3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th March)

LINGFIELD 3.30 

A field of 7 for this class 2 dash where 4 of the runners, Arecibo, Live In The Dream, Kiwano and The Defiant, have been known to lead before, Navello and The Defiant look to be outsiders in this race and the former may need this run for fitness while the latter may be outclassed at this level another I think might get outclassed is Badri 2/1 and this one might be of value to lay in this race. Arecibo usually stays on at this distance but maybe too late to win this race, Live In The Dream has only a slow time over this distance at both here on Tapeta and on the Polytrack surface at Wolverhampton, Kiwano was allowed an easy lead in a 3 horse race when beating TONE THE BARONE 10/3 but the pace that day was relatively slow which didn't suit it and this looks an ideal race to reverse that form especially on 3lb better terms.

Tone The Barone 10/3 PU (sadly fatally injured. Condolences to connections)

Lay bet Badri +1pt

Total 0pts

LINGFIELD 5.15 

This 10 runner class 5 sprint is very tight on my figures, Hit Mac 9/1 has only won over 5 furlongs so may not stay this distance here and its figure looks to have been recorded when towed along in a fast run race so may be flattering to its actual chances here, Porfin hasn't been in the best of form lately, Politics could be the one to set the pace to this race although Repartee has also been known to lead before so it should ensure there's a good early pace to the race. Beauzon is a hold up type but may stay on too late in this race to win it but could possibly make the frame. EPIC EXPRESS 10/1 is my top rated but only by 1lb it has good trainer and jockey stats both with a win ratio of 20% but if its a little rusty and needs this run for fitness after being off for 142 days so i will also be backing EL HOMBRE 7/1 who although being a 9yo is still capable of winning at this level and the change of jockey looks promising as he has a 21% win ratio on the stables older horses.

El Hombre 7/1 1st +7pts

Epic Express 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total +6pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

A turnout of 13 for this class 4 sprint where 7 of the runners have been known to lead before so it might be a furious early pace and according to my figures it is most likely that the winner will come from a front running type. Shalaa Asker 8/1 has been running well but seems to struggle when raised up to this level it might run ok but I would look to lay the win part with this horse and is the only one that might be of value to lay. Algheed is my 5th top rated and likes to front run while Tolstoy is my 4th top rated but that's using a Polytrack time at Chelmsford and hasn't run over this distance on this Tapeta surface before so not sure what to expect but I will stick with the proven, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in MUSCIKA 6/1 and ABERAMA GOLD 5/1 and both are capable of leading but they can also deploy other racing tactics which gives them more than one string to their bow while my top rated is INTERVENTION 8/1 who has been running quite well recently and if able to reproduce its Southwell rating here, which was a class 3 race but stall 13 isn't ideal for it in the make-up of this race or it might have been my sole bet if drawn better, it would win with a bit to spare so I will be backing all 3 of them to hopefully cover the angles but my stakes will be kept low because it looks a very competitive race. 

Muscika 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Intervention 16/1 7th -1pt

Aberama Gold 13/2 Unp -1pt

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

A class 6 sprint where the early pace may be set by Van Gerwen who is the only known front running type in this field of 10 horses but may need this run for fitness and time wise it would need to improve a few spots (that's assuming others will run to their best time wise) Rhubarb seems better over shorter while Lion Ring 4/1 might prefer further and both will be lays if of value to do so. Jackmeister is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the end of this race but further might suit it better, Starjik sits in 2nd top spot and usually tracks the leaders while my top rated horse *MY BOY JACK 7/2 is a hold up type who finished strongly at this level and likes a relatively fast pace to aim at so this race ought to suit it perfectly.

*NR

Lay bet +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +4pts

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (27th October)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A full house for this class 6 sprint with a couple of known front runners, Bowling Russian and Fantasy Navigator who should ensure there's a good fast early pace and if the former could reproduce its best rating from 2020 it would win this race but its form since then has been way below that figure plus the stables last winner was over 250 days ago but could possibly make the frame if others falter, I will be looking to lay Vape 11/2 who stays on over this distance but its best form comes in relatively slow run races so might be caught out here plus it has poorish jockey stats 1-17 and the jockey is 0-4 for the stable. Woe Betide 11/2 has ran ok in its last 2 races and being a 3yo it could still improve which I would need to do to win this race but never say never and I am never 100% comfortable laying a 3yo. Nubough 11/1 could do enough to make the frame here but the stable hasn't had a winner in over 2 months but the switch back to an artificial surface could see it bounce back to form so may be worth an each way punt. OUR ABSENT FRIEND 4/1 is my top rated using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface and as it hasn't run on this Polytrack surface before I am not sure what to expect but its chance has to be respected, my top rated on this surface is EPIC EXPRESS 7/1 who recorded its best time over this course and distance 2 runs ago while its last run can be ignored as it got hampered at the start of the race and was always in the rear until stayed on into 6th place beaten 3 and a half lengths which wasn't a bad run but today the stall 14 draw hasn't been kind to it but if able to find a good early position it ought to go very close to winning again here as long as its early exertions to get a good position don't take its toll nearing the finish. 

Epic Express 17/2 2nd -1pt 

Our Absent Friend 4/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Vape -2.75pts 

Total -4.75pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

A 11 runner class 6 dash where 5 of them have been known to lead before, Glasstrees 9/2 is drawn widest of the possible pacesetters in stall 8 with other early paced types in stalls, 1,5,6 and 7 so it could either get taken wide or will have to be reigned back behind the pacesetters which isn't its preferred style so maybe worth laying just because of that but it would also need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race, Dream Game 5/1 is my joint 4th top rated and is usually held up for a late run but could find some trouble trying to find a gap in the home straight so might be worth laying the win part as it could make the frame if getting a clear run, Suanni 9/1 is the other joint 4th top rated horse but is drawn in stall 10 which could be a hindrance with the make-up of this race, Charming Kid 9/2 in stall 1 is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to gain control of the rails from the off and could just do that and I would expect it to make the frame, my top rated using a time from 2021 is SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 9/2 so has to be considered s a potential winner and is in good form winning last time out where it beat AMASOVA 12/1 (EW) but this one is weighted to reverse that form here on 13lbs better terms. The former is in stall 7 so sandwiched between 2 other fast starters so may get squeezed out in the early stages and then maybe not able to reproduce its absolute best but if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but the jock Sean Levey is 0-14 when riding for this stable which is a little off-putting hence why I am also backing my 2nd top rated, there is only 1lb between them on their best figures and this one is in stall 6 so this time might be able to prevent the former from leading and then be able to reverse the result from last time they met 33 days ago and at the price has to be given as an each way wager.

Sir Rodneyredblood 13/2 4th -1pt 

Amasova 12/1 6th -2pts 

Lay bet Glasstrees +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts

7:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (29th September)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

There's 5 horses in this class 6 sprint that have led before although Enduring only leads when allowed to set a slightly slower pace and Dark Design only leads when nothing else wants to so maybe both of these will struggle in this race, Legende D’art usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late in this race to catch the leaders, Bobby On The Beat is my 3rd top rated and is usually held up at the rear or in midfield, EPIC EXPRESS 7/2 is my top rated using a course and distance rating it recorded this year and is 2nd top rated overall, BOWLING RUSSIAN 20/1 (EW) who hasn't been in the best of form recently is a possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated on 2021/22 ratings but has a rating from 2020 which would see it winning comfortably and if a double figure price as forecast I will have to go with an each way punt, I can't separate them and will be backing them both.

Epic Express 7/2 6th -1pt 

Bowling Russian 80/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -3pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

A 5 furlong dash with 11 runners and 2 known front running types drawn in stalls 1 and 3 but I doubt either of them can lead all the way for the victory so the traders among you can benefit from that fact, Ellie Piper might prefer a longer distance and could be worth a lay if of value to do so, Nacho a hold up type is my 3rd top rated so could be an each way bet, JUMIRA BRIDGE 11/2 this ones best for this year isn't too far from being top rated but a reproduction of its best rating from 2021 would see it winning a shade cosily being my top rated on the Tapeta courses, I've got COLEY'S KOKO 9/1 who hasn't raced over this course and distance before marked down with a rating from turf that would see this one winning cosily so backing them both will be my way of dealing with this race. 

Jumira bridge 

Coley's Koko 

Lay bet Ellie Piper -1.875pts

Total -3.875pts

CHELMSFORD 7.30

A tricky class 6 race due to the fact there's no known front running types amongst the 10 runners, Amalfi Gem is my 3rd top rated using a figure recorded at Wolverhampton and hasn't any form over today's distance on this surface to its name, Real Estate comes out 2nd best despite looking as though a longer distance would suit it better but GRIGGY 9/4 comes out 2nd top rated on just 2022 ratings but is in top spot when using its best rating from 2021 but its a race where i will keep my stakes to a minimum. 

Griggy 3/1 1st +3pts 

Total +3pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

This class 4 dash has 11 runners and 6 of them have been known to lead and my top 3 ratings are amongst those 6, Yimou would prefer a longer distance and might not be able to lead against some of the others in this race so might be worth laying along with *Obtain who also might prefer further and I'm not convinced this surface will suit it, my 3rd top rated is MISS NAY NEVER 13/2 who has the best of the draw being in stall 1, LUCKY AVA 10/1 is my 2nd top rated and housed in stall 6 while my top rated horse THE DEFIANT 10/1 is in stall 2 but i am not 100% sure if this one is up to winning in class 4 races but did only get beaten in a tight photo finish on turf at this level, it looks most likely this race will be run from the front and with only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings its too hard to separate them so dutching all 3 seems the best way to go in this race. 

*NR

Miss Nay Never 7/1 1st +7pts

The Defiant 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Lucky Ava 10/1 8th -1pt 

Total +5pts

Total on the day +1.125pts