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Tuesday, 5 July 2022

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th July)

LINGFIELD 3.00 

A class 5 handicap on the Polytrack surface with 3 known front running types amongst the 8 entrants, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay so lets look for the winner. The Defiant is one of the possible pacesetters and comes out 4th best on my figures, in third top spot sits Sir Rodneyredblood who likes to stay on at the finish and could make the frame, the top weight Wings Of A Dove is my 2nd top rated and another that has been known to lead before and could be hard to pass for most of these but I do have SAAHEQ 14/1 rated higher by 3lbs and to be honest it hasn't shown much so far this year in its 3 runs but is capable of bouncing back to form without warning and hopefully it will be an each way price for this race. 

Saaheq 28/1 1st +33.6pts (Excellent work from the Sprint King)

Total +33.6pts

YARMOUTH 4.40 

Only 6 runners with 2 known front runners, I'm not keen on laying 3yo’s but Thakrah races as though it will do better when tried over a longer distance so might be worth the risk if of value to lay, the top weight Amor De Mi Vida 2/1 could do best of those coming from off the pace being my third top rated but my top 2 ratings are both front running types, Aish 6/1 comes out 2nd best but if the ground is good to firm then i will be backing PRETTY SHIFTWELL and a repeat of its best speed figure would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Pretty Shiftwell 9/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 6.35 

A field of 8 for this class 4 race with 3 known front running types so it should be a true run affair especially as Symbol Of Hope 5/2 and Under Curfew 8/1 are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so many horses might not be able to get involved in this race, Majeski Man 13/2 hasn't won at this distance before and I doubt that will change here as it seems to like further so one I will look to lay, my money will be riding on AUTUMN FLIGHT 9/1 who is usually held up for a late run and is dropped in class to run in this race and hopefully that will rejuvenate after its 2 runs so far this year have been quite poor but it has won before without giving prior warning of coming back to form. 

Autumn Flight 16/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 7.05 

Not a bad race for a class 6 affair and there's a couple of known front running types amongst them, firstly i will look to lay *Nigg Bay 6/1 who is forecast to be five to one and that looks poor value for a horse that needs a longer distance to show its best form, Silver Diva 12/1 could make the frame if it can reproduce its best rating from 2021 but is been a few spots below that level so far this year, Andre Amar 6/1 is my 2nd top rated and it recorded its best rating over this course and distance this year but UBAHHA 9/4 is rated 2lbs better plus its one of the 2 possible pacesetters in this race so if getting to the front it should prove hard to catch.

Ubahha 9/4 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

Total on the day  30.6pts

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