1:20 Southwell Racing Tips (2nd February)

SOUTHWELL 1.20 Div I

A 12 runner class 6 sprint luckily with a couple of front running types amongst them in the shape of Peachey Carnehan 7/1 and Winnetka but I doubt either can do enough from the front to win this race. Corinthia Knight may struggle to stay the distance with a decent early gallop but is too big a price to lay, Jack Ryan 9/1 is my 4th top rated horse and can be held up or track the leaders so could possibly make the frame, Give A Little Back 11/2 is my 3rd top rated and this one might be better when racing over further so could stay on to make the frame, I've got joint top rated horses, firstly Ramdon Rocks but this ones best Tapeta rating from Wolverhampton might have flattered it when it got towed along in a fast run race and it didn't seem to stay the distance on its only previous course and distance race. So I will be backing ST ANDREWS CASTLE 11/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and did show an indication last time out when finishing 4th that it was coming back to form and the jockey has a reasonable 17% win ratio for the stable, its stall 11 draw isn't ideal but if getting a good position from which to attack late on would have a decent chance of getting back to winning ways and if an each way price all the better. (don't look for the 2nd division of this race as with no known front running types in the field the race has me baffled). 

St Andrews Castle 11/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -2pts

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A class 4 race where luckily there is 8 runners so 3 places available for any each way bets, Mick's Spirit 7/2 is up in class here and may struggle with the rise in class so might be worth laying if of value to do so, Blind Beggar 11/2 might need further to show its true worth and might not catch the leaders in time for the victory so maybe one to lay. Harb and Atiyah are front running types and my 5th and 4th top rated horses, Dusky Prince could do best of those coming from off the pace but if *LA ROCA DEL FUEGO 10/1 (EW) gets to the front I'm not sure it will catch it for the win so I'm hoping my selection can lead all the way and the trainer has a decent 29% win ratio on this course with their older horses and at the price it has to be given as an each way wager.

*NR 

Lay bets Blind Beggar -4.5pts, Mick's Spirit +1pt 

Total -3.5pts

Total on the day -5.5pts