3:50 Hamilton Racing Tips (28th June)

HAMILTON 3.50 

A field of ten runners with a couple of known front runners amongst them, I have got 3 horses marked down as possible lays, Ballyconneely Bay 9/2 who might find the distance too far on good to firm ground and only produced a slow speed figure on good ground, Kapono 14/1 who also may not find good to firm ground ideal and Judy's Park 4/1 who is my joint 2nd top rated might be outclassed but all 3 of them have good or better trainer and/or jockey stats, I am of the opinion none of those stats mean a horse can overcome their weaknesses so might be worth small lays if of value to do so, I have GLOBAL HUMOR 22/1 as my other joint 2nd top rated but this one hasn't been in good form lately but looking back over its history it has been known to bounce back to form without warning and therefore could be worth an each way punt, the front running JORDAN'S ELECTRIC 9/2 is my top rated but only by 2lbs and this one has poor trainer, 1-29, and jockey, 1-20, stats which are a bit off-putting, hence why I'm going with 2 bets instead of just the one, but the latter has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and could go one better here. 

Jordan's Electric 9/2 1st +4.5pts 

Global Humor 16/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Ballyconneely Bay +1pt, Judy's Park +1pt 

Total +5.5pts

HAMILTON 4.25 

There's 12 runners in this dash with 4 that have been known to lead before, its a race where I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay in this race as it looks, according to the early tissue prices, as though 8 of the runners will be double figure prices, Refuge my 5th top rated, Astapor my 4th top rated and Major Pusey in 3rd top spot have all been known to assume the pacesetters role before but I think they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Mokaman sits in 2nd top spot and could run on nearing the finish to make the frame but I will be hoping that *BRAZEN BELLE 6/1 can follow up its win from last time out and if able to reproduce its best time wise it win this race a shade cosily and the jockey has done well for the stable so long may it continue, well at least here.

*NR

Total on the day 5.5pts

4:30 Newcastle Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th February)

NEWCASTLE 4.30 

Even for a class 6 handicap this is a dire race and too honest I've got the same negative against every horse barring the one, the negative is that 9 of the runners have been in poor form lately, some have other negatives so the selection has to be NELLIE FRENCH 5/6 who won last time out over this distance at Wolverhampton, the same surface, but its best time came here over this c/d in 2020 and a repeat of that should be good so looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here but I expect it will be a fairly hot favourite, I cannot fathom why (Suwaan 6/1) is such a short price, yes it is a c/d winner but it hasn't shown anything of merit time wise since 2018 and i will happily lay the win on this horse. 

Abandoned

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45 

A typical race where there is only 8 runners but I have struggled to narrow it down to anything lower than 3 of the runners so i will going with a dutch on A GO GO 9/2 who from stall 2 should be able to get away quickly and gain control of the rails and then could prove hard to catch but its best time is only good enough for 2nd top spot on recent c/d times but that is only 2lbs below QAARAAT 10/3 who just lately it has been running quite well and has won twice in its last four starts, BUY ME BACK 3/1 has only a slow c/d time to its name from its only run over this c/d but has a time from Lingfield that would make it my top rated so if taking to this surface could have every chance of winning but it has a time on the straight course at Newcastle which is good enough for 3rd overall, I will look to lay (Lady Quickstep 6/1) who may struggle to stay the distance in a fast run affair which looks more than likely here. 

Buy Me Back 10/3 1st (+3.33pts) (Betfair sp 4.57)

Qaaraat 7/2 3rd (-1pt)

A Go Go 4th 7/2 (-1pt) 

Lay bet: Lady Quickstep +1pt

Total: +2.33pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.45 Div I 

This 1st division of a class 6 sprint looks quite good for the class, (Eldelbar 5/2) will I expect be quite fancied in the betting after winning its last 2 races but its speed figures over this c/d isn't quite good enough for the win if others repeat their best but could still go well so I would go with a small lay, I would also usually look to lay Big Time Maybe as it can struggle to stay the trip but there isn't any known front runners in this race so that might not apply in this race and time wise it could go well with a slower early pace,, there's a few that could go well, Closely is my 4th top rated and 3rd top on recent c/d times, Tan who has the plum draw could be tempted to make the running and it does come out 3rd best on my figures and that time was recorded over this c/d this year, my money will be riding on *GLOBAL HUMOR 9/1 who has the best speed figure which was recorded in 2020 and the horse has one win and two places from its 3 previous c/d runs and should be staying on at the business end of the race. 

*NR

Lay bet: Eldelbar +1pt

Total: +1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.15 Div II 

This 2nd division is very poor where I can only find 5 horses with recorded times and they are not that good, among the rest there's a lot of lightly raced sorts so this race is best well left alone.

Total on the day: +3.33pts

3:25 Salisbury Racing Tips & Lay Bets (21st August)

SALISBURY 3.25 

Let's hope all 8 runners take part in case there's any each-way selection, the going is described as good but I somehow don't believe that, so please check before you place a bet on this race but just in case the going is ok, the one that interests me is PETTOCHSIDE 7/1 who won last time out in a one-class lower race than today's but was riding in better class affairs in 2018 and this class last year so could have been found a good opportunity to follow up here. 

Pettochside 10/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.35 

There's 13 participants here and only 1 known frontrunner in the topweight Slowmo who might do enough from the front to make the frame but I doubt it can hold on for the victory, I will look to lay (Dubai Elegance) who might find the distance a bit too far if there is a fast early pace, there's a few, Englishman, Equipped, Puchita, Chocco Star and Kraka, that could run well in this race, Chocco Star has a fast time from Lingfield but hasn't any form on this surface, Puchita is top-rated using just 2020 times and this one might be worth an each-way punt but my main bet will be riding on GLOBAL HUMOR 5/1 who hasn't any course and distance form to its name but if able to repeat its best time on this surface at Newcastle it would get back to winning ways. 

Global Humor 5/1 1st (+5pts) Betfair SP (7.01)

Total: +5pts  

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.05

This 11 runner class 6 affair isn't a race to be betting too heavily in mainly due to the fact I am not sure what will set the early pace in this race, I backed Captain Ryan at 20/1 last time it ran when finishing too late and finished 2nd, it won't be that price today and this looks a slightly harder race but it could run on into a place if gaining a clear run, there's some horses, Thegreyvtrain, Miaella and George Thomas, have times from Lingfield that could possibly see them make the frame if taking to this surface, I will be backing my top rated horse, QAARAAT 7/1 who has only won one race from 23 on the AW tracks but has been placed in 10 of them so hopefully it can be backed each way and it ought to at least make the frame and could win.

Qaaraat 7/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total -1pt 

Total on the day: +3pts