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Saturday 1 July 2023

3:07 Chester Racing Tips (1st July)


I can see 3 known front running types in this race and 2 of them are my 1st and 3rd top rated horses in this race. I'm not sure I will find anything of value to lay in this race which isn't a help in how to make a profit from the race, Cuban Breeze is my 3rd top rated and comes out of stall 2 which is ideal for a front running type, if they go off too fast then Roman Dragon could be the one to prosper as it likes to track the leaders and then stay on nearing the finish if ABERAMA GOLD 5/1 was drawn nearer the inside instead of stall 8 I would be more confident but if getting to the front and reproduces its best Hamilton rating from last year it would win a shade cosily. 

Amerama Gold 11/2 8th -1pt 

Total -1pt 


Of the 3yo’s at the bottom of the handicap Swift Asset (non-runner) may do best but any of the trio could improve enough to win this race but up to now they have not proven they are good enough but their presence means my stakes will be kept low in this race, the early pace is likely to come from either Swayze or Spring Bloom and the latter has one course and distance speed figure which would see it winning this race but that is now beginning to look like a one off result, going back to 2021 ratings then Crimson Sand could run well here as could Vespasian. If the going is good to firm my money will be riding on GLAMOROUS BREEZE 10/1 who likes to race in midfield before running on strongly at the finish. 

Glamorous Breeze 10/1 1st +10pts

Total +10pts


I can find 2 front running types in this race and PEARLE D’OR 10/1 (EW) could do best being my 4th top rated but this one doesn't want really fast ground so the forecast good going should suit it and if allowed an easy lead it could possibly lead all the way but has to be an each way bet at the price Fantasy Master won over this distance in a slow run race and may struggle to stay the distance in this race while Brazen Bolt may be better over further so 2 possible lays. As If By Chance is my top rated but has never won rated this highly so may be in the grips of the handicapper but could run another good race but find one or two too good for it, Ghathanfar is my 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders but has been out of form recently. I'm hoping that CAIRN GORM 7/1 can get away smartly here and track the leaders and stay on the stronger nearing the finish but I will be having 2 bets to cover the angles.

Cairn Gorm 7/1 3rd -1pt 
Pearle D'Or 20/1 9th -2pts

Total -3pts 

Total on the day  +6pts

1 comment:

goldenballs said...

Thank you , nice start to the month much appreciated