Latest News -

 Group Horse - Subscribe for our 10 Dark Horses 

Thursday 2 February 2023

3:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd February)


A field of 12 runners with 2 and possibly 3 that could set the pace although I think Our Man In Havana is only likely to lead if nothing else wants to set the pace but I doubt it will need to do that here and Viewfromthestars another that has led before but neither of them are in my top 4 ratings so would most likely to struggle to win the race even if they do lead. Macon Belle 6/1 may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace and it finished 2nd in a relatively slow run affair so may have been flattered by that result, San Juan may also prefer a longer trip and would need to improve time wise to win here. Lothian is my 4th top rated and can track the leaders or be held up for a late run but would need others to falter to win this race. Inaam usually stays on at this distance and could run into a place nearing the finish, Iesha is my 2nd top rated but hasn't been in good form lately so I will be hoping that CREEK HARBOUR 16/1 (EW) can set the pace to this race and if getting to the front it could prove hard to peg back if on a going day but I don't think its a race to be betting heavily in but if an each way price it might be worth a punt. 

Creek Harbour 16/1 7th -2pt

Total -2pt 


A field of 9 with just 1 known front running type, the figures for this race are a bit of a mixed lot and either its going to be a very competitive affair or something could win cosily, I'm not sure I could lay anything with confidence, Gannon Glory my 5th top rated, Pockley my 4th top rated and After John in 3rd top spot have the best recent ratings but there is only 2lbs between them so that could be the competitive part, Atholblair Boy is 2nd top rated but that's using a 2021 rating and its win 2 runs ago resulted in a slow time so that doesn't fill me with confidence but the top weight SPARTAN FIGHTER 33/1 is the likely pacesetter and if getting it right from the front could prove hard to catch although its also not been in great form lately but the apprentice jockey has a 28% win ratio when riding the stables older horses so lets hope that's a good pointer here. 

Spartan Fighter 33/1 5th -1pt

Total -1pt


A field of 11 with just 1 known front running type, everything apart from the top 2 in the handicap are forecast to be double figure prices and I've only got 2 horses with recordable times, I couldn't back or lay Gowanbuster who finished 2nd last time out in a possibly slow run race or just slow going on that day, Stallone is my 2nd top rated and can track the leaders or be held up for a late run but my money will be riding on the one that I hope can lead all the way with the make-up of this race and TURBO COMMAND 8/1 has led all the way before and a repeat would be enough to win this race and if an each way price then all the better. 

Turbo Command 14/1 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 


A field of 11 for this class 6 2nd division, looking at the bottom 6 in the handicap I expect them all to be double figure prices and I would lay anything that's not that big. Jem's Bond has been running well but either the going was riding slow on both of its last 2 runs or they were slow run races, its not enough for me to confidently lay it but I sure couldn't back it either. Ustath could set the pace to the race and is my 4th top rated so could possibly do enough to make the frame if others falter, Cheese The One is in 3rd top spot and is usually held up for a late run, while Giselles Izzy likes to attack from midfield but I've got TATHMEEN 6/1 as my top rated and if able to reproduce its best Southwell rating here it ought to get back to winning ways but it has only produced a slow time over this course and distance before so my stake will be kept low. 

Tathmeen 13/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 


A field of 9 runners with no known front running types which is always a pain for analysis, Kraken Power 4/1 may need further or a different surface maybe even both so may be worth laying but only to a small stake with the pace problem. Gunnerside is 4th top. Rose Bandit in 3rd top spot but this one is in good form winning last time out, Spanish Angel also won last time out but that was a slow time race and if there isn't a good early gallop it could follow up here as could my 3rd top rated, in fact it gives more horses a chance of winning but I will be hoping that YAAHOBBY 10/1 can get back to winning ways it races as though further might suit it better so will I expect make sure the pace is fairly fast and it has the same trainer/jockey stats as the 6.45 race, so hopefully at least one of them will win.

Yaahobby 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Kraken Power +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -5pts

No comments: