This looks a dire race for a class 4 affair, I will look to lay Q Twenty Boy 4/1 who might be outclassed at this level, the early pace will most likely be set by Under Curfew but I doubt it will stay there unless they let it get away with setting a slow early pace and then try to steal it from the front, the rest are all closely rated on my figures apart from LIHOU 3/1 who has a rating from 2021 at Haydock that would see it winning this and will be the one I will have a small wager on.
Lihou 3/1 1st +3pts
Lay bet Q Twenty Boy +1pt
Total +4pts
BATH 6.30
A 7 runner race where 4 of them have been known to lead before, I have a couple in mind that I could lay but I think both will be a bit too big in price to be of value to lay, Pop Dancer 7/2 is my 3rd top rated but I did have to go back to 2020 to find this ones best rating but could go well if back to form but maybe not good enough to win this race, Symbol Of Hope 3/1 who is my 2nd top rated has the advantage that it recorded that rating this year over this course and distance but if the one i will look to back CORONATION COTTAGE 9/2 can reproduce its best rating it recorded over this course and distance last year it would win this race a shade cosily and it does have a good jockey booking as they have a 25% win ratio on the stables older horses.
Coronation Cottage 5/1 7th -1pt
Lay bet Pop Dancer +1pt
Total 0pts
Total on the day + 4pts
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