd -1pt 
Toplight 5/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts