Latest News -

 Group Horse - Subscribe for our 10 Dark Horses 

Friday 24 March 2023

3:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th March)


A field of 7 for this class 2 dash where 4 of the runners, Arecibo, Live In The Dream, Kiwano and The Defiant, have been known to lead before, Navello and The Defiant look to be outsiders in this race and the former may need this run for fitness while the latter may be outclassed at this level another I think might get outclassed is Badri 2/1 and this one might be of value to lay in this race. Arecibo usually stays on at this distance but maybe too late to win this race, Live In The Dream has only a slow time over this distance at both here on Tapeta and on the Polytrack surface at Wolverhampton, Kiwano was allowed an easy lead in a 3 horse race when beating TONE THE BARONE 10/3 but the pace that day was relatively slow which didn't suit it and this looks an ideal race to reverse that form especially on 3lb better terms.

Tone The Barone 10/3 PU (sadly fatally injured. Condolences to connections)

Lay bet Badri +1pt

Total 0pts


This 10 runner class 5 sprint is very tight on my figures, Hit Mac 9/1 has only won over 5 furlongs so may not stay this distance here and its figure looks to have been recorded when towed along in a fast run race so may be flattering to its actual chances here, Porfin hasn't been in the best of form lately, Politics could be the one to set the pace to this race although Repartee has also been known to lead before so it should ensure there's a good early pace to the race. Beauzon is a hold up type but may stay on too late in this race to win it but could possibly make the frame. EPIC EXPRESS 10/1 is my top rated but only by 1lb it has good trainer and jockey stats both with a win ratio of 20% but if its a little rusty and needs this run for fitness after being off for 142 days so i will also be backing EL HOMBRE 7/1 who although being a 9yo is still capable of winning at this level and the change of jockey looks promising as he has a 21% win ratio on the stables older horses.

El Hombre 7/1 1st +7pts
Epic Express 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total +6pts


A turnout of 13 for this class 4 sprint where 7 of the runners have been known to lead before so it might be a furious early pace and according to my figures it is most likely that the winner will come from a front running type. Shalaa Asker 8/1 has been running well but seems to struggle when raised up to this level it might run ok but I would look to lay the win part with this horse and is the only one that might be of value to lay. Algheed is my 5th top rated and likes to front run while Tolstoy is my 4th top rated but that's using a Polytrack time at Chelmsford and hasn't run over this distance on this Tapeta surface before so not sure what to expect but I will stick with the proven, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in MUSCIKA 6/1 and ABERAMA GOLD 5/1 and both are capable of leading but they can also deploy other racing tactics which gives them more than one string to their bow while my top rated is INTERVENTION 8/1 who has been running quite well recently and if able to reproduce its Southwell rating here, which was a class 3 race but stall 13 isn't ideal for it in the make-up of this race or it might have been my sole bet if drawn better, it would win with a bit to spare so I will be backing all 3 of them to hopefully cover the angles but my stakes will be kept low because it looks a very competitive race. 

Muscika 10/1 3rd -1pt 
Intervention 16/1 7th -1pt
Aberama Gold 13/2 Unp -1pt

Total -3pts 


A class 6 sprint where the early pace may be set by Van Gerwen who is the only known front running type in this field of 10 horses but may need this run for fitness and time wise it would need to improve a few spots (that's assuming others will run to their best time wise) Rhubarb seems better over shorter while Lion Ring 4/1 might prefer further and both will be lays if of value to do so. Jackmeister is my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the end of this race but further might suit it better, Starjik sits in 2nd top spot and usually tracks the leaders while my top rated horse *MY BOY JACK 7/2 is a hold up type who finished strongly at this level and likes a relatively fast pace to aim at so this race ought to suit it perfectly.


Lay bet +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day +4pts

No comments: