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Monday 27 February 2023

5:00 Southwell Racing Tips (28th February)


An eleven runner stakes dash with 2 known front running types in Blackcurrent and Another Angel and maybe the latter will do best of this pair as its my 3rd top rated so many other runners may not be able to get competitive in this race. I'm not sure if there will be anything of value to lay here, Stroxx has had 38 runs to date with 17 of them being on an artificial surface, it has made the frame on 7 occasions but hasn't won a race but has run well most of the time recently but this trip is maybe a little bit too short for it was beaten a length last time out by THE TRON 7/2 and at level weights again I cannot see any reason why this one shouldn't follow up here and win again. 

The Tron 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Total +3.5pts


I can see Della Mare 7/1 setting the pace in this 12 runner class 6 sprint but will need to improve a few spots to hold on for the win but being my 5th top rated it could do enough from the front to make the frame, both Twentysharesofgrey 15/2 and Tricky Business 8/1 run as though further would suit them better and might be worth laying if a single figure price at the off. Gunnerside 4/1 won over this distance but in a slow time but not sure if it was a slow run race or the surface was riding on the slow side so I couldn't back this one nor lay it. Using a Newcastle rating Elisheva comes out in 4th top spot while using a Wolverhampton rating Fristel sits in 3rd top spot so both could go well if taking to this surface and any improvement for the switch could make them very dangerous. Hilary's Boy is either held up in midfield or at the back of the field and comes with a late run and could feasibly make the frame being my 2nd top rated using a course and distance rating from last year, my money will be riding on GISELLES IZZY 4/1 who is another that usually races in midfield before staying on the stronger at the finish and it recorded its best rating this year which shows its in good form. 

Giselles Izzy 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 


This is the slightly better division and this time I can see 2 known pacesetters although I doubt Ustath could lead all the way for the victory in this race, I'm not sure there's anything I could put forward as a worthwhile lay that's going to be of value to lay. Deputise 4/1 is my 4th top rated using a recent course and distance rating and could make the frame but I doubt it will be an each way price. My Boy Jack 7/2 and Billian 8/1 finished first and second when they met on their last run at Wolverhampton and using those ratings the former comes out in top spot again but both of them haven't produced their best tapeta ratings at this course so I'm not convinced they can reproduce their best here so I will go with BIG IMPACT 15/2 who is the other known front running type and I think it could lead all the way in this race, its my top rated on just course and distance ratings so I'm hoping its enough to get it back to winning ways.

Big Impact 15/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day +1.5pts

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