1:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th February)

LINGFIELD 1.30 

A Listed class dash with 10 runners and 3 known front running types, I will look to lay Arecibo 7/1 who may need this run for fitness and a longer distance might suit it better and Alligator Alley 4/1 who seems to perform much better on the Tapeta surface so might be worth laying. Watchya, Kimngrace and Epsom Faithful all might be better over further but I expect they will all be too big in price to lay. Exalted Angel 15/2 is my 4th top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish and could at least make the frame, Tone The Barone 11/4 who I backed last time out when it won is a good handicap horse but has never won when stepped up to Listed class and the same applies to Miss Nay Never 11/2, they are both capable of producing good ratings and could run well again but may struggle now up in class to actually win. My money will be riding on an outsider in the shape of ONE NIGHT STAND 18/1 (EW) who won four runs ago but hasn't performed so well since but if reproducing its best rating it could lead all the way here and in the make-up of this race it could possibly gain control on the rails from stall 7 as there is only one other front running type drawn on its inside and at the price it has to be an each way punt. 

One Night Stand 25/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bets Alligator Alley +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.10 

Only 5 runners for this class 4 sprint where Trusty Rusty may set the early pace but this one might want to set a slightly slower than usual pace as it can struggle to stay if there's a fast early gallop, Sarah's Verse might be better on the Tapeta surface, Kensington Agent needs to improve time wise to win here, while Come On Girl hasnt shown anything worthwhile time wise at this course which narrows it down to MISS BELLA BRAND 11/2 who is a hold up type and the jockey does well when riding for this small stable. 

Miss Bella Brand 11/2 3rd 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.40 

A class 6 sprint with 11 entrants and 3 front running types, Bluebell's Boy won over this course and distance but was allowed to set a slower early pace that day and might not be allowed that luxury here but if it was slower than standard going that day then it would make this horse a definite danger to my selection, Mustaffiz has never won over this distance and might need further and then there's Sir Rodneyredblood who could do best of this front running trio and ought to be able to make the frame and might be worth an each way interest. If Josies Kid is a single figure price I would lay it as it seems better over shorter distances, Cointhia Knight is capable of running well here but hasn't been in good form lately so my money will be riding on MASHAAN 15/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish, the trainer is 2-5 in the last 2 weeks and has been running in better class races that this recently and has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways.

Mashaan 15/2 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (2nd April)

LINGFIELD 3.40 

EXISTANT will be trying to stay on at the finish but may need further and needs to improve time wise to win this race and looks very poor value but being a 4yo it could improve further so never say never. 

BEDFORD FLYER this front running type could win this race using a time recorded in 2020 but its 45 since the stable last had a winner and it may need the run after being off for 225 days. 

ONE NIGHT STAND the other known front running type and the one I think will do best of the front runners and has the plum stall 1 draw to help its cause and is my joint top rated. 

STRONG POWER is a strong finishing sort and is weighted just to reverse form with one of today's rivals and is my joint top rated and has good trainer/jockey stats.

NIGHT ON EARTH will be trying to stay on at the finish but I think maybe too late to catch the leaders in time and might be worth laying. 

MOKAATIL needs to improve time wise to win this race but I expect it will be one of the outsiders but one to lay if a single figure price. 

AUTUMN FLIGHT is my 3rd top rated but might be found wanting in the closing stages and may need this run for fitness but i expect another outsider. 

SUMMARY: A very competitive class 2 race where I expect the pace to be set by Bedford Flyer and/or One Night Stand and the latter could be dangerous if getting an easy lead as the former may need this run for fitness, Existent 5/4 may be better when racing over further and time wise it needs to improve and looks poor value, I will be backing 2 horses firstly ONE NIGHT STAND 12/1 who could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but it is joint top rated with STRONG POWER 5/1 and the latter will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish and is weighted just to reverse form when they finished 1st and 2nd in a Listed race earlier this year but with only 0.02 seconds between them on the clock it will need a perfect run to pick the leader up and with such small margins I have to back them both. 

Strong Power 6/1 3rd -1pt 

One Night Stand 10/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Night On Earth -8.5pts

Total -10.5pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.00 

This is a class 5 race but to be honest I can find a negative for every horse, Amazing Maya can record a good rating but in lower class races so may be outclassed in this field, I expect the early pace will be set by Lua De Mel or more likely by BRAZEN BELLE who is my top rated using class 5 ratings but the trainer hasn't had a winner from 176 runners over 2037 days which is a big negative but this race could fall into its lap but just in case it doesn't reproduce its best then the top weight SARAH'S VERSE could be the one to win the race but this one hasn't won from 7 previous AW races and the trainers not had a winner from 25 runners over 66 days so my stakes will be kept to a minimum.

Sarah's Verse 9/2 1st +4.5pts

Brazen Belle 33/1 7th -1pt 

Total +3.5pts

Total on the day -7pts

3:09 Lingfield Racing Tips (5th March)

LINGFIELD 3.09 

A nice looking race for a class 6 affair with a couple of known front runners in the race and both of them could go well, it will be a bit of a surprise if Fard, The Defiant, Vincenze Coccotti, Hot Hot Hot or Mercers win this race and I expect they will all be double figure prices, that's half the field eliminated Munificent 11/4 may prefer a longer distance and might be worth laying at such a short price, Ocean Eyes is still a maiden after 20 runs and 12 of them have been on the AW surfaces, its been 78 days since the trainer of Hope Springs last had a winner, BIG TIME MAYBE 9/2 is one of the possible pacesetters to this race, its best c/d rating is 2nd top for just 2021/22 ratings and its rating from Kempton in 2020 would see it winning this race with a bit in hand, MOVEONUP 7/2 also has a time from 2020 at Chelmsford that makes it my 2nd top rated and I think one of them could possibly lead all the way but which one I don't know so I will be backing them both and just hope they don't battle to hard for dominance and then fade nearing the finish. 

Big Time Maybe 5/1 4th -1pt 

Moveonup 10/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Munificent +1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 3.50 

Three of the six runners met last Saturday over this course and distance where ONE NIGHT STAND 3/1 ridden by Hollie Doyle led all the way and beat Strong Power by 2 necks into third place they meet on 2lbs better terms in favour of the latter in this race and this time Hollie Doyle is riding Strong Power which is her first ride for the stable, while One Night Stand is being ridden by a good 5lb claiming apprentice so the result should be the same again, the 3 that didn't run in last Saturdays race look a bit out of depth although Night On Earth 8/1 has a good speed figure on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle but its limited runs on this surface don't inspire confidence so might be worth laying if it stays a single figure price while Recon Mission hasn't been in good form and might need this run for fitness, Crimson Sand 4/1 did run last Saturday but not in the same race and needs to improve time wise to win this race and looks worth laying at the price. 

One Night Stand 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Night On Earth +1pt, Crimson Sand +1pt 

Total +1pt

SOUTHWELL 7.30 

It will be a big surprise if the bottom 3 in the handicap were to win this race but won't be of value to lay, unless your a big risk taker, Endowed 8/1 has a good speed figure from Chelmsford on the Polytrack surface but hasn't ran on the Tapeta surface at Newcastle and Wolverhampton and its rating over this c/d is poor so one that might be worth laying, I think Whittle Le Woods 5/2 will be the favourite but I have a feeling it might get outpaced in this race after running in 7 furlong races recently but with 3, Airshow, Twilight Madness and Recall The Show, pacesetters this race might fall into its lap so despite all my negative thoughts I'm not sure I can lay it either, I will back RECALL THE SHOW 6/1 to get to the front and then prove good enough to hold of any challengers and its rating when winning last time out over this c/d is quite a decent rating for this class of race and has been found an ideal opportunity to follow up here.

Recall The Show 6/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bet Endowed +1pt 

Total 0pt 

Total on the day 0pts

2:45 Nottingham Racing TIps (10th June)

NOTTINGHAM 2.45 

Only 7 runners in a class 3 race, Lethal Lunch 11/2 has relatively slow times and may find this trip too short on good to firm ground so I would look to lay it, Muscika comes out 4th top rated using a 2020 time and usually likes to track the leaders, Typhoon Ten comes out 3rd top rated but the jockeys 0-17 record for today's stable makes me think they have another target in mind, Wentworth Falls can be held up or track the pacesetters but would need to improve time wise to win this race that's if others run to their potential, One Night Stand has a reliable time from 2020 at Windsor that would make it my 2nd top rated and has decent trainer/jockey stats but the jockey is 0-4 on the stables older horses but that isn't enough data to be taken as a definite, Dancinginthewoods can track the leaders or be held up but its best time wouldn't put it in my top 4, Case Key has a fast time and it is the only known front running type in the race so could be dangerous with a soft lead but it was recorded in a lower class race and I'm not sure its up to winning in this class. 

SUMMARY: Case Key could go well from the front and could make the frame but with only 2 places I wouldn't back it each way, my money will be riding on ONE NIGHT STAND 11/1 who is usually held up or in midfield and then stays on strongly at the finish. 

One Night Stand 11/1 1st +11pts (Betfair SP -) 

Total +11pts

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HAYDOCK 6.30 

Another 7 runner affair in a class 4 race, Marks Choice is usually held up for a late run but hasn't run recently over this distance on good to firm ground and its best from 2019 is only good enough for joint 4th top spot, Ventura Express prefers to track the leaders but time wise it would need to improve to win this race, Nibras Again has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but its been way below that level since that year, Fox Hill usually stays on at the business end of its races but is only 3rd best on my ratings, Secretinthepark 6/1 is the other joint 4th top rated and usually stays on at the finish over this distance but maybe too late for the win so one to lay, Dark Shot is the one i think will set the pace to the race and comes out top rated using a 2020 time from Leicester, Tenaya Canyon this 3yo hasn't any form over this distance on good to firm ground so I couldn't back or lay this one. 

SUMMARY: I am hoping that DARK SHOT 11/1 will set the pace to this race and then should prove hard to reel in, the trainers 0-5 at this course isn't ideal but not really enough data to make a confident analysis and the jockeys 1-24 when riding for this stable does look like a negative so my stakes will be kept low.

Dark Shot 11/1 4th -1pt

Total on the day +10pts

3:00 Leicester Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th August)

LEICESTER 3.00

A race where there's four 3yo plus others that are lightly raced but according to the forecast tissue prices most are not fancied in the betting, I will look to lay 3 horses (Dreamboat Annie + Aghast + Wiff Waff) I've got Rinty Maginty as my 2nd top-rated on just 2020 times and 3rd top overall so it could go well, Dahik comes out 2nd top overall using its best time from 2019 at Redcar but this one could set the early pace and maybe enough to at least make the frame and I might even have a small covering bet on this one just in case it can lead all the way but it hasn't really shown much so far this year so my main bet will be HARRY'S RIDGE 9/2 who has finished 2nd on its last 2 runs and 3rd the race before that so is in good form and has been found a good opportunity here to get back to winning ways. 

Harry's Ridge 9/2 3rd (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Wiff Waff (-6.5pts) Betfair SP (10.54pts), Dreamboat Annie +1pt, Aghast +1pt

Total: -5.5pts

LEICESTER 3.30

For a class 5 affair this looks a decent race and to be honest, I cannot find anything to confidently lay which doesn't happen very often, Mr Wagyu looks the most likely pacesetter but is only 5th top-rated but could do better than that if allowed an easy lead, the 3yo Alben Spirit is 4th best with Commander Han in 2nd spot and they both like to track the leaders, another 3yo has caught my eye and ONE NIGHT STAND 11/2 actually comes out top rated using a time recorded over this c/d but it's not won a race in 8 attempts and the trainer is 0-6 here and the jockey 0-4 for this stable and this is enough to worry me and therefore I will also back QUEEN OF BURGUNDY 11/1 who is my 2nd top-rated and is dropped in class to run here. 

Queen Of Burgundy 11/1 4th (-1pt)
One Night Stand 11/2 6th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

CHESTER 6.30

A nice Listed race but I will admit this isn't a favourite course of mine and the draw can be the kiss of death if drawn high but the jockeys know this and if the rails are cut back in the home straight then they all have a chance if racing prominently, I would lay (Judicial) who might find the trip too far if there's a fast early pace which I do expect and I think it will be won from the front, some drawn nearer the rail might change their usual tactics and try to lead but hopefully they won't be fast enough to stop either, MAJOR JUMBO 7/2 from stall 6 and this one has a time from 2018 that would see it winning but hasn't been at that level in recent times but this will be its first run of the year over this distance on hopefully good to firm ground, or EMARAATY ANA 4/1 from stall 9 from leading and if getting to the front they could be hard to catch.

Major Jumbo 7/2 2nd (-1pt)
Emaraaty Ana 4/1 3rd (-1pt)

Total: -2pts

Total on the day: -9.5pts