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Wednesday, 22 June 2022

1:45 Nottingham Racing Tips (23rd June)

NOTTINGHAM 1.45 

Only 4 runners with half of them being 3yo’s which doesn't help my analysis, Miss Calculation 7/1 may need further and isn't proven on good to firm ground so maybe worth laying, As If By Chance 3/1 needs to improve time wise to win this race, Aphelios 11/8 is my joint top rated thanks to the apprentice jockeys 5lb claim and has had only 1 run for this stable before which he won on, PRINCE OF BEL LIR 3/1 is my other joint top rated and the only known front runner in the race so this one could be able to lead all the way.

Prince Of Bel Lir 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts 

NOTTINGHAM 4.05 

This race isn't much better with 5 runners and 4 of them have been known to lead before and I think the race could be between HIGH SECURITY 9/2 and EEH BAH GUM 10/3 as long as they don't cut each others throat in a desperate battle to lead, they flip flop as my top rated with the latter being ridden by a 5lb claiming apprentice who certainly looks worth his claim, I have negatives against the other 3 runners in the race but if they do go off at a madcap fast pace then possibly Stone Circle 7/4 could follow up its win from just a few days ago but isn't of much value so I will go with dutching my top rated pair. 

Eeh Bah Gum 10/3 2nd -1pt 
High Security 11/2 4th -1pt 

Total -2pts 

HAMILTON 8.30

Up to 6 runners for this race where Huraiz seems the most likely pacesetter but this one hasn't been in good form lately and has poor trainer/jockey stats which puts me off, Primo's Comet can record a good rating but might get outclassed at this level but what will win this race is something I cannot fathom and maybe the best way to make a profit from this race is with a lay and I would look to lay Boogie Time 5/2 who may need further and this race most likely will not be run to suit it plus the apprentice jockey has a dire 1-40 win ratio for the stable. 

HAMILTON 9.00

WOW a field of 10 for this race with a couple of known front running types amongst them, Fircombe Hall 4/1 finished 2nd last time out and actually recorded its best rating that day but it was still a relatively slow time and might therefore have been flattered by that result and will be much shorter here than its chance merits the trainer is 0-21 at this course and the jockey is 0-6 for the stable so certainly looks one to lay, Elladora 10/1 who likes to track the leaders starts off as my top rated but drops to 2nd top spot when an opponent has a 5lb claiming apprentice on board so looks as though it could make the frame and possibly be worth an each way bet, as for the winner I think MACHO PRIDE 4/1 could set the pace to this race and if leading could be hard to peg back and the apprentice jockey is 1-3 when riding the stables older horses.

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