2:35 Carlisle Racing Tips (22nd May)

CARLISLE 2.35 

A field of 9 for a class 4 dash on hopefully good to firm ground and if it is then I would look to lay Princess Karine 13/2 who prefers some cut in the going and the same applies to Huddle Up 11/2 and both will be lays if single figure prices, Albegone has the top rating but may need this run for fitness, Glorious Rio stays on at the finish but this race might not be run to suit it, there is one horse that has been known to lead if nothing else wants to I'm hoping that OUR ABSENT FRIEND 15/2 can lead here and then kick for home and lead all the way. 

Our Absent Friend 9/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bets Princess Karine +1pt, Huddle Up +1pt

Total +1pt

CARLISLE 3.10 

To be honest this class four, seven runner sprint is a race where it might be best not to have a bet, I can't work out what will set the early pace which always makes analysis that much harder, Westmorian races as though further might suit it better so this race might not be run to suit it, Thaki can produce a good rating but usually in lower class races and I can only see me putting PAPA COCKTAIL 5/2 into a multiple bet, it has won its last 2 races so is it tip top form and has been found a good opportunity to complete its hattrick. 

Papa Cocktail 11/4 1st +2.75pts 

Total +2.75pts

WINDSOR 5.00 

A class 4 dash where 3 of the 8 runners have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for its class, La Roca Del Fuego is one of them but its only turf win came at a lower grade of racing, I will look to lay Antiphon who might be better when tackling a longer distance, Faustus is another possible pacesetter and my 3rd top rated so could go well but they might push each other too hard in the early stages which might play into the hands of GLAMOROUS BREEZE 7/1 who usually races in midfield before saying on strongly at the finish but this one would like the going to be good to firm to show its best form. 

Glamorous Breeze 7/1 1st +7pts 

Lay bet Antiphon +1pt 

Total +8pts

WINDSOR 6.35 

A class 3 sprint with 10 entrants of which 2 are known as front running types and if Bear Profit gets to the front it could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Count Otto comes out as my 3rd top rated on my own speed ratings and usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish so another that could make the frame and a possible each way prospect, Lethal Nymph comes out in 2nd top spot and another that likes to track the leaders but my money will be riding on INDIAN CREAK 5/1 who likes to run in midfield before running on strongly at the finish and has good trainer/jockeys stats making me think the connections are expecting a big run in this race.

Indian Creek 5/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +10.75pts

6:00 Chelmsford Racing Tips (27th October)

CHELMSFORD 6.00 

A full house for this class 6 sprint with a couple of known front runners, Bowling Russian and Fantasy Navigator who should ensure there's a good fast early pace and if the former could reproduce its best rating from 2020 it would win this race but its form since then has been way below that figure plus the stables last winner was over 250 days ago but could possibly make the frame if others falter, I will be looking to lay Vape 11/2 who stays on over this distance but its best form comes in relatively slow run races so might be caught out here plus it has poorish jockey stats 1-17 and the jockey is 0-4 for the stable. Woe Betide 11/2 has ran ok in its last 2 races and being a 3yo it could still improve which I would need to do to win this race but never say never and I am never 100% comfortable laying a 3yo. Nubough 11/1 could do enough to make the frame here but the stable hasn't had a winner in over 2 months but the switch back to an artificial surface could see it bounce back to form so may be worth an each way punt. OUR ABSENT FRIEND 4/1 is my top rated using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface and as it hasn't run on this Polytrack surface before I am not sure what to expect but its chance has to be respected, my top rated on this surface is EPIC EXPRESS 7/1 who recorded its best time over this course and distance 2 runs ago while its last run can be ignored as it got hampered at the start of the race and was always in the rear until stayed on into 6th place beaten 3 and a half lengths which wasn't a bad run but today the stall 14 draw hasn't been kind to it but if able to find a good early position it ought to go very close to winning again here as long as its early exertions to get a good position don't take its toll nearing the finish. 

Epic Express 17/2 2nd -1pt 

Our Absent Friend 4/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Vape -2.75pts 

Total -4.75pts

CHELMSFORD 8.00 

A 11 runner class 6 dash where 5 of them have been known to lead before, Glasstrees 9/2 is drawn widest of the possible pacesetters in stall 8 with other early paced types in stalls, 1,5,6 and 7 so it could either get taken wide or will have to be reigned back behind the pacesetters which isn't its preferred style so maybe worth laying just because of that but it would also need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race, Dream Game 5/1 is my joint 4th top rated and is usually held up for a late run but could find some trouble trying to find a gap in the home straight so might be worth laying the win part as it could make the frame if getting a clear run, Suanni 9/1 is the other joint 4th top rated horse but is drawn in stall 10 which could be a hindrance with the make-up of this race, Charming Kid 9/2 in stall 1 is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to gain control of the rails from the off and could just do that and I would expect it to make the frame, my top rated using a time from 2021 is SIR RODNEYREDBLOOD 9/2 so has to be considered s a potential winner and is in good form winning last time out where it beat AMASOVA 12/1 (EW) but this one is weighted to reverse that form here on 13lbs better terms. The former is in stall 7 so sandwiched between 2 other fast starters so may get squeezed out in the early stages and then maybe not able to reproduce its absolute best but if getting to the front could prove hard to catch but the jock Sean Levey is 0-14 when riding for this stable which is a little off-putting hence why I am also backing my 2nd top rated, there is only 1lb between them on their best figures and this one is in stall 6 so this time might be able to prevent the former from leading and then be able to reverse the result from last time they met 33 days ago and at the price has to be given as an each way wager.

Sir Rodneyredblood 13/2 4th -1pt 

Amasova 12/1 6th -2pts 

Lay bet Glasstrees +1pt 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -6.75pts