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Wednesday 26 October 2022

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (27th October)


A full house for this class 6 sprint with a couple of known front runners, Bowling Russian and Fantasy Navigator who should ensure there's a good fast early pace and if the former could reproduce its best rating from 2020 it would win this race but its form since then has been way below that figure plus the stables last winner was over 250 days ago but could possibly make the frame if others falter, I will be looking to lay Vape 11/2 who stays on over this distance but its best form comes in relatively slow run races so might be caught out here plus it has poorish jockey stats 1-17 and the jockey is 0-4 for the stable. Woe Betide 11/2 has ran ok in its last 2 races and being a 3yo it could still improve which I would need to do to win this race but never say never and I am never 100% comfortable laying a 3yo. Nubough 11/1 could do enough to make the frame here but the stable hasn't had a winner in over 2 months but the switch back to an artificial surface could see it bounce back to form so may be worth an each way punt. OUR ABSENT FRIEND 4/1 is my top rated using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface and as it hasn't run on this Polytrack surface before I am not sure what to expect but its chance has to be respected, my top rated on this surface is EPIC EXPRESS 7/1 who recorded its best time over this course and distance 2 runs ago while its last run can be ignored as it got hampered at the start of the race and was always in the rear until stayed on into 6th place beaten 3 and a half lengths which wasn't a bad run but today the stall 14 draw hasn't been kind to it but if able to find a good early position it ought to go very close to winning again here as long as its early exertions to get a good position don't take its toll nearing the finish. 

Epic Express 17/2 2nd -1pt 
Our Absent Friend 4/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Vape -2.75pts 

Total -4.75pts


A 11 runner class 6 dash where 5 of them have been known to lead before, Glasstrees 9/2 is drawn widest of the possible pacesetters in stall 8 with other early paced types in stalls, 1,5,6 and 7 so it could either get taken wide or will have to be reigned back behind the pacesetters which isn't its preferred style so maybe worth laying just because of that but it would also need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race, Dream Game 5/1 is my joint 4th top rated and is usually held up for a late run but could find some trouble trying to find a gap in the home straight so might be worth laying the win part as it could make the frame if getting a clear run, Suanni 9/1 is the other joint 4th top rated horse but is drawn in stall 10 which could be a hindrance with the make-up of this race, Charming Kid 9/2 in stall 1 is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to gain control of the rails from the off and could just do that and I would expect it to make the frame, my top rated using a time from 2021 is SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 9/2 so has to be considered s a potential winner and is in good form winning last time out where it beat AMASOVA 12/1 (EW) but this one is weighted to reverse that form here on 13lbs better terms. The former is in stall 7 so sandwiched between 2 other fast starters so may get squeezed out in the early stages and then maybe not able to reproduce its absolute best but if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but the jock Sean Levey is 0-14 when riding for this stable which is a little off-putting hence why I am also backing my 2nd top rated, there is only 1lb between them on their best figures and this one is in stall 6 so this time might be able to prevent the former from leading and then be able to reverse the result from last time they met 33 days ago and at the price has to be given as an each way wager.

Sir Rodneyredblood 13/2 4th -1pt 
Amasova 12/1 6th -2pts 

Lay bet Glasstrees +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

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