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Showing posts with label Coronation Cottage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Coronation Cottage. Show all posts

Thursday, 7 July 2022

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (8th July)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

With 6 known front runners in this race it could be a fast and furious dash, it looks mighty competitive race so not one to be betting too heavily in, Tees Spirit has been in good form lately but the handicapper might have it in its grip now so it could run ok but maybe not enough to win so maybe one to lay, Ancient Times one of the possible pacesetters could go well from those that like to race to the fore and might be worth an each way interest but I will be hoping another front running type LIHOU 12/1 (EW) who won last time out can follow up that win here and it does have good trainer/jockey stats and makes me think connections think it can win this race and at the price it has be given as an each way wager. 

Lihou 12/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Tees Spirit -1pt 

Total -1pt

YORK 5.00 

I can see 4 and possibly 5 horses that could set the pace to this race, I will be looking to lay Ghathanfar who looks a much better prospect over 6 furlongs so may get outpaced in this race and then stay on too late for the win, Albegone is capable of producing a good speed figure and has my highest speed figure but in lower class races than today's so it may get outclassed in this race while King Of Tonga needs to improve time wise and may be better over further, James Watt comes out in 4th top spot and could make the frame here, VAN GERWEN 18/1 (EW) is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders before staying on strongly at the finish but i do have the front running type Modular Magic (non-runner) rated higher and if this one gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and can hopefully hold on for the win and if it wasn't for the trainers 0-6 record at this course it would probably have been my sole bet in this race but the jockey does do well for the stable. With the non-runner I will now be going with an each way punt on Van Gerwen hoping it stays on strongly enough at the finish to pick up the leaders.

Van Gerwen 33/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bet Ghathanfar -4pts 

Total -6pts

ASCOT 5.11 

WOW what a class 3 race this is, I can see 3 horses that like to lead, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay although Mitrosonfire 9/1 came very close to being one but I expect it might be a double figure price, looking at my speed figure ratings Tanmawwy, Asad, Epsom Faithful, Lucky Man and Treacherous are all closely rated and it could be fine margins of luck in running that could decide this race but if either Antiphon or Emperor Spirit get an easy lead they could pinch this race from the front especially the latter one who is my top rated but the trainers 1-31 with its older horses at this course is a bit off-putting but it does have good jockey stats so I will be hoping that EMPEROR SPIRIT 6/1 can either lead or at least contest the lead from the off and stay on the stronger at the finish and this race is a drop down in class from its recent run. 

Emperor Spirit 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Mitrosonfire +1pt 

Total 0pts


CHEPSTOW 6.45 

For a class 6 race this one looks quite good with 3 known front running types it should be a true run race, I could look to lay Louis Treize 15/2 who might need further to show its best and get outpaced here in the early stages and then try to stay on at the finish but I expect too late to catch the leaders, Rhubarb 7/2 won last time out over a longer distance and may be under-priced on the back of that win and I will be looking to lay it, Liberty Bay and Fossos two known pace setting types are my 5th and 4th top rated and will ensure there's a fast early pace, Astrophysics my 3rd top rated and Our Man In Havana my 2nd top rated will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and could make the frame but i will be pinning my hopes on the chances of the top weighted CORONATION COTTAGE 8/1 leading from start to finish, it would just win on its best 2022 rating but if able to reproduce its best rating from Bath in 2020 it would win with a bit to spare.

Coronation Cottage 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Rubarb -3.5pts, Louis Treize +1pt

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day  -10.5pts

Tuesday, 21 June 2022

2:15 Salisbury Racing Tips (22nd June)

SALISBURY 2.15 

This looks a dire race for a class 4 affair, I will look to lay Q Twenty Boy 4/1 who might be outclassed at this level, the early pace will most likely be set by Under Curfew but I doubt it will stay there unless they let it get away with setting a slow early pace and then try to steal it from the front, the rest are all closely rated on my figures apart from LIHOU 3/1 who has a rating from 2021 at Haydock that would see it winning this and will be the one I will have a small wager on.

Lihou 3/1 1st +3pts 

Lay bet Q Twenty Boy +1pt 

Total +4pts
 

BATH 6.30 

A 7 runner race where 4 of them have been known to lead before, I have a couple in mind that I could lay but I think both will be a bit too big in price to be of value to lay, Pop Dancer 7/2 is my 3rd top rated but I did have to go back to 2020 to find this ones best rating but could go well if back to form but maybe not good enough to win this race, Symbol Of Hope 3/1 who is my 2nd top rated has the advantage that it recorded that rating this year over this course and distance but if the one i will look to back CORONATION COTTAGE 9/2 can reproduce its best rating it recorded over this course and distance last year it would win this race a shade cosily and it does have a good jockey booking as they have a 25% win ratio on the stables older horses.

Coronation Cottage 5/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Pop Dancer +1pt 

Total 0pts

Total on the day + 4pts

Sunday, 1 May 2022

1:21 Bath Racing Tips (2nd May)

BATH 1.21 

With 3 possible pacesetters in this race it should be a true run race and I think it could well be won from the front, I will look to lay Hot Hot Hot 9/2 who seems to need further to show its true potential and the jockey is a poor 1-37 for the stable which is certainly off-putting, it looks likely that Symbol Of Hope 2/1 will be the favourite and I gave it as a lay last time it ran where it finished 2nd and I will be laying it again here if I think its not value, Sir Rodneyredblood could be the one to do best of those coming from off the pace but I will be hoping that *CORONATION COTTAGE 8/1 can lead all the way in this race and the apprentice jockey has good stats and the horse has won before when returning after a break. 

*NR 

Lay bet Symbol Of Hope -1.25pts

Total -1.25pts 

BATH 2.31 

A poor turnout of just 6 runners for this class 4 dash over 5 furlongs, I'm not sure there is anything in this race that I could confidently lay although Newyorkstateofmind would have to improve time wise a good few spots to be winning the race, Get It and Hallowed Time look the ones likely to set the pace to this race and the latter could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead as its my 2nd top rated but my money will be hoping they will be setting the race up for AIRSHOW 9/4 who usually tracks the leaders and then stays on strongly at the finish and its trainer has a 20% win ratio with its older horses at this course. 

Airshow 5/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 3.26 

Not really a race to be betting in too heavily as I'm not sure what will set the pace to the race or how fast the gallop will be which means its hard to spot lays as well as bets, I can see some that might not have the race run to suit them but they are all forecast to be double figure prices but the proper betting might show me something to lay, as for backing in this race I cannot see why MAJESKI MAN 11/4 who won last time out shouldn't follow up here as that time at Salisbury last time out would see it winning this race with a bit still in hand, as this horse likes to track the leaders it should be able to spot if the leaders are not going fast and push on if needs be and I think Holly Doyle is more than capable of riding a good race from the front.

Majeski Man 9/4 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3.25pts

Sunday, 17 October 2021

1:00 Bath Racing Tips (18th October)

BATH 1.00 

A field of 16 with 6 of them being known as front running types, there looks to be four or five that appear to have virtually no chance of leading but I expect them to be big prices and maybe the only value call for a lay bet is Bama Lama who I don't think will like the good to firm ground, as long as the rain stays away which is forecast for the day, as for what I will be backing firstly I will be putting some of my stake on CORONATION COTTAGE 7/1 who is one of the possible pacesetters and could prove hard to catch if getting its head in front and if it can reproduce its best 2020 time recorded over this course and distance it would hang on for the win but its best so far this year has been a few spots below that level which means I will also be backing GLAMOROUS FORCE 11/1 who is my top rated on just this years times and 2nd top rated on my overall figures so hoping i have covered the angles with these two. 

Glamorous Force 11/1 1st +11pts
Coronation Cottage 7/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets: (none) Bama Lama not priced in single figure odds

Total +10pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

Another race where I will be going with two selections to cover the angles, firstly I will be looking to lay Thegreatestshowman 5/1 if its a single figure price which I think it should be and on the tissue prices it is forecast to be the 3/1 favourite and it will certainly be poor value at that price and I would lay it, I think the early pace will be set by HYDE PARK BARRACKS 9/1 (EW) and it is my 2nd top rated using a time it recorded here earlier this year and a repeat of that time would make it hard to catch for most of these, but there are two or three that could be hidden dangers so I'm just hoping they don't become dangerous in this race, I do have MUTABAAHY 12/1 (EW) rated 3lbs higher from its time when winning over this course and distance earlier this year and does like a fast pace to aim at as this distance can be a bit too short for it if the early pace isn't fast enough but it think the 3yo Follow Your Heart may make sure nothing gets an easy lead so this race could be ideal for it and I will be backing them both each way at the prices available.

Hyde Park Barracks 9/1 7th -2pt 
Mutabaahy 12/1 6th -2pt 

Lay bets: Thegreatestshowman -4.5pts 

Total  -8.5pts

Total on the day +1.5pts

Sunday, 26 September 2021

3:30 Bath Racing Tips (27th September)

BATH 3.30 

(If the going is good or faster) 

For a class 6 race this one looks quite good, there's a couple of front running types in the field of 8 runners and as one of the pacesetters is my top rated for this year and 2nd top on overall figures it should be run at a good gallop for this level, I have found 3 that I will look to lay if they are single figure prices, Kodi Gold 4/1 who may need further to show its best, Cappananty Con 11/2 who has poor jockey stats and doesn't want fast ground and Okaidi 12/1 who also may need further and has poor jockey stats, the race that Snow Berry won last time out was a slow run affair and it had Kodi Gold behind it in 2nd that day and at the weights should beat it again but will need to improve time wise to win this race but being a 3yo it could do just that, We’re Reunited 13/2 is my 3rd top rated but the trainer is 0-12 in the last 2 weeks, it has been 47 days since the stables last winner they have had 35 runners during that time, *SHANI 16/1 (EW) who has good jockey stats is my 2nd top rated using just 2021 times but has a time from last year over this course and distance that would make it top rated overall and I will be backing it each way at the price, while CORONATION COTTAGE 4/1 is rated 2lbs higher using just 2021 times and is one of the possible pacesetters in this race and has good jockey stats and this one also recorded its best time over this course and distance in 2020, I will be backing them both to cover the angles. 

*NR

Coronation Cottage 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets: Kodi Gold +1pt, Cappananty Con +1pt, Okaidi +1pt

Total +2pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.00

With 2 other front running types in this race Spirit Power 14/1 may struggle to stay the trip but isn't value to lay at the price while Aleef 15/2, Somewhere Secret 14/1, The Mousen Champ 9/1, Quanah 6/1 and Lucky Beggar 7/1 may all need a longer distance to show their best form, my 3rd top rated is Arnold 6/1 but its not won in 8 attempts on the AW tracks but it has made the frame in half of them and could make the frame again here but isn't an each way price in my opinion, in 2nd top spot using a 2020 time is Another Angel 5/1 another known front running type but has only recorded slow times over this course and distance in 4 races this year so i will be hoping that the third front running type *LORD OF THE GLEN 11/2 can follow up its win at Chelmsford three days ago and will be carrying my money. 

*NR 

Lay bets: Aleef +1pt, Qanah +1pt (other not given over 9/1) 

Total +2pts


NEWCASTLE 8.30

There's a few in this race that look better over shorter distances but some will be big priced so I will look to lay Gorgeous General 4/1 and Cuppacoco 9/2 who are both forecast to be a single figure price and both of them haven't got a recorded time since 2019, only half the field have done a time fast enough to register on my figures and they are all in the top half of the handicap, Oriental Lily 12/1 is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run but hasn't recorded a time for this year so far, I've actually got joint top rated horses, Oakenshield 14/1 usually likes to track the leaders but hasn't recorded a time this year from four races so i will be putting my faith and money on ROCKLEY POINT 12/1 (EW) who is the only one in the race who is known as a front running sort and i am hoping it can lead all the way in this race and the jockey booking does look a positive one, it has been off the track for 136 days but has won before coming from off a break and as usual at the price it has to be an each way wager.

Rockley Point 12/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bets: Gorgeous General +1pt, Cuppacoco +1pt

Total 0pts 

Total on the day +4pts

Wednesday, 8 September 2021

1:10 Doncaster Racing Tips (9th September)

DONCASTER 1.10 

A class 3 race for female jockeys and my selection is being ridden by one of the top jockettes, I will look to lay Pivoting and Rocket Action if they are single figure prices which I very much doubt, so maybe the best lay will be Citron Major 15/2 who doesn't seem to like good to firm ground the early pace could well be set by Giogiobbo and unless its allowed a very easy time in front I doubt it can hold on for the win, Call Me Ginger 7/2 comes out 3rd top rated on a time it recorded when winning at Hamilton but I doubt it will be an each way price, Embour 15/2 is my 2nd top rated and again its using a time recorded at Hamilton so might just about be worth an each way bet, my money will be riding on LORD P 9/4 who recorded a time when winning at Carlisle which would see it winning this race quite cosily and the trainer is in good form with a 7-18 record for the last 2 weeks. 

Lord P 9/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Citron Major +1pt

Total 0pts

CHEPSTOW 2.00 

A 7 runner race but I could potentially lay 3 of them, Mabre, Siglo Six and Russco 7/4, as long as they are single figure prices, as I think they all could do better over a longer distance but at the prices it looks likely I will only lay Russco, the hold up type Gilt Edge comes out in 3rd top spot, MY STYLE 11/1 (EW) comes out top rated using 2021 times and that speed figure is good enough for 2nd top spot on my overall figures so worth an each way wager, HANDYTALK 7/2 has only slow times so far this year but does have a time from 2020 recorded at Salisbury that makes it my top rated on the overall figures, both horses have good trainer/jockey stats making it look like both sets of connections are expecting a big run from their horse in this race so I will be backing them both. 

Handytalk 5/1 3rd -1pt
My Style 11/1 4th -2pts 

Lay bets Russco -2pts, Mabre +1pt, Siglo Six +1pt

Total -3pts

CHEPSTOW 3.05 Div II 

Division 1 of this race was full of 3yo’s and lightly raced sorts so I will leave it alone, this isn't a great race but the top weight Creek Harbour 7/2 has been known to lead if nothing else wants to but will probably try to set a slightly slower early pace to keep something in reserve for the finish so it could be dangerous but along with Andre Amar 4/1 and Glorious Crescent 11/2 it can struggle to stay this distance on good to firm ground if theres a fast early pace, I will be backing 2 horses in this race there is only 2lbs between SIR RODERICK 10/1 (EW) and RAINBOW MIRAGE 12/1 (EW) and the latter has the better trainer/jockey stats which makes it hard to split them and I will be backing them both each way. 

Sir Roderick 10/1 6th -2pts
Rainbow Mirage 12/1 7th -2pts 

Total -4pts 

CHEPSTOW 4.35 

For a class 6 this one isn't too bad there's 3 known front runners and it could be won from the front, I will look to lay Nacho 7/4 who has won before but both on turf and AW surfaces they have been slow run affairs when it has won so this race may not be run to suit it, Glamorous Force 5/2 is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race but isn't an each way prospect, Aquadabra 14/1 comes out best on just 2021 times and 2nd best on my overall figures so may be worth an each way interest while CORONATION COTTAGE 11/2 comes out 2nd best on 2021 times but top on my overall figures and is the one that I think could lead all the way in this race. 

Coronation Cottage 11/2 1st +5.5pts 

Total +5.5pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

There is a couple of known front running types in this race which helps with my analysis, I have Storm Melody as my 3rd top rated and it usually likes to track the leaders as does Tilsworth Rose who sits in 2nd top spot but top on my figures but only by 1lb when I take off the apprentices 3lb claim on JORVIK PRINCE 12/1 who is a front running type and has the plum stall 1 draw in this race and could lead from the off and then prove hard to catch, its a pity there is only 7 runners because I would have put it as an each way bet if there was 3 places.

Jorvik Prince 12/1 1st -1pt

Total -1pt

Total on the day -2.5pts

Friday, 23 July 2021

2:05 York Racing Tips (24th July)

YORK 2.05 

I think the 3 at the bottom of this class 3 handicap might be outclassed at this level in terms of winning this race but both Dark Shot and Eeh Bah Gum have been known to lead so could possibly do enough to make the frame and if pushed I would side the former doing best of them, Secretinthepark races as though further would suit it better and I could lay any of them if a single figure price, Mid Winster, Ventura Express and James Watt have recorded their best times this year so could go well in this race but I will be looking to back SOUL SEEKER 7/1 who will be trying to run on strongly at the business end of the race and this race could be run to suit it. 

Soul Seeker 7/1 1st +7pts 

Total +7pts

YORK 2.40

I can see a couple of known front running types in this race although one of them Giogiobbo would need to improve time wise to win this race, Manigordo can produce fast times but usually in a lower class race than today's but will be trying to stay on at the finish, I will look to lay Mundammej 11/2 who I think can struggle to stay this distance on turf, Golden Apollo 7/1 who might need further on good to firm going and could be another to lay, I'm not 100% sure if MUSIC SOCIETY 10/1 (EW) wants really fast good to firm ground but has a good chance on the clock to win this race and I will be having an each way bet on it, my other bet will also be each way on *TYPHOON TEN 33/1 (EW) who is a front running type and if getting to the front in this race it could prove hard to catch and I am hoping its an each way price for a bit of insurance. 

*NR 

Music Society 10/1 2nd +1.5pts 

Total +1.5pts 

NEWMARKET 5.20

This is a nice looking class 3 race and a good place to start is with Mr Wagyu who has been running out of its skin lately mainly in class 4 races but has run well in higher class affairs so I expect it to go well here, it likes to lead and is the only known front running type in the race plus it is my 2nd top rated in this race, I cannot see anything in the race that I could put forward as a lay in this race but I will be hoping that *LINCOLN PARK 9/2 can reproduce the time it recorded at Chester and if doing so would win with a bit in hand. 

*NR

SALISBURY 6.05 

An eight runner race where I will look to lay Starchant 11/1 and Spreadsheet 9/2 as usual if they are single figure prices, there's a couple of 3yo’s that could be hidden dangers but I will as usual stick with the proven and will be backing both HAVEONEYERSELF 9/4 who could try to lead all the way in this race and the other known front running type is CORONATION COTTAGE 11/1 and they are my 2 top rated so I'm hoping they don't cut each others throats trying to lead but I cannot see anything to take them on with so I will backing them both. 

Haveoneyerself 1st +3.5pts
Coronation Cottage 11/1 4th -1pt

Lay bets Starchant +1pt, Spreadsheet +1pt

Total +4.5pts

SALISBURY 7.35 

A field of 9 runners and as I hope to have an each way punt in this race I need at least 8 of them to run, I could lay three of the four 3yo’s in this race if they are a single figure price but I know if I lay all them one of them will improve enough to cause me to lose, Amathus is my 2nd top rated using just times from 2021 but that time is only good enough for joint 5th top place, along with Enduring, on overall figures and the latter recorded its time on an AW track and has poor form on turf, Aramis Grey comes out 3rd top but once again that's using a time from an AW track, the top weight Theotherside is one of three horses from the Hannon stable and is my 2nd top rated using a time from 2020 but I will hopefully be having an each way punt on KENDERGARTEN KOP 9/1 (EW) who recorded its best time this year at Brighton but the trainer hasn't got great stats but I'm hoping this one can get to the front and then prove hard to catch.

Kendergarten Kop 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total on the day +11pts
 

Tuesday, 22 June 2021

5:50 Bath Racing Tips (23rd June)

BATH 5.50 

THE NOSEY PARKER 8/1 I think this one might be better when racing over a longer distance but in its defence it hasn't run on good or good to firm ground at this distance but one i will look to lay.

EQUALLY FAST 7/2 has a time from Chepstow that makes it my top rated on just 2021 times which is always a positive and 3rd best overall, it is usually held up for a late run.

CORONATION COTTAGE 16/1 looks the most likely pacesetter in the race and using its best time from 2020 it comes out in 2nd top spot so could go well from the front and at the price might be worth an each way punt. 

DANA FOREVER 9/1 has only poor recent form and its only run over this distance on good ground didn't produce a time fast enough to register on my figures.

HEER WE GO AGAIN 11/1 has a time from Windsor this year which would make it my 4th top rated but has a good few spots to make up to win this race.

MYSTIFY ME 7/2 a 3yo who comes 5th best on my figures so would need to improve time wise to win this race but it could possibly do so.

HOT SCOOP 6/1 another 3yo who races as though a longer distance would suit it better when racing on good to firm ground but I couldn't lay it as it could still improve.

MOONRAKER 15/2 comes out in top spot using a time recorded over this c/d in 2020 it is capable of winning this race but isn't one to rely to be honest as it has disappointed before. 

GHERKIN 1/1 hasn't any form over this distance and would perhaps be better when tried over a longer distance.

CHERISH 15/2 it has only slow times over this c/d on good to firm ground and is another that may need a longer distance to show its best. 

SUMMARY: I will look to lay the top weight The Nosey Parker 8/1 as I am convinced it needs a longer distance when racing on good to firm ground, betting wise I cannot see any other way than to back 3 runners in this race, EQUALLY FAST 7/2 is my top rated on just 2012 times and the trainer has a decent 17% win ratio with their older horses at this track and the jockey has a 20% win ratio again on all rides for the stable so it makes me think they are expecting a big run but it is only 3rd best on my overall figures but this years times are at times more valuable, CORONATION COTTAGE 16/1 is my 2nd top rated and I think its the one that will set the pace to the race and if allowed an easy lead it could steal the race from the front and has to be worth an each way punt, MOONRAKER 15/2 is my top rated on overall figures and this ones best time was recorded over this c/d which is always a valuable pointer and on its day it is capable of winning this race and if guaranteed to run to its former best it would be my sole bet but it has run poorly before for no apparent reason, I hope you can see there is a valued reason why each one of my three selections could win this race so dutching them looks the best way to attack this race.

Equally Fast 8/1 6th -1pt 
Coronation Cottage 25/1 7th -1pt 
Moonraker 16/1 Unp -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

Wednesday, 5 August 2020

1:15 Ripon Racing Tips & Lay Bets (6th August)


RIPON 1.15 

A nice field of 11 runners in this class 3 race, I will hope to lay (Fairy Stories + True Mason) both may struggle to stay the distance if Bossipop sets a fast pace which is capable of doing and could do enough from the front to make the frame and has a stablemate, Staxton who could also make the frame and this one has the fasted time from 2020 only and 3rd top overall, Watchable will be running on at the finish and its best time from Epsom 2019 makes it 2nd best on my own speed figures, GUNMETAL 5/1 has a time from this year at Newmarket that would make it 3rd top on just 2020 times but has a time from Ascot in 2019 that puts it at the top of my figures and will be carrying some of my money. 

Gunmetal 11/2 3rd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Fairy Stories +1pt, True Mason +1pt

Total: +1pt


BATH 3.40

A 9 runner dash where 4 of them like to front-run so it should be fast and furious and as long as they don't cut each other's throats I think it will be won from the front, a couple I would lay are (Jaganory + Bequest) both King Crimson and Thegreyvtrain like to lead and are my joint 3rd top-rated so either or both could go well, the horse that might prosper if the leaders do push each other too much is Moonraker but this one doesn't seem to want genuine good to firm ground so it may not finish fast enough to pick up the leaders, I am hoping my top-rated beast, CORONATION COTTAGE 11/2 can get to the front and if doing so it ought to prove pretty hard to catch and the jockey booking has a18% win ratio for the stable, makes me expect it will run a very big race in this race.

Coronation Cottage 11/2 1st (+5.5pts)

Lay bets: Jaganory +1pt, Bequest +1pt

Total:  +7.5pts

Total on the Day: +8.5pts

Friday, 17 July 2020

3:05 York Racing Tips & Lay Bets (18th July)


YORK 3.05 

Even I get tired of writing this but please check the going before betting if you cant I would advise you to not to have a bet, I don't want to lose you any money. There's 9 runners in this Listed class dash, (El Astronaute still runs ok but it isn't the horse it used to be and may struggle here + Moss Gill will need to improve timewise to win this race) so I will look to lay this pair, I'm not 100% sure how good or bad the 2 3yo’s are but betting wise they don't seem fancied and would both have to improve to win this race, I think this race will be won from the front unless they cut each other's throats having a ding dong battle to gain control up front, Que Amora is my 3rd top-rated, Equilateral comes out 2nd best but my money will be riding on ALPHA DELPHINI 15/2 who should prove hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Alpha Delphini 12/1 8th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Moss Gill -6pts, El Astranaute +1pt

Total: -6pts

YORK 4.10 

A field of 20 is usually enough to put me off but a couple of pointers made me think I might have found and each way opportunity, the draw can make a difference at this course and I will be backing the horse with the highest draw, HIGHLY SPRUNG 15/2, who is a known frontrunner and with the rails to help it then it could lead all the way but my stakes will not be at full tilt. 

Highly Strung 25/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWBURY 4.00 

A cracking Group 3 race where I will look to lay (Judicial who might not stay the distance in the make-up of this race with some fast pacesetters) Summerghand is my 3rd top-rated overall and 2nd top-rated on just 2020 time, TIS MARVELLOUS 14/1 (EW) is 3rd best on 2020 times but has a time from 2019 that would make it my overall top-rated and it is one of the likely pacesetters and if getting to the front could have every chance to lead all the way so has to be an each-way punt, TINTO 9/1 (EW) is top-rated on just 2020 times and that figure is only 2lbs below the overall top-rated so I will have to back them both each way to cover the angles. 

Tis Marvellous 14/1 7th (-2pts)
Tinto 12/1 Unp (-2pt) 

Lay bet: Judicial +1pt

Total: -3pts 

BATH 5.05

There's 11 runners in this race with 3 known frontrunners, so it should be a genuine paced affair and the race, could easily be won from the front, King Crimson may struggle to lead in this race but Archimedes is my 2nd top-rated and a from the front it can be dangerous, it hasn't been in the best of form lately is capable of bouncing back to form without prior warning but my top rated is also a frontrunning type and if CORONATION COTTAGE 5/1 gets to the front it could be hard to catch and has been found an opportunity to go one better than its 2nd place finish on its last run.

Coronation Cottage 13/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

Total on the day: -11pts

Saturday, 16 November 2019

3:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (16th November)

LINGFIELD 3.15 

What a cracking looking Listed race, ive found 5 with negatives against their names enough to discard them from my thoughts as possible winners, the Irish horse Beckford could be dangerous if taking to this surface on its 1st run on an artificial surface there are several others that could be in the mix come the business end of the race, Above The Rest seems so far better on a straight course like Newcastle, Corinthia Knight likes to track the pace and could be competitive if reproducing its old form, Royal Birth has a mediocre time over this c/d but has a fast time from Chelmsford, Soldiers Minute comes into the picture on its best Kempton time, the bottom weight Show Stealer is well weighted on its best form, my money will be riding on GIFTED MASTER 7/2 who is the only known frontrunner in the race, usually stall 8 wouldnt be ideal but with no other frontrunners it might be ok in the make-up of this race and it hinted at a return to winning ways when finishing 2nd last time out and has good trainer/jockey stats. 

Gifted Master 7/2 8th  

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45

This 5 furlong dash looks quite good for a class 5 race and its a competitive affair and plenty that like to be at the fore from the off and I can only find one horse that I think has very little chance, never say never, and I do think it will be one of the outsiders in the race, Longroom seems to prefer Newcastle to here, Tan and Red Stripes are stablemates but the jockey bookings look negatives to me while they are capable, if in the mood, and if they are primed for this race, Shepherds Purse will be trying to stay on at the finish and is another that could make the frame but I will be backing CORONATION COTTAGE 12/1 in this race, it is one I expect to be at the front of the race from the off and can hopefully stay there till the finish and the price allows me to go with an each-way wager.

Coronation Cottage 16/1 3rd

Wednesday, 24 July 2019

3:00 Bath Racing Tips (24th July)


BATH 3.00

There are 8 runners but only CORONATION COTTAGE 9/1 is known to set the pace and it is my top rated using just this years times so could be hard to catch if getting to the front but I do have one horse, GEORGE DRYDEN 8/1 with a higher rating recorded at Hamiltonover 6 furlongs last year but at this course the distance isn't quite six furlongs but it is more than five and a half furlongs so I have to back them both to cover the angles. 

George Dryden 8/1 2nd 
Coronation Cottage 9/1 6th 

BATH 4.00

Only 5 runners but I can't split the bottom pair the 3-year-old HERITAGE 6/4 starts off as my top rated and being a front runner I could prove hard to catch but STORM MELODY 9/4 is being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot both have good trainer stats making me think both sets of connections are hoping to go well here. 

Heritage 6/4 2nd 
Storm Melody 7/2 5th

CATTERICK 4.10 

This is a cracking class 4 race with 8 entrants and a couple of known front runners in Merry banter and Alsvinder and the former is my top-rated using just 2019 times and is only moved down to 2nd spot using all times, Landing Night and Tomily are also rated quite close to the top of my list making it a competitive affair but if *ROSINA 14/1 can reproduce its best time from Ripon in 2018 it would win cosily so has to carry my money in an each way wager. 

* NR

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