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Thursday 2 March 2023

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd March)


A field of 11 where just Cuban Breeze drawn in the widest stall is known as a front running type but this one might need the run for fitness and would need to improve time wise to win this race. Baldomero 7/2 may need further to show its best and I will look to lay it while Laheg 11/2 seems better on the Tapeta surface so maybe another one to lay. Jack's Point sits in 4th top spot and usually tries to stay on strongly nearing the finish, Counto Otto is 2nd top rated but its last 2 runs have been poor and the jockey is 0-29 when riding for this stable, TOLSTOY 6/1 is my 3rd rated and the trainer has a decent win ratio at this course and is another that will be running on late in this race TYGER BAY 15/2 also has good trainer stats and will also be staying on late in the proceedings but it does look a tricky race so stakes kept to a minimum. 

Tyger Bay 17/2 5th -1pt 
Tolstoy 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets: Baldomero +1pt, Laheg +1pt 

Total 0pts 


I'm not sure if can find anything of value to lay in this race plus its a race where I may have to dutch 3 runners in trying to find the winner. Pockley is my 5th top rated just 1lb behind After John in 4th top spot, BALLYARE 17/2 comes out in 3rd top spot but it recorded its best rating on Tapeta at Wolverhampton where the bend means they don't go flat out all the way which might suit it better, ATHOLBLAIR BOY 14/1 is my 2nd top rated courtesy of the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim and she has a 1-6 ratio for the stable but I did have to go back to 2021 to find its best rating but may have encountered slow going in subsequent races on this surface and usually likes to track the leaders, SPARTAN FIGHTER 25/1 hasn't been in the best of form recently but in this race its the only known front running type and if allowed an easy lead could hold enough in reserve to repel any late challengers and the jockey does have a reasonable 16% win ratio when riding the stables older horses. 

Spartan Fighter 28/1 4th -1pt 
Atholblair Boy 28/1 5th -1py 
Ballyare 17/2 Unp -1pt 

Total -3pts 


The 3 race of the day where there is only 1 known front running type and in this race its Mew's House but it would need to improve a good few spots time wise to hold on for the win, I expect it will be an outsider in this race but even then it wouldn't tempt me to back it to make the frame. I'm not keen on the chances of Kraken Power 4/1 in this race but I'm not sure I could put it forward to lay either, Ruggles a hold up type is only 1lb behind Nellie French who can be held up or track the leaders in 4th top spot, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Elzaal and Joshua R, the former usually races towards the rear or in midfield in its races before running on at the finish while the latter likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish but my money will be riding on GUNNERSIDE 4/1 who also likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways in this race.

Gunnerside 4/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -4pts

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