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Monday, 27 June 2022

3:50 Hamilton Racing Tips (28th June)

HAMILTON 3.50 

A field of ten runners with a couple of known front runners amongst them, I have got 3 horses marked down as possible lays, Ballyconneely Bay 9/2 who might find the distance too far on good to firm ground and only produced a slow speed figure on good ground, Kapono 14/1 who also may not find good to firm ground ideal and Judy's Park 4/1 who is my joint 2nd top rated might be outclassed but all 3 of them have good or better trainer and/or jockey stats, I am of the opinion none of those stats mean a horse can overcome their weaknesses so might be worth small lays if of value to do so, I have GLOBAL HUMOR 22/1 as my other joint 2nd top rated but this one hasn't been in good form lately but looking back over its history it has been known to bounce back to form without warning and therefore could be worth an each way punt, the front running JORDAN'S ELECTRIC 9/2 is my top rated but only by 2lbs and this one has poor trainer, 1-29, and jockey, 1-20, stats which are a bit off-putting, hence why I'm going with 2 bets instead of just the one, but the latter has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and could go one better here. 

Jordan's Electric 9/2 1st +4.5pts 
Global Humor 16/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Ballyconneely Bay +1pt, Judy's Park +1pt 

Total +5.5pts

HAMILTON 4.25 

There's 12 runners in this dash with 4 that have been known to lead before, its a race where I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay in this race as it looks, according to the early tissue prices, as though 8 of the runners will be double figure prices, Refuge my 5th top rated, Astapor my 4th top rated and Major Pusey in 3rd top spot have all been known to assume the pacesetters role before but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Mokaman sits in 2nd top spot and could run on nearing the finish to make the frame but I will be hoping that *BRAZEN BELLE 6/1 can follow up its win from last time out and if able to reproduce its best time wise it win this race a shade cosily and the jockey has done well for the stable so long may it continue, well at least here.

*NR

Total on the day 5.5pts

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