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Friday 24 February 2023

1:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th February)

LINGFIELD 1.30 

A Listed class dash with 10 runners and 3 known front running types, I will look to lay Arecibo 7/1 who may need this run for fitness and a longer distance might suit it better and Alligator Alley 4/1 who seems to perform much better on the Tapeta surface so might be worth laying. Watchya, Kimngrace and Epsom Faithful all might be better over further but I expect they will all be too big in price to lay. Exalted Angel 15/2 is my 4th top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish and could at least make the frame, Tone The Barone 11/4 who I backed last time out when it won is a good handicap horse but has never won when stepped up to Listed class and the same applies to Miss Nay Never 11/2, they are both capable of producing good ratings and could run well again but may struggle now up in class to actually win. My money will be riding on an outsider in the shape of ONE NIGHT STAND 18/1 (EW) who won four runs ago but hasn't performed so well since but if reproducing its best rating it could lead all the way here and in the make-up of this race it could possibly gain control on the rails from stall 7 as there is only one other front running type drawn on its inside and at the price it has to be an each way punt. 

One Night Stand 25/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bets Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

Only 5 runners for this class 4 sprint where Trusty Rusty may set the early pace but this one might want to set a slightly slower than usual pace as it can struggle to stay if there's a fast early gallop, Sarah's Verse might be better on the Tapeta surface, Kensington Agent needs to improve time wise to win here, while Come On Girl hasnt shown anything worthwhile time wise at this course which narrows it down to MISS BELLA BRAND 11/2 who is a hold up type and the jockey does well when riding for this small stable. 

Miss Bella Brand 11/2 3rd 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.40 

A class 6 sprint with 11 entrants and 3 front running types, Bluebell's Boy won over this course and distance but was allowed to set a slower early pace that day and might not be allowed that luxury here but if it was slower than standard going that day then it would make this horse a definite danger to my selection, Mustaffiz has never won over this distance and might need further and then there's Sir Rodneyredblood who could do best of this front running trio and ought to be able to make the frame and might be worth an each way interest. If Josies Kid is a single figure price I would lay it as it seems better over shorter distances, Cointhia Knight is capable of running well here but hasn't been in good form lately so my money will be riding on MASHAAN 15/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, the trainer is 2-5 in the last 2 weeks and has been running in better class races that this recently and has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways.

Mashaan 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

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