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Sunday, 24 April 2022

3:25 Ayr Racing Tips (25th April)

AYR 3.25 

LAMPANG hasn't been in good form lately plus it may need this run for fitness but time wise it does come out as my 3rd top rated so could go ok here. 

SOLDIERS MINUTE this one would need to improve time wise on whats its shown so far in its career and nowadays seems better on the AW tracks.

BLACK FRIDAY has only slow times to its name mainly because it doesn't seem to like the faster going and one I will look to lay. 

CALL ME GINGER this one is my top rated and slightly dropped in class to run in this race but the trainers not had a winner for 59 days which is a bit off putting.

BE PROUD this ones from the same stable as Call Me Ginger and seems very much their 2nd string and is my 2nd top rated. 

BALLYARE time wise it needs to improve a good few spots and this distance seems a bit too short for it to show its best. 

SUMMARY: Only 6 runners where I would look to lay Black Friday who seems to prefer some cut in the ground to show its best, the trainer Jim Goldie has 2 runners in this race and they are my 1st and 2nd top rated horses so he could win with either but I have CALL ME GINGER rated the higher plus this one has the slightly better jockey stats but maybe have a covering bet on Be Proud just in case its the one that they have primed more for this race. 

Call Me Ginger 9/4 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Black Friday +1pt 

Total on the day 0pts

WINDSOR 5.55 

LORDSBRIDGE BOY usually likes to track the leaders but may need this run for fitness plus a longer distance might suit it better as well so maybe one to lay. 

I'M MABLE would need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race and usually likes to race in the middle of the field.

ATTY'S EDGE is usually held up for a late run but once again it may need to improve on its best time wise to win this race.

KOOL MOE DEE can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and could do enough to win this race.

LA ROCA DEL FUEGO is one of two known front running types in this race but this one seems to save its best form for the All-Weather tracks.

BOOM THE GROOM the other one that's known to lead but this 11yo seems on the downward journey as age catches up with it and further also might be better for it. 

LETHAL BLAST is actually my top rated so cannot be discounted but the stable is 0-80 during the last 258 days which is off putting also has poor jockey stats.

FIRENZE ROSA hasn't registered on my speed figures for quite a while now and seems to need further when the going is on the fast side. 

SUMMARY: In this race I have got a negative against all of the runners barring the one so which ones to lay is a case of take your pick although I wouldn't lay La Roca Del Fuego just in case its allowed to get an easy lead and pinches the race from the front, I have to mention Letha Blast as it is my top rated but hasn't been in good form lately and its over 250 days since the stable last had a winner so I have to side with KOOL MOE DEE in this race, it is my 2nd top rated and its trainer does quite well at this course.

Kool Moe Dee 9/4 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Lordsbridge Boy +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day 0pts

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